Deric Davis vs Carlos Espinoza
05 Jul 2026
Lean
Deric Davis
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
70.91%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.05 / 10
Implied
95.24%
Diff
-24.33%
ROI
-25.54%
Profit
N/A
Data as of: 2026-07-05 07:06:18 UTC
Results only confirm and affect headline metrics when winner + closing odds available.
Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.
Deric Davis vs Carlos Espinoza · WINNER: Deric Davis · CORRECT
Lightweight · 05 Jul 2026 · UD · SCHEDULED 8 · 1.05 / 10 · NO VALUE · Pick Deric Davis 71%
Albert Bell vs Abdullah Mason · WINNER: Abdullah Mason · CORRECT
Lightweight · 05 Jul 2026 · TKO · 11/12 · 4 / 1.25 · NO VALUE · Pick Abdullah Mason 62%
Rene Galvan vs Bruce Carrington · WINNER: Bruce Carrington · CORRECT
Featherweight · 05 Jul 2026 · UD · 11/12 · 7 / 1.1 · NO VALUE · Pick Bruce Carrington 74%
Yamato Hata vs Tsubasa Narai · WINNER: Yamato Hata · CORRECT
Super featherweight · 04 Jul 2026 · MD · SCHEDULED 10 · 1.5 / 2.63 · NO VALUE · Pick Yamato Hata 63%
Omar Trinidad vs Jerwin Ancajas · WINNER: Omar Trinidad · CORRECT
Featherweight · 29 Jun 2026 · UD · 9/10 · 1.2 / 4.25 · NO VALUE · Pick Omar Trinidad 62%
Cain Sandoval vs Brandun Lee · WINNER: Cain Sandoval · INCORRECT
Super lightweight · 29 Jun 2026 · MD · 9/10 · 2.5 / 1.5319 · NO VALUE · Pick Brandun Lee 62%
José Valenzuela vs Edwin Santos · WINNER: José Valenzuela · CORRECT
Lightweight · 29 Jun 2026 · KO · 9/10 · 2.2 / 1.6667 · VALUE · Pick José Gastélum 60% · ROI +15.3%
Brady Ochoa vs Adrian Serrano · WINNER: Adrian Serrano · INCORRECT
Lightweight · 28 Jun 2026 · UD · N/A · 1.4 / 2.85 · NO VALUE · Pick Brady Ochoa 64%
Vernon Brown vs Damoni Cato-Cain · WINNER: Damoni Cato-Cain · CORRECT
Welterweight · 28 Jun 2026 · UD · N/A · 2.7 / 1.4444 · NO VALUE · Pick Damoni Cato-Cain 59%
Jaybrio Benito vs Tony Hirsch · WINNER: Tony Hirsch · CORRECT
Lightweight · 28 Jun 2026 · KO · N/A · 2.5 / 1.5556 · VALUE · Pick Tony Hirsch 64% · ROI +12.0%
Deric Davis vs Carlos Espinoza · WINNER: Deric Davis · CORRECT
Lightweight · 05 Jul 2026 · UD · SCHEDULED 8 · 1.05 / 10 · NO VALUE · Pick Deric Davis 71%
Albert Bell vs Abdullah Mason · WINNER: Abdullah Mason · CORRECT
Lightweight · 05 Jul 2026 · TKO · 11/12 · 4 / 1.25 · NO VALUE · Pick Abdullah Mason 62%
Rene Galvan vs Bruce Carrington · WINNER: Bruce Carrington · CORRECT
Featherweight · 05 Jul 2026 · UD · 11/12 · 7 / 1.1 · NO VALUE · Pick Bruce Carrington 74%
Yamato Hata vs Tsubasa Narai · WINNER: Yamato Hata · CORRECT
Super featherweight · 04 Jul 2026 · MD · SCHEDULED 10 · 1.5 / 2.63 · NO VALUE · Pick Yamato Hata 63%
Omar Trinidad vs Jerwin Ancajas · WINNER: Omar Trinidad · CORRECT
Featherweight · 29 Jun 2026 · UD · 9/10 · 1.2 / 4.25 · NO VALUE · Pick Omar Trinidad 62%
Cain Sandoval vs Brandun Lee · WINNER: Cain Sandoval · INCORRECT
Super lightweight · 29 Jun 2026 · MD · 9/10 · 2.5 / 1.5319 · NO VALUE · Pick Brandun Lee 62%
José Valenzuela vs Edwin Santos · WINNER: José Valenzuela · CORRECT
Lightweight · 29 Jun 2026 · KO · 9/10 · 2.2 / 1.6667 · VALUE · Pick José Gastélum 60% · ROI +15.3%
Brady Ochoa vs Adrian Serrano · WINNER: Adrian Serrano · INCORRECT
Lightweight · 28 Jun 2026 · UD · N/A · 1.4 / 2.85 · NO VALUE · Pick Brady Ochoa 64%
Vernon Brown vs Damoni Cato-Cain · WINNER: Damoni Cato-Cain · CORRECT
Welterweight · 28 Jun 2026 · UD · N/A · 2.7 / 1.4444 · NO VALUE · Pick Damoni Cato-Cain 59%
Jaybrio Benito vs Tony Hirsch · WINNER: Tony Hirsch · CORRECT
Lightweight · 28 Jun 2026 · KO · N/A · 2.5 / 1.5556 · VALUE · Pick Tony Hirsch 64% · ROI +12.0%
Unconfirmed results stay visible for reference; summary metrics use confirmed win/loss strategy bets.
