Denzel Bentley vs Shane Mosley
07 Nov
Lean
Shane Mosley
Win %
68%
Odds
1.4878 / 2.58
Est ROI
76.60%
Implied
38.76%
Edge
29.69%
Data as of: 2026-11-04 11:29:40 UTC
28-day rolling window. Predictions appear once odds are available and fighter data passes quality gates.
Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.
Denzel Bentley vs Shane Mosley · PICK: Shane Mosley · VALUE
Middleweight · 07 Nov · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.4878 / 2.58 · Pick 68% · ROI +76.6%
Added 3w 2d ago
Cheavon Clarke vs Chris Billam-Smith · PICK: Chris Billam-Smith · NO VALUE
Cruiserweight · 07 Nov · R10 · Odds 3.6 / 1.2703 · Pick 57%
Added 3w 2d ago
Umar Dzambekov vs Zach Parker · PICK: Umar Dzambekov · NO VALUE
Light heavyweight · 07 Nov · R10 · Odds 1.303 / 3.3 · Pick 69%
Added 1d 18h ago
Joshua Buatsi vs William Hutchinson · PICK: Joshua Buatsi · VALUE
Light heavyweight · 07 Nov · R12 · Odds 1.8475 / 1.9259 · Pick 65% · ROI +20.9%
Added 3w 2d ago
Atif Oberlton vs Deon Nicholson · PICK: Atif Oberlton · NO VALUE
Light heavyweight · 08 Nov · R10 · Odds 1.1333 / 5.3 · Pick 83%
Added 1d 18h ago
Alycia Baumgardner vs Elif Turhan · PICK: Elif Turhan · VALUE
Lightweight · 08 Nov · R10 · Odds 1.1429 / 5.3 · Pick 56% · ROI +199.0%
Added 1d 18h ago
Miyo Yoshida vs Skye Nicolson · PICK: Skye Nicolson · NO VALUE
Super bantamweight · 09 Nov · R10 · Odds 8.3 / 1.05 · Pick 90%
Added 3w 2d ago
Andres Teran vs Jason Moloney · PICK: Jason Moloney · NO VALUE
Bantamweight · 14 Nov · R10 · Odds 2.26 / 1.5814 · Pick 61%
Added 1d 18h ago
Carlos Adames vs Gerome Warburton · PICK: Carlos Adames · NO VALUE
Super middleweight · 14 Nov · R10 · Odds 1.0333 / 9.9 · Pick 75%
Added 1d 18h ago
Nishant Dev vs Sona Akale · PICK: Nishant Dev · VALUE
Super welterweight · 14 Nov · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.0909 / 6.4 · Pick 94% · ROI +3.1%
Added 1w 2d ago
Masamichi Yabuki vs Miel Fajardo · PICK: Masamichi Yabuki · NO VALUE
Flyweight · 26 Nov · R12 · Odds 1.1818 / 4.6 · Pick 60%
Added 5d 21h ago
Titles on line: IBF Flyweight Championship
Agit Kabayel vs Nelson Hysa · PICK: Agit Kabayel · NO VALUE
Heavyweight · 28 Nov · R12 · Odds 1.0556 / 10 · Pick 64%
Added 1d 18h ago
Riku Masuda vs Seiya Tsutsumi · PICK: Riku Masuda · NO VALUE
Bantamweight · 29 Nov · R12 · Odds 1.4651 / 2.64 · Pick 65%
Added 1d 18h ago
Denzel Bentley vs Shane Mosley · PICK: Shane Mosley · VALUE
Middleweight · 07 Nov · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.4878 / 2.58 · Pick 68% · ROI +76.6%
Added 3w 2d ago
Cheavon Clarke vs Chris Billam-Smith · PICK: Chris Billam-Smith · NO VALUE
Cruiserweight · 07 Nov · R10 · Odds 3.6 / 1.2703 · Pick 57%
Added 3w 2d ago
Umar Dzambekov vs Zach Parker · PICK: Umar Dzambekov · NO VALUE
Light heavyweight · 07 Nov · R10 · Odds 1.303 / 3.3 · Pick 69%
Added 1d 18h ago
Joshua Buatsi vs William Hutchinson · PICK: Joshua Buatsi · VALUE
Light heavyweight · 07 Nov · R12 · Odds 1.8475 / 1.9259 · Pick 65% · ROI +20.9%
Added 3w 2d ago
