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Results

Data as of: 2026-08-09 17:19:31 UTC

Results only confirm and affect headline metrics when winner + closing odds available.

Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.

Recent Results

Methodology Page 1 of 12 · 114 rows
Result filters Expand

Kaye Scott vs Claressa Shields · WINNER: Claressa Shields · CORRECT

Middleweight · 16 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 10 · 16 / 1.0286 · NO VALUE · Pick Claressa Shields 57%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-21 02:00:12 UTC

Emmanuel Tagoe vs Ernesto Mercado · STATUS: Pending · PENDING

Super lightweight · 16 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 11 / 1.04 · NO VALUE · Pick Ernesto Mercado 75%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-15 08:21:09 UTC

Roamer Angulo vs Atif Oberlton · WINNER: Atif Oberlton · CORRECT

Light heavyweight · 15 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 8.3 / 1.05 · NO VALUE · Pick Atif Oberlton 77%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-12 14:55:24 UTC

Danielle Perkins vs Olivia Curry · STATUS: Pending · PENDING

Light heavyweight · 15 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.1333 / 5.3 · VALUE · Pick Danielle Perkins 91%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-12 14:31:05 UTC

Michael Zerafa vs Alejandro Ortiz · WINNER: Michael Zerafa · CORRECT

Middleweight · 12 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.0769 / 6.8 · NO VALUE · Pick Michael Zerafa 76%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-19 02:13:05 UTC

Sam Hickey vs Brad Axe · WINNER: Sam Hickey · CORRECT

Middleweight · 08 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 8 · 1.0769 / 6.8 · NO VALUE · Pick Sam Hickey 80%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-03 11:01:08 UTC

Tyler Denny vs Callum Walsh · WINNER: Callum Walsh · CORRECT

Middleweight · 08 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 10 · 3.9 / 1.2439 · NO VALUE · Pick Callum Walsh 65%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-30 02:43:44 UTC

Tammara Thibeault vs Desley Robinson · WINNER: Tammara Thibeault · CORRECT

Middleweight · 08 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 10 · 1.2381 / 3.85 · NO VALUE · Pick Tammara Thibeault 67%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-17 02:58:26 UTC

Sean Hemphill vs Gradus Kraus · WINNER: Gradus Kraus · CORRECT

Light heavyweight · 08 Aug 2026 · STOPPAGE (REPORTED) · 10/10 · 6.4 / 1.0909 · NO VALUE · Pick Gradus Kraus 58%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-23 03:19:42 UTC

Shurretta Metcalf vs Amanda Galle · WINNER: Amanda Galle · INCORRECT

Super flyweight · 08 Aug 2026 · UD · SCHEDULED 8 · 2.43 / 1.5263 · VALUE · Pick Shurretta Metcalf 67%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-17 03:04:10 UTC

Tracked Prediction Data

Unconfirmed results stay visible for reference; summary metrics use confirmed win/loss strategy bets.

Methodology Page 1 of 6 · 114 rows
Prediction filters Expand

Bets

30

ROI

23.11%

Profit

6.9338

Avg Odds

2.8666

Accuracy

56.67%

Win/Loss

100

Avg Diff

20.11%

Tracked

114

Advanced

Forecast Quality

100 confirmed

Brier score

0.171

Log loss

0.521

ECE

15.24%

Brier skill vs close

-47.19%

Market 0.116 · 100 rows

Forecast Band Rows Avg Forecast Observed Gap
50-60% 35 55.48% 74.29% 18.80%
60-70% 32 64.87% 78.13% 13.26%
70-80% 23 74.17% 86.96% 12.79%
80-90% 9 83.89% 100.00% 16.11%
90-100% 1 97.99% 100.00% 2.01%

