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Results

Data as of: 2026-08-09 17:19:31 UTC

Results only confirm and affect headline metrics when winner + closing odds available.

Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.

Recent Results

Methodology Page 1 of 9 · 88 rows
Result filters Expand

Kaye Scott vs Claressa Shields · WINNER: Claressa Shields · CORRECT

Middleweight · 16 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 10 · 16 / 1.0286 · NO VALUE · Pick Claressa Shields 72%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-21 02:00:12 UTC

Emmanuel Tagoe vs Ernesto Mercado · STATUS: Pending · PENDING

Super lightweight · 16 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 11 / 1.04 · NO VALUE · Pick Ernesto Mercado 90%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-15 08:21:09 UTC

Roamer Angulo vs Atif Oberlton · WINNER: Atif Oberlton · CORRECT

Light heavyweight · 15 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 8.3 / 1.05 · NO VALUE · Pick Atif Oberlton 95%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-12 14:55:24 UTC

Danielle Perkins vs Olivia Curry · STATUS: Pending · PENDING

Light heavyweight · 15 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.1333 / 5.3 · NO VALUE · Pick Danielle Perkins 86%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-12 14:46:36 UTC

Michael Zerafa vs Alejandro Ortiz · WINNER: Michael Zerafa · CORRECT

Middleweight · 12 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.0769 / 6.8 · NO VALUE · Pick Michael Zerafa 80%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-19 02:13:05 UTC

Sam Hickey vs Brad Axe · WINNER: Sam Hickey · CORRECT

Middleweight · 08 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 8 · 1.0769 / 6.8 · NO VALUE · Pick Sam Hickey 56%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-03 11:01:08 UTC

Tyler Denny vs Callum Walsh · WINNER: Callum Walsh · CORRECT

Middleweight · 08 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 10 · 3.9 / 1.2439 · NO VALUE · Pick Callum Walsh 75%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-30 02:43:44 UTC

Tammara Thibeault vs Desley Robinson · WINNER: Tammara Thibeault · INCORRECT

Middleweight · 08 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 10 · 1.2381 / 3.85 · VALUE · Pick Desley Robinson 59%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-17 02:58:26 UTC

Sean Hemphill vs Gradus Kraus · WINNER: Gradus Kraus · CORRECT

Light heavyweight · 08 Aug 2026 · STOPPAGE (REPORTED) · 10/10 · 6.4 / 1.0909 · VALUE · Pick Gradus Kraus 93% · ROI +1.6%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-23 03:19:42 UTC

Shurretta Metcalf vs Amanda Galle · WINNER: Amanda Galle · CORRECT

Super flyweight · 08 Aug 2026 · UD · SCHEDULED 8 · 2.43 / 1.5263 · VALUE · Pick Amanda Galle 69% · ROI +5.0%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-17 03:04:10 UTC

Tracked Prediction Data

Unconfirmed results stay visible for reference; summary metrics use confirmed win/loss strategy bets.

Methodology Page 1 of 5 · 88 rows
Prediction filters Expand

Bets

36

ROI

3.03%

Profit

1.0916

Avg Odds

3.2632

Accuracy

47.22%

Win/Loss

83

Avg Diff

26.36%

Tracked

88

Advanced

Forecast Quality

83 confirmed

Brier score

0.200

Log loss

0.596

ECE

11.36%

Brier skill vs close

-75.21%

Market 0.114 · 83 rows

Forecast Band Rows Avg Forecast Observed Gap
50-60% 23 54.77% 65.22% 10.45%
60-70% 21 64.25% 80.95% 16.70%
70-80% 19 75.57% 78.95% 3.38%
80-90% 9 84.99% 66.67% 18.32%
90-100% 11 92.94% 81.82% 11.13%

