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Results

Data as of: 2026-08-09 17:19:31 UTC

Results only confirm and affect headline metrics when winner + closing odds available.

Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.

Recent Results

Methodology Page 1 of 11 · 109 rows
Result filters Expand

Katie Taylor vs Flora Pili · WINNER: Katie Taylor · CORRECT

Super lightweight · 05 Sep 2026 · 1.05 / 11 · NO VALUE · Pick Katie Taylor 67%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-23 11:59:42 UTC

Matthew Boreland vs Joseph McGrail · WINNER: Joseph McGrail · INCORRECT

Super bantamweight · 05 Sep 2026 · 5.3 / 1.1333 · VALUE · Pick Matthew Boreland 55%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-23 13:47:51 UTC

Damian Knyba vs Andrés Ruiz · WINNER: Damian Knyba · CORRECT

Heavyweight · 05 Sep 2026 · 3.05 / 1.3571 · VALUE · Pick Damian Knyba 51% · ROI +70.9%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-23 11:54:57 UTC

Daiya Kira vs Carlos Cañizales · WINNER: Daiya Kira · INCORRECT

Light flyweight · 02 Sep 2026 · 1.2899 / 3.4 · VALUE · Pick Carlos Civira 62%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-06 04:12:54 UTC

Wilfredo Méndez vs Takeshi Ishii · WINNER: Takeshi Ishii · INCORRECT

Minimumweight · 02 Sep 2026 · 4.3 / 1.1818 · VALUE · Pick Wilfredo Figueroa 64%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-28 06:06:43 UTC

Weljon Mindoro vs Carlos Ocampo · WINNER: Carlos Ocampo · INCORRECT

Super middleweight · 29 Aug 2026 · 1.2222 / 4.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Weljon Mindoro 68%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-27 08:00:41 UTC

Mauricio Lara vs Carlos Zing · WINNER: Mauricio Lara · CORRECT

Super featherweight · 29 Aug 2026 · Pick 1.1053 · NO VALUE · Pick Mauricio Acosta 64%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-03 13:05:59 UTC

Luis Valenzuela vs Jordan White · WINNER: Jordan White · INCORRECT

Lightweight · 29 Aug 2026 · 1.3333 / 3.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Luis Valenzuela 66%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-02 02:41:00 UTC

Moses Itauma vs Filip Hrgović · WINNER: Filip Hrgović · INCORRECT

Heavyweight · 29 Aug 2026 · 1.1111 / 6.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Moses Itauma 50%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-03 12:42:21 UTC

Mikaela Mayer vs Chantelle Cameron · WINNER: Chantelle Cameron · CORRECT

Super welterweight · 29 Aug 2026 · 1.5319 / 2.63 · VALUE · Pick Chantelle Cameron 59% · ROI +75.5%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-03 12:31:33 UTC

Tracked Prediction Data

Unconfirmed results stay visible for reference; summary metrics use confirmed win/loss strategy bets.

Methodology Page 1 of 6 · 109 rows
Prediction filters Expand

Bets

33

ROI

24.56%

Profit

8.1063

Avg Odds

3.2091

Accuracy

54.55%

Win/Loss

101

Avg Diff

21.67%

Tracked

109

Advanced

Advanced Strategy Metrics

Calculated from settled bets selected by the active strategy.

Locked value only · 33 settled bets

Forecast Quality

Brier score

0.250

Log loss

0.696

ECE

8.12%

Brier skill vs prediction odds

-13.84%

Market 0.220 - 33 de-vigged market lines

Forecast Band Rows Avg Forecast Observed Gap
50-60% 17 55.05% 47.06% 7.99%
60-70% 12 64.47% 66.67% 2.19%
70-80% 4 76.48% 50.00% 26.48%
80-90% 0 N/A N/A N/A
90-100% 0 N/A N/A N/A