Bets
16
ROI
58.11%
Profit
9.2970
Avg Odds
2.9373
Accuracy
68.75%
Win/Loss
51
Avg Diff
18.46%
Tracked
52
Strategy Comparison
1u flat stake| Strategy | Bets | Profit | ROI | Accuracy | Avg Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Locked value only Active | 16 | 9.2970 | 58.11% | 68.75% | 18.46% |
| Any positive diff | 16 | 9.2970 | 58.11% | 68.75% | 18.46% |
| Diff vs implied >= 5% | 13 | 6.7696 | 52.07% | 61.54% | 22.19% |
| Diff vs implied >= 10% | 11 | 5.1029 | 46.39% | 54.55% | 24.87% |
| Model confidence >= 60% | 36 | 2.6323 | 7.31% | 83.33% | -9.86% |
| All model leans | 51 | 7.8525 | 15.40% | 80.39% | -7.35% |
| Underdog positive diff | 11 | 5.3300 | 48.45% | 54.55% | 24.10% |
Value only Active
16 bets
ROI 58.11% · Profit 9.2970 · Accuracy 68.75%
+Diff
16 bets
ROI 58.11% · Profit 9.2970 · Accuracy 68.75%
+5% diff
13 bets
ROI 52.07% · Profit 6.7696 · Accuracy 61.54%
+10% diff
11 bets
ROI 46.39% · Profit 5.1029 · Accuracy 54.55%
60%+ model
36 bets
ROI 7.31% · Profit 2.6323 · Accuracy 83.33%
All leans
51 bets
ROI 15.40% · Profit 7.8525 · Accuracy 80.39%
Dog +diff
11 bets
ROI 48.45% · Profit 5.3300 · Accuracy 54.55%
| Date | Bout | Odds | Model Lean | Win % | Implied % | Diff vs Implied | ROI % | Action | Outcome | Profit | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul 2026 | Deric Davis vs Carlos Espinoza | 1.05 / 10 | Deric Davis | 70.91% | 95.24% | -24.33% | -25.54% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 05 Jul 2026 | Albert Bell vs Abdullah Mason | 4 / 1.25 | Abdullah Mason | 62.31% | 80.00% | -17.69% | -22.11% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 05 Jul 2026 | Rene Galvan vs Bruce Carrington | 7 / 1.1 | Bruce Carrington | 74.47% | 90.91% | -16.44% | -18.09% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 04 Jul 2026 | Yamato Hata vs Tsubasa Narai | 1.5 / 2.63 | Yamato Hata | 62.86% | 66.67% | -3.81% | -5.71% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Omar Trinidad vs Jerwin Ancajas | 1.2 / 4.25 | Omar Trinidad | 62.30% | 80.00% | -17.70% | -22.12% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Cain Sandoval vs Brandun Lee | 2.5 / 1.5319 | Brandun Lee | 62.37% | 65.28% | -2.91% | -4.46% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | INCORRECT |
| 29 Jun 2026 | José Valenzuela vs Edwin Santos | 2.2 / 1.6667 | José Gastélum | 60.42% | 52.38% | 8.04% | 15.34% | BET | WIN | 0.9091 | CORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Brady Ochoa vs Adrian Serrano | 1.4 / 2.85 | Brady Ochoa | 64.13% | 73.55% | -9.42% | -12.80% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | INCORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Vernon Brown vs Damoni Cato-Cain | 2.7 / 1.4444 | Damoni Cato-Cain | 59.17% | 73.55% | -14.38% | -19.55% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Jaybrio Benito vs Tony Hirsch | 2.5 / 1.5556 | Tony Hirsch | 63.75% | 56.90% | 6.86% | 12.05% | BET | WIN | 0.7576 | CORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Floyd Diaz vs José Santibanez | 1.4545 / 2.63 | José Santibanez | 63.07% | 40.00% | 23.07% | 57.67% | BET | WIN | 1.5000 | CORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Jahi Tucker vs Euri Cedeño | 1.9524 / 1.8 | Euri Martínez | 73.58% | 43.48% | 30.10% | 69.23% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | INCORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Richard Rivera vs Benjamin Whittaker | 10 / 1.05 | Benjamin Whittaker | 75.04% | 92.31% | -17.27% | -18.70% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Xander Zayas vs Jaron Ennis | 4 / 1.2222 | Jaron Ennis | 71.52% | 80.95% | -9.43% | -11.65% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 24 Jun 2026 | Peng Qu vs Luke Modini | 10 / 1.04 | Luke Modini | 68.44% | 96.15% | -27.72% | -28.82% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 24 Jun 2026 | Liam Paro vs Lewis Crocker | 1.8929 / 1.8929 | Liam Paro | 65.89% | 52.83% | 13.06% | 24.71% | BET | WIN | 0.8929 | CORRECT |
| 21 Jun 2026 | Oscar Collazo vs Neider Aguilar | 1.01 / 19 | Oscar Collazo | 64.68% | 99.01% | -34.33% | -34.68% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Joseph Diaz vs Ashton Sylve | 4.25 / 1.2 | Ashton Sylve | 55.20% | 88.89% | -33.69% | -37.90% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Ruslan Abdullaev vs Orestes Romero | 1.071 / 7.5 | Ruslan Abdullaev | 58.90% | 90.91% | -32.01% | -35.21% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 14 Jun 2026 | Nataly Hernandez vs Jasmine Artiga | 3.9 / 1.2353 | Jasmine Artiga | 75.17% | 76.91% | -1.74% | -2.26% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | INCORRECT |