Market And Strategy

Locked value only · 30 closing lines

Average CLV

+2.28%

Median CLV

0.00%

Beat-close rate

23.33%

Model-implied EV at close

+70.52%

Strategy Comparison

1u flat stake

Value only Active

30 bets

ROI 23.11% · Profit 6.9338 · Accuracy 56.67%

+Diff

30 bets

ROI 23.11% · Profit 6.9338 · Accuracy 56.67%

+5% diff

27 bets

ROI 19.64% · Profit 5.3024 · Accuracy 51.85%

+10% diff

24 bets

ROI 11.50% · Profit 2.7597 · Accuracy 45.83%

60%+ model

65 bets

ROI 3.34% · Profit 2.1693 · Accuracy 84.62%

All leans

100 bets

ROI 11.25% · Profit 11.2481 · Accuracy 81.00%

Dog +diff

20 bets

ROI 9.25% · Profit 1.8500 · Accuracy 40.00%

Prediction bout cards Expand

Emmanuel Tagoe vs Ernesto Mercado

16 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Ernesto Mercado

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

74.87%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

11 / 1.04

Implied

96.15%

Diff

-21.29%

ROI

-22.14%

Profit

N/A

Kaye Scott vs Claressa Shields

16 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Claressa Shields

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

57.40%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

16 / 1.0286

Implied

97.22%

Diff

-39.82%

ROI

-40.96%

Profit

N/A

Danielle Perkins vs Olivia Curry

15 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Danielle Perkins

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

90.95%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

1.1333 / 5.3

Implied

88.24%

Diff

2.71%

ROI

3.07%

Profit

N/A

Roamer Angulo vs Atif Oberlton

15 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Atif Oberlton

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

76.82%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

8.3 / 1.05

Implied

95.24%

Diff

-18.42%

ROI

-19.34%

Profit

N/A

Michael Zerafa vs Alejandro Ortiz

12 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Michael Zerafa

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

75.65%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0769 / 6.8

Implied

92.86%

Diff

-17.21%

ROI

-18.53%

Profit

N/A

John Parker vs Nikolas Charalampous

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Nikolas Charalampous

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

60.03%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

2.75 / 1.4444

Implied

69.23%

Diff

-9.20%

ROI

-13.29%

Profit

N/A

Shurretta Metcalf vs Amanda Galle

08 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Shurretta Metcalf

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

67.05%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

2.43 / 1.5263

Implied

41.15%

Diff

25.90%

ROI

62.93%

Profit

-1.0000

Sean Hemphill vs Gradus Kraus

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Gradus Kraus

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

58.24%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

6.4 / 1.0909

Implied

91.67%

Diff

-33.43%

ROI

-36.47%

Profit

N/A

Tammara Thibeault vs Desley Robinson

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Tammara Thibeault

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

66.52%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.2381 / 3.85

Implied

80.77%

Diff

-14.25%

ROI

-17.65%

Profit

N/A

Tyler Denny vs Callum Walsh

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Callum Walsh

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

65.03%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

3.9 / 1.2439

Implied

80.39%

Diff

-15.36%

ROI

-19.11%

Profit

N/A

Sam Hickey vs Brad Axe

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Sam Hickey

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

80.00%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0769 / 6.8

Implied

92.86%

Diff

-12.86%

ROI

-13.85%

Profit

N/A

Raúl Curiel vs Quinton Randall

02 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Quinton Randall

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

51.95%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

1.0769 / 6.8

Implied

16.13%

Diff

35.82%

ROI

222.08%

Profit

-1.0000

Paul Kroll vs Charles Conwell

02 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Charles Conwell

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

60.61%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

4.3 / 1.1818

Implied

84.62%

Diff

-24.01%

ROI

-28.37%

Profit

N/A

William Zepeda vs Lamont Roach

01 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

William Segura

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

58.15%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

2.64 / 1.4651

Implied

37.88%

Diff

20.27%

ROI

53.51%

Profit

1.6400

Lee Reeves vs Gary Cully

01 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Gary Cully

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

73.31%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

2.06 / 1.7143

Implied

58.33%

Diff

14.98%

ROI

25.68%

Profit

0.7143

Jorge Valencia vs Joel Iriarte

01 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Joel Iriarte

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

82.06%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

17 / 1.01

Implied

99.01%

Diff

-16.95%

ROI

-17.12%

Profit

N/A

Yeyery Castillo vs Dalis Kaleiopu

01 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Dalis Kaleiopu

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

84.36%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

11 / 1.05

Implied

95.24%

Diff

-10.87%

ROI

-11.42%

Profit

N/A

Fabian Macias vs Aaron Coley

01 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Fabian Macias

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

72.94%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0625 / 7.6

Implied

94.12%

Diff

-21.18%

ROI

-22.50%

Profit

N/A

Steven Butler vs Edgar Berlanga

27 Jul 2026

PASS

Lean

Edgar Berlanga

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

50.32%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

3.8 / 1.25

Implied

75.31%

Diff

-24.99%

ROI

-33.18%

Profit

N/A

Model: FiteQuant

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