Atif Oberlton vs Deon Nicholson · PICK: Atif Oberlton · NO VALUE
Light heavyweight · 08 Nov · R10 · Odds 1.1333 / 5.3 · Pick 83%
Added 1d 18h ago
Alycia Baumgardner vs Elif Turhan · PICK: Elif Turhan · VALUE
Lightweight · 08 Nov · R10 · Odds 1.1429 / 5.3 · Pick 56% · ROI +199.0%
Added 1d 18h ago
Miyo Yoshida vs Skye Nicolson · PICK: Skye Nicolson · NO VALUE
Super bantamweight · 09 Nov · R10 · Odds 8.3 / 1.05 · Pick 90%
Added 3w 2d ago
Andres Teran vs Jason Moloney · PICK: Jason Moloney · NO VALUE
Bantamweight · 14 Nov · R10 · Odds 2.26 / 1.5814 · Pick 61%
Added 1d 18h ago
Carlos Adames vs Gerome Warburton · PICK: Carlos Adames · NO VALUE
Super middleweight · 14 Nov · R10 · Odds 1.0333 / 9.9 · Pick 75%
Added 1d 18h ago
Nishant Dev vs Sona Akale · PICK: Nishant Dev · VALUE
Super welterweight · 14 Nov · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.0909 / 6.4 · Pick 94% · ROI +3.1%
Added 1w 2d ago
Masamichi Yabuki vs Miel Fajardo · PICK: Masamichi Yabuki · NO VALUE
Flyweight · 26 Nov · R12 · Odds 1.1818 / 4.6 · Pick 60%
Added 5d 21h ago
Titles on line: IBF Flyweight Championship
Agit Kabayel vs Nelson Hysa · PICK: Agit Kabayel · NO VALUE
Heavyweight · 28 Nov · R12 · Odds 1.0556 / 10 · Pick 64%
Added 1d 18h ago
Riku Masuda vs Seiya Tsutsumi · PICK: Riku Masuda · NO VALUE
Bantamweight · 29 Nov · R12 · Odds 1.4651 / 2.64 · Pick 65%
Added 1d 18h ago
Uses the locked prediction produced when odds are available for the bout.
Bets
4
Avg Odds
2.7046
Avg Win
71.21%
Avg Diff
20.35%
Avg ROI
74.91%
Win Profit (u)
6.8184u
Sample
13
Shown
13
Strategy Comparison
active predictions| Strategy | Bets | Avg Win | Avg ROI | Avg Diff | Win Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Locked value only Active | 4 | 71.21% | 74.91% | 20.35% | 6.8184 |
| Any positive diff | 4 | 71.21% | 74.91% | 20.35% | 6.8184 |
| Diff vs implied >= 5% | 3 | 63.44% | 98.85% | 26.19% | 6.7275 |
| Diff vs implied >= 10% | 3 | 63.44% | 98.85% | 26.19% | 6.7275 |
| Model confidence >= 60% | 10 | 73.59% | 1.64% | -3.19% | 4.1401 |
| All model leans | 13 | 69.89% | 12.15% | -3.18% | 8.8922 |
| Underdog positive diff | 2 | 62.43% | 137.81% | 33.62% | 5.8800 |
Value only Active
4 bets
Avg ROI 74.91% · Avg diff 20.35% · Win profit 6.8184
+Diff
4 bets
Avg ROI 74.91% · Avg diff 20.35% · Win profit 6.8184
+5% diff
3 bets
Avg ROI 98.85% · Avg diff 26.19% · Win profit 6.7275
+10% diff
3 bets
Avg ROI 98.85% · Avg diff 26.19% · Win profit 6.7275
60%+ model
10 bets
Avg ROI 1.64% · Avg diff -3.19% · Win profit 4.1401
All leans
13 bets
Avg ROI 12.15% · Avg diff -3.18% · Win profit 8.8922
Dog +diff
2 bets
Avg ROI 137.81% · Avg diff 33.62% · Win profit 5.8800
| Bout | Date | Odds | Lean | Win % | Implied % | Edge % | Est ROI % | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Bentley vs Shane Mosley | 07 Nov 2026 | 1.4878 / 2.58 | Shane Mosley | 68.45% | 38.76% | 29.69% | 76.60% | BET |
| Cheavon Clarke vs Chris Billam-Smith | 07 Nov 2026 | 3.6 / 1.2703 | Chris Billam-Smith | 56.61% | 78.72% | -22.12% | -28.09% | PASS |