Market And Strategy

Locked value only · 33 closing lines

Average CLV

+6.46%

Median CLV

+8.00%

Beat-close rate

60.61%

Model-implied EV at close

+86.89%

Strategy Comparison

1u flat stake

Value only Active

33 bets

ROI 24.56% · Profit 8.1063 · Accuracy 54.55%

+Diff

33 bets

ROI 24.56% · Profit 8.1063 · Accuracy 54.55%

+5% diff

29 bets

ROI 17.48% · Profit 5.0687 · Accuracy 48.28%

+10% diff

25 bets

ROI 15.87% · Profit 3.9672 · Accuracy 44.00%

60%+ model

72 bets

ROI 2.81% · Profit 2.0232 · Accuracy 83.33%

All leans

101 bets

ROI 7.58% · Profit 7.6546 · Accuracy 77.23%

Dog +diff

24 bets

ROI 14.50% · Profit 3.4800 · Accuracy 41.67%

Prediction bout cards Expand

Katie Taylor vs Flora Pili

05 Sep 2026

PASS

Lean

Katie Taylor

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

67.19%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0333 / 14.6

Implied

96.78%

Diff

-29.58%

ROI

-30.57%

Profit

N/A

Matthew Boreland vs Joseph McGrail

05 Sep 2026

BET

Lean

Matthew Boreland

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

55.13%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

5.3 / 1.1333

Implied

18.87%

Diff

36.26%

ROI

192.17%

Profit

-1.0000

Damian Knyba vs Andrés Ruiz

05 Sep 2026

BET

Lean

Damian Knyba

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

51.00%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

3.35 / 1.303

Implied

29.85%

Diff

21.15%

ROI

70.87%

Profit

2.3500

Daiya Kira vs Carlos Cañizales

02 Sep 2026

BET

Lean

Carlos Civira

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

61.97%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

1.4167 / 2.74

Implied

36.50%

Diff

25.48%

ROI

69.81%

Profit

-1.0000

Wilfredo Méndez vs Takeshi Ishii

02 Sep 2026

BET

Lean

Wilfredo Figueroa

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

64.13%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

5.3 / 1.1333

Implied

18.87%

Diff

45.26%

ROI

239.86%

Profit

-1.0000

Weljon Mindoro vs Carlos Ocampo

29 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Weljon Mindoro

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

67.85%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.1538 / 5

Implied

86.67%

Diff

-18.82%

ROI

-21.71%

Profit

N/A

Mauricio Lara vs Carlos Zing

29 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Mauricio Acosta

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

64.07%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.1053 / 6

Implied

90.47%

Diff

-26.40%

ROI

-29.18%

Profit

N/A

Luis Valenzuela vs Jordan White

29 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Luis Valenzuela

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

65.98%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.3846 / 2.88

Implied

72.22%

Diff

-6.24%

ROI

-8.64%

Profit

N/A

Moses Itauma vs Filip Hrgović

29 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Moses Itauma

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

50.47%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.1111 / 6.3

Implied

90.00%

Diff

-39.54%

ROI

-43.93%

Profit

N/A

Mikaela Mayer vs Chantelle Cameron

29 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Chantelle Cameron

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

58.51%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

1.3704 / 3

Implied

33.33%

Diff

25.18%

ROI

75.53%

Profit

2.0000

Terri Harper vs Miranda Reyes

29 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Terri Harper

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

69.58%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.3333 / 3.15

Implied

75.00%

Diff

-5.42%

ROI

-7.23%

Profit

N/A

Aloys Youmbi vs Ismaikel Pérez

29 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Ismaikel Pérez

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

79.61%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

1.2326 / 3.8

Implied

26.32%

Diff

53.29%

ROI

202.51%

Profit

N/A

Miyo Yoshida vs Skye Nicolson

29 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Skye Nicolson

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

89.83%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

8.2 / 1.0556

Implied

94.73%

Diff

-4.90%

ROI

-5.17%

Profit

N/A

Nikita Tszyu vs Benjamin Mahoney

26 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Nikita Tszyu

Verdict

DRAW

Win %

52.44%

Outcome

DRAW

Odds

1.1818 / 4.3

Implied

84.62%

Diff

-32.17%

ROI

-38.02%

Profit

N/A

Teófimo Rivera vs Rolando Romero

22 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Teófimo Rivera

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

76.98%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

1.4348 / 2.78

Implied

69.70%

Diff

7.28%

ROI

10.45%

Profit

0.4348

Yoenli Martinez vs Francisco Verón

22 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Yoenli Martinez

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

82.94%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0625 / 7.6

Implied

94.12%

Diff

-11.17%

ROI

-11.87%

Profit

N/A

Ricky Mamone vs Aldo Blancas

22 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Aldo Blancas

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

74.83%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

15 / 1.02

Implied

98.04%

Diff

-23.21%

ROI

-23.67%

Profit

N/A

Israel Hernandez vs Carlos Lopez

22 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Carlos Lopez

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

68.17%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

6 / 1.1053

Implied

90.47%

Diff

-22.31%

ROI

-24.66%

Profit

N/A

Victor Santillan vs Gary Russell

22 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Gary Russell

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

68.55%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

1.6494 / 2.16

Implied

46.30%

Diff

22.26%

ROI

48.07%

Profit

1.1600

Jackson Maríñez vs Avious Griffin

21 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Avious Griffin

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

71.23%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

7.5 / 1.069

Implied

93.55%

Diff

-22.31%

ROI

-23.85%

Profit

N/A

Model: High AI Confidence

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