Deric Davis vs Carlos Espinoza
05 Jul 2026
Lean
Deric Davis
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
70.91%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.05 / 10
Implied
95.24%
Diff
-24.33%
ROI
-25.54%
Profit
N/A
05 Jul 2026
Lean
Abdullah Mason
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
62.31%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
4 / 1.25
Implied
80.00%
Diff
-17.69%
ROI
-22.11%
Profit
N/A
Rene Galvan vs Bruce Carrington
05 Jul 2026
Lean
Bruce Carrington
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
74.47%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
7 / 1.1
Implied
90.91%
Diff
-16.44%
ROI
-18.09%
Profit
N/A
04 Jul 2026
Lean
Yamato Hata
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
62.86%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.5 / 2.63
Implied
66.67%
Diff
-3.81%
ROI
-5.71%
Profit
N/A
Omar Trinidad vs Jerwin Ancajas
29 Jun 2026
Lean
Omar Trinidad
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
62.30%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.2 / 4.25
Implied
80.00%
Diff
-17.70%
ROI
-22.12%
Profit
N/A
29 Jun 2026
Lean
Brandun Lee
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
62.37%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
2.5 / 1.5319
Implied
65.28%
Diff
-2.91%
ROI
-4.46%
Profit
N/A
José Valenzuela vs Edwin Santos
29 Jun 2026
Lean
José Gastélum
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
60.42%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
2.2 / 1.6667
Implied
52.38%
Diff
8.04%
ROI
15.34%
Profit
0.9091
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Brady Ochoa
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
64.13%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.4 / 2.85
Implied
73.55%
Diff
-9.42%
ROI
-12.80%
Profit
N/A
Vernon Brown vs Damoni Cato-Cain
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Damoni Cato-Cain
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
59.17%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
2.7 / 1.4444
Implied
73.55%
Diff
-14.38%
ROI
-19.55%
Profit
N/A
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Tony Hirsch
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
63.75%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
2.5 / 1.5556
Implied
56.90%
Diff
6.86%
ROI
12.05%
Profit
0.7576
28 Jun 2026
Lean
José Santibanez
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
63.07%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
1.4545 / 2.63
Implied
40.00%
Diff
23.07%
ROI
57.67%
Profit
1.5000
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Euri Martínez
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
73.58%
Outcome
LOSS
Odds
1.9524 / 1.8
Implied
43.48%
Diff
30.10%
ROI
69.23%
Profit
-1.0000
Richard Rivera vs Benjamin Whittaker
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Benjamin Whittaker
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
75.04%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
10 / 1.05
Implied
92.31%
Diff
-17.27%
ROI
-18.70%
Profit
N/A
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Jaron Ennis
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
71.52%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
4 / 1.2222
Implied
80.95%
Diff
-9.43%
ROI
-11.65%
Profit
N/A
24 Jun 2026
Lean
Luke Modini
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
68.44%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
10 / 1.04
Implied
96.15%
Diff
-27.72%
ROI
-28.82%
Profit
N/A
24 Jun 2026
Lean
Liam Paro
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
65.89%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
1.8929 / 1.8929
Implied
52.83%
Diff
13.06%
ROI
24.71%
Profit
0.8929
Oscar Collazo vs Neider Aguilar
21 Jun 2026
Lean
Oscar Collazo
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
64.68%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.01 / 19
Implied
99.01%
Diff
-34.33%
ROI
-34.68%
Profit
N/A
20 Jun 2026
Lean
Ashton Sylve
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
55.20%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
4.25 / 1.2
Implied
88.89%
Diff
-33.69%
ROI
-37.90%
Profit
N/A
Ruslan Abdullaev vs Orestes Romero
20 Jun 2026
Lean
Ruslan Abdullaev
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
58.90%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.071 / 7.5
Implied
90.91%
Diff
-32.01%
ROI
-35.21%
Profit
N/A
Nataly Hernandez vs Jasmine Artiga
14 Jun 2026
Lean
Jasmine Artiga
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
75.17%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
3.9 / 1.2353
Implied
76.91%
Diff
-1.74%
ROI
-2.26%
Profit
N/A