Market And Strategy

Locked value only · 36 closing lines

Average CLV

+1.92%

Median CLV

0.00%

Beat-close rate

25.00%

Model-implied EV at close

+129.69%

Strategy Comparison

1u flat stake

Value only Active

36 bets

ROI 3.03% · Profit 1.0916 · Accuracy 47.22%

+Diff

36 bets

ROI 3.03% · Profit 1.0916 · Accuracy 47.22%

+5% diff

30 bets

ROI -5.31% · Profit -1.5943 · Accuracy 36.67%

+10% diff

26 bets

ROI 4.93% · Profit 1.2807 · Accuracy 38.46%

60%+ model

60 bets

ROI 8.29% · Profit 4.9737 · Accuracy 78.33%

All leans

83 bets

ROI 5.52% · Profit 4.5803 · Accuracy 74.70%

Dog +diff

25 bets

ROI 2.16% · Profit 0.5400 · Accuracy 36.00%

Prediction bout cards Expand

Kaye Scott vs Claressa Shields

16 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Claressa Shields

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

72.24%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

16 / 1.0286

Implied

97.22%

Diff

-24.98%

ROI

-25.69%

Profit

N/A

Emmanuel Tagoe vs Ernesto Mercado

16 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Ernesto Mercado

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

89.65%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

11 / 1.04

Implied

96.15%

Diff

-6.50%

ROI

-6.76%

Profit

N/A

Roamer Angulo vs Atif Oberlton

15 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Atif Oberlton

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

94.59%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

8.3 / 1.05

Implied

95.24%

Diff

-0.65%

ROI

-0.68%

Profit

N/A

Danielle Perkins vs Olivia Curry

15 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Danielle Perkins

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

85.53%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

1.1333 / 5.3

Implied

88.24%

Diff

-2.71%

ROI

-3.07%

Profit

N/A

Michael Zerafa vs Alejandro Ortiz

12 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Michael Zerafa

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

79.75%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0769 / 6.8

Implied

92.86%

Diff

-13.10%

ROI

-14.11%

Profit

N/A

Sam Hickey vs Brad Axe

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Sam Hickey

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

55.59%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0769 / 6.8

Implied

92.86%

Diff

-37.27%

ROI

-40.14%

Profit

N/A

Tyler Denny vs Callum Walsh

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Callum Walsh

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

75.31%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

3.9 / 1.2439

Implied

80.39%

Diff

-5.08%

ROI

-6.32%

Profit

N/A

Tammara Thibeault vs Desley Robinson

08 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Desley Robinson

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

58.53%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

1.2381 / 3.85

Implied

25.97%

Diff

32.55%

ROI

125.32%

Profit

-1.0000

Sean Hemphill vs Gradus Kraus

08 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Gradus Kraus

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

93.13%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

6.4 / 1.0909

Implied

91.67%

Diff

1.46%

ROI

1.59%

Profit

0.0909

Shurretta Metcalf vs Amanda Galle

08 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Amanda Galle

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

68.77%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

2.43 / 1.5263

Implied

65.52%

Diff

3.26%

ROI

4.97%

Profit

0.5263

John Parker vs Nikolas Charalampous

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Nikolas Charalampous

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

54.90%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

2.75 / 1.4444

Implied

69.23%

Diff

-14.33%

ROI

-20.70%

Profit

N/A

Paul Kroll vs Charles Conwell

02 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Charles Conwell

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

52.38%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

4.3 / 1.1818

Implied

84.62%

Diff

-32.23%

ROI

-38.09%

Profit

N/A

Raúl Curiel vs Quinton Randall

02 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Raúl Garcia

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

80.70%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0769 / 6.8

Implied

90.91%

Diff

-10.21%

ROI

-11.23%

Profit

N/A

Fabian Macias vs Aaron Coley

01 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Fabian Macias

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

95.96%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

1.0625 / 7.6

Implied

94.12%

Diff

1.85%

ROI

1.96%

Profit

0.0625

Yeyery Castillo vs Dalis Kaleiopu

01 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Dalis Kaleiopu

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

64.83%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

11 / 1.05

Implied

95.24%

Diff

-30.41%

ROI

-31.93%

Profit

N/A

Jorge Valencia vs Joel Iriarte

01 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Joel Iriarte

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

84.43%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

17 / 1.01

Implied

99.01%

Diff

-14.58%

ROI

-14.72%

Profit

N/A

Lee Reeves vs Gary Cully

01 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Lee Reeves

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

81.87%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

2.06 / 1.7143

Implied

48.54%

Diff

33.33%

ROI

68.66%

Profit

-1.0000

William Zepeda vs Lamont Roach

01 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

William Segura

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

54.93%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

2.64 / 1.4651

Implied

37.88%

Diff

17.06%

ROI

45.03%

Profit

1.6400

Model: Objective Only

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