| Umar Dzambekov vs Zach Parker | 07 Nov 2026 | 1.303 / 3.3 | Umar Dzambekov | 69.48% | 76.75% | -7.26% | -9.47% | PASS |
| Joshua Buatsi vs William Hutchinson | 07 Nov 2026 | 1.8475 / 1.9259 | Joshua Buatsi | 65.47% | 54.13% | 11.34% | 20.95% | BET |
| Atif Oberlton vs Deon Nicholson | 08 Nov 2026 | 1.1333 / 5.3 | Atif Oberlton | 83.37% | 88.24% | -4.87% | -5.51% | PASS |
| Alycia Baumgardner vs Elif Turhan | 08 Nov 2026 | 1.1429 / 5.3 | Elif Turhan | 56.42% | 18.87% | 37.55% | 199.01% | BET |
| Miyo Yoshida vs Skye Nicolson | 09 Nov 2026 | 8.3 / 1.05 | Skye Nicolson | 89.80% | 95.24% | -5.43% | -5.71% | PASS |
| Andres Teran vs Jason Moloney | 14 Nov 2026 | 2.26 / 1.5814 | Jason Moloney | 60.65% | 63.24% | -2.59% | -4.09% | PASS |
| Carlos Adames vs Gerome Warburton | 14 Nov 2026 | 1.0333 / 9.9 | Carlos Adames | 74.99% | 96.78% | -21.79% | -22.51% | PASS |
| Nishant Dev vs Sona Akale | 14 Nov 2026 | 1.0909 / 6.4 | Nishant Dev | 94.49% | 91.67% | 2.82% | 3.08% | BET |
| Masamichi Yabuki vs Miel Fajardo | 26 Nov 2026 | 1.1818 / 4.6 | Masamichi Yabuki | 59.73% | 84.62% | -24.89% | -29.41% | PASS |
| Agit Kabayel vs Nelson Hysa | 28 Nov 2026 | 1.0556 / 10 | Agit Kabayel | 63.89% | 94.73% | -30.84% | -32.56% | PASS |
| Riku Masuda vs Seiya Tsutsumi | 29 Nov 2026 | 1.4651 / 2.64 | Riku Masuda | 65.28% | 68.25% | -2.98% | -4.36% | PASS |
Denzel Bentley vs Shane Mosley
07 Nov
Lean
Shane Mosley
Win %
68%
Odds
1.4878 / 2.58
Est ROI
76.60%
Implied
38.76%
Edge
29.69%
Cheavon Clarke vs Chris Billam-Smith
07 Nov
Lean
Chris Billam-Smith
Win %
57%
Odds
3.6 / 1.2703
Est ROI
-28.09%
Implied
78.72%
Edge
-22.12%
Umar Dzambekov vs Zach Parker
07 Nov
Lean
Umar Dzambekov
Win %
69%
Odds
1.303 / 3.3
Est ROI
-9.47%
Implied
76.75%
Edge
-7.26%
Joshua Buatsi vs William Hutchinson
07 Nov
Lean
Joshua Buatsi
Win %
65%
Odds
1.8475 / 1.9259
Est ROI
20.95%
Implied
54.13%
Edge
11.34%
Atif Oberlton vs Deon Nicholson
08 Nov
Lean
Atif Oberlton
Win %
83%
Odds
1.1333 / 5.3
Est ROI
-5.51%
Implied
88.24%
Edge
-4.87%
Alycia Baumgardner vs Elif Turhan
08 Nov
Lean
Elif Turhan
Win %
56%
Odds
1.1429 / 5.3
Est ROI
199.01%
Implied
18.87%
Edge
37.55%
Miyo Yoshida vs Skye Nicolson
09 Nov
Lean
Skye Nicolson
Win %
90%
Odds
8.3 / 1.05
Est ROI
-5.71%
Implied
95.24%
Edge
-5.43%
Andres Teran vs Jason Moloney
14 Nov
Lean
Jason Moloney
Win %
61%
Odds
2.26 / 1.5814
Est ROI
-4.09%
Implied
63.24%
Edge
-2.59%
Carlos Adames vs Gerome Warburton
14 Nov
Lean
Carlos Adames
Win %
75%
Odds
1.0333 / 9.9
Est ROI
-22.51%
Implied
96.78%
Edge
-21.79%
Nishant Dev vs Sona Akale
14 Nov
Lean
Nishant Dev
Win %
94%
Odds
1.0909 / 6.4
Est ROI
3.08%
Implied
91.67%
Edge
2.82%
Masamichi Yabuki vs Miel Fajardo
26 Nov
Lean
Masamichi Yabuki
Win %
60%
Odds
1.1818 / 4.6
Est ROI
-29.41%
Implied
84.62%
Edge
-24.89%
Agit Kabayel vs Nelson Hysa
28 Nov
Lean
Agit Kabayel
Win %
64%
Odds
1.0556 / 10
Est ROI
-32.56%
Implied
94.73%
Edge
-30.84%
Riku Masuda vs Seiya Tsutsumi
29 Nov
Lean
Riku Masuda
Win %
65%
Odds
1.4651 / 2.64
Est ROI
-4.36%
Implied
68.25%
Edge
-2.98%