Raymond Muratalla vs Robson Conceição
02 Aug
Lean
Raymond Muratalla
Win %
52%
Odds
1.1111 / 6.5
Est ROI
-42.41%
Implied
90.00%
Edge
-38.17%
Upcoming Fights
Data as of: 2026-07-07 00:43:57 UTC
28-day rolling window. Predictions appear once odds are available and fighter data passes quality gates.
Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.
Upcoming Bouts
Methodology
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Upcoming filters
Raymond Muratalla vs Robson Conceição · PICK: Raymond Muratalla · NO VALUE
Lightweight · 02 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.1111 / 6.5 · Pick 52%
Added 1d 2h ago
Titles on line: IBF/WBC Lightweight Championship
Lamont Roach vs William Zepeda · PICK: William Zepeda · VALUE
Lightweight · 02 Aug · R12 · Odds 1.4651 / 2.64 · Pick 58% · ROI +53.5%
Added 1d 2h ago
Raymond Muratalla vs Robson Conceição · PICK: Raymond Muratalla · NO VALUE
Lightweight · 02 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.1111 / 6.5 · Pick 52%
Added 1d 2h ago
Titles on line: IBF/WBC Lightweight Championship
Lamont Roach vs William Zepeda · PICK: William Zepeda · VALUE
Lightweight · 02 Aug · R12 · Odds 1.4651 / 2.64 · Pick 58% · ROI +53.5%
Added 1d 2h ago
Active Prediction Data
Uses the locked prediction produced when odds are available for the bout.
Prediction filters
Bets
1
Avg Odds
2.6400
Avg Win
58.15%
Avg Diff
20.27%
Avg ROI
53.51%
Win Profit (u)
1.6400u
Sample
2
Shown
2
Strategy Comparison
active predictions| Strategy | Bets | Avg Win | Avg ROI | Avg Diff | Win Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Locked value only Active | 1 | 58.15% | 53.51% | 20.27% | 1.6400 |
| Any positive diff | 1 | 58.15% | 53.51% | 20.27% | 1.6400 |
| Diff vs implied >= 5% | 1 | 58.15% | 53.51% | 20.27% | 1.6400 |
| Diff vs implied >= 10% | 1 | 58.15% | 53.51% | 20.27% | 1.6400 |
| Model confidence >= 60% | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| All model leans | 2 | 54.99% | 5.55% | -8.95% | 1.7511 |
| Underdog positive diff | 1 | 58.15% | 53.51% | 20.27% | 1.6400 |
Value only Active
1 bets
Avg ROI 53.51% · Avg diff 20.27% · Win profit 1.6400
+Diff
1 bets
Avg ROI 53.51% · Avg diff 20.27% · Win profit 1.6400
+5% diff
1 bets
Avg ROI 53.51% · Avg diff 20.27% · Win profit 1.6400
+10% diff
1 bets
Avg ROI 53.51% · Avg diff 20.27% · Win profit 1.6400
60%+ model
0 bets
Avg ROI N/A · Avg diff N/A · Win profit N/A
All leans
2 bets
Avg ROI 5.55% · Avg diff -8.95% · Win profit 1.7511
Dog +diff
1 bets
Avg ROI 53.51% · Avg diff 20.27% · Win profit 1.6400
| Bout | Date | Odds | Lean | Win % | Implied % | Edge % | Est ROI % | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Muratalla vs Robson Conceição | 02 Aug 2026 | 1.1111 / 6.5 | Raymond Muratalla | 51.83% | 90.00% | -38.17% | -42.41% | PASS |
| Lamont Roach vs William Zepeda | 02 Aug 2026 | 1.4651 / 2.64 | William Zepeda | 58.15% | 37.88% | 20.27% | 53.51% | BET |
Prediction bout cards
Lamont Roach vs William Zepeda
02 Aug
Lean
William Zepeda
Win %
58%
Odds
1.4651 / 2.64
Est ROI
53.51%
Implied
37.88%
Edge
20.27%