Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Manzur
20 Aug
Lean
Amanda Serrano
Win %
74%
Odds
1.05 / 11
Est ROI
-22.03%
Implied
95.24%
Edge
-20.98%
Data as of: 2026-08-20 08:25:05 UTC
28-day rolling window. Predictions appear once odds are available and fighter data passes quality gates.
Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.
Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Manzur · PICK: Amanda Serrano · NO VALUE
Featherweight · TODAY · R12 · Odds 1.05 / 11 · Pick 74%
Added 3w 1d ago
Avious Griffin vs Jackson Maríñez · PICK: Avious Griffin · NO VALUE
Welterweight · 22 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.069 / 7.5 · Pick 84%
Added 1w 6d ago
Gary Russell vs Victor Santillan · PICK: Victor Santillan · VALUE
Super bantamweight · 23 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 2.16 / 1.6494 · Pick 65% · ROI +7.5%
Added 2w 2d ago
Carlos Lopez vs Israel Hernandez · PICK: Carlos Lopez · NO VALUE
Super lightweight · 23 Aug · R10 · Odds 1.1053 / 6 · Pick 85%
Added 3d 4h ago
Francisco Verón vs Yoenli Martinez · PICK: Yoenli Martinez · NO VALUE
Middleweight · 23 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 7.6 / 1.0625 · Pick 90%
Added 2w 13h ago
Rolando Romero vs Teofimo Lopez · PICK: Teofimo Lopez · NO VALUE
Welterweight · 23 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 2.78 / 1.4348 · Pick 64%
Added 3w 4d ago
Titles on line: WBA Welterweight Championship
Ben Mahoney vs Nikita Tszyu · PICK: Nikita Tszyu · NO VALUE
Super welterweight · 26 Aug · R12 · Odds 4.3 / 1.1818 · Pick 55%
Added 3w 13h ago
Miyo Yoshida vs Skye Nicolson · PICK: Skye Nicolson · NO VALUE
Super bantamweight · 29 Aug · R10 · Odds 8.2 / 1.0556 · Pick 92%
Added 2w 4d ago
Miranda Reyes vs Terri Harper · PICK: Terri Harper · NO VALUE
Super lightweight · 29 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 3.15 / 1.3333 · Pick 64%
Added 2w 4d ago
Aloys Youmbi vs Ismaikel Pérez · PICK: Ismaikel Pérez · VALUE
Cruiserweight · 29 Aug · R10 · Odds 1.2326 / 3.8 · Pick 60% · ROI +128.5%
Added 2w 4d ago
Chantelle Cameron vs Mikaela Mayer · PICK: Chantelle Cameron · VALUE
Super welterweight · 29 Aug · R10 · Odds 3 / 1.3704 · Pick 53% · ROI +57.9%
Added 2w 3d ago
Filip Hrgović vs Moses Itauma · PICK: Filip Hrgović · VALUE
Heavyweight · 29 Aug · R12 · Odds 6.3 / 1.1111 · Pick 55% · ROI +246.1%
Added 2w 3d ago
Jordan White vs Luis Torres Valenzuela · PICK: Luis Valenzuela · NO VALUE
Lightweight · 29 Aug · R10 · Odds 2.88 / 1.3846 · Pick 68%
Added 2w 4d ago
Carlos Ornelas vs Mauricio Lara · PICK: Mauricio Lara · NO VALUE
Super featherweight · 30 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 6 / 1.1053 · Pick 80%
Added 2w 3d ago
Carlos Cañizales vs Daiya Kira · PICK: Daiya Kira · VALUE
Light flyweight · 02 Sep · Rounds TBC · Odds 2.74 / 1.4167 · Pick 71% · ROI +0.6%
Added 2w 13h ago
Joseph McGrail vs Matty Boreland · PICK: Matty Boreland · VALUE
Super bantamweight · 05 Sep · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.1333 / 5.3 · Pick 54% · ROI +188.1%
Added 1d 3h ago
Andres Cortes vs Mark Magsayo · PICK: Andres Cortes · VALUE
Lightweight · 13 Sep · R10 · Odds 2.42 / 1.5208 · Pick 55% · ROI +32.7%
Added 1d 3h ago
Jai Opetaia vs Norair Mikaeljan · PICK: Jai Opetaia · NO VALUE
Cruiserweight · 13 Sep · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.0769 / 7.9 · Pick 75%
Added 1d 3h ago
Titles on line: Ring Cruiserweight Championship
Conor Benn vs Ryan Garcia · PICK: Conor Benn · VALUE
Welterweight · 13 Sep · R12 · Odds 3.8 / 1.25 · Pick 55% · ROI +110.6%
Added 1d 3h ago
Titles on line: WBC Welterweight Championship
Christian Assomo-Hallier vs Canelo Álvarez · PICK: Christian Assomo-Hallier · VALUE
Super middleweight · 13 Sep · R12 · Odds 3.5 / 1.2857 · Pick 60% · ROI +110.2%
Added 1d 3h ago
Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Manzur · PICK: Amanda Serrano · NO VALUE
Featherweight · TODAY · R12 · Odds 1.05 / 11 · Pick 74%
Added 3w 1d ago
Avious Griffin vs Jackson Maríñez · PICK: Avious Griffin · NO VALUE
Welterweight · 22 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.069 / 7.5 · Pick 84%
Added 1w 6d ago
Gary Russell vs Victor Santillan · PICK: Victor Santillan · VALUE
Super bantamweight · 23 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 2.16 / 1.6494 · Pick 65% · ROI +7.5%
Added 2w 2d ago
Carlos Lopez vs Israel Hernandez · PICK: Carlos Lopez · NO VALUE
Super lightweight · 23 Aug · R10 · Odds 1.1053 / 6 · Pick 85%
Added 3d 4h ago
Francisco Verón vs Yoenli Martinez · PICK: Yoenli Martinez · NO VALUE
Middleweight · 23 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 7.6 / 1.0625 · Pick 90%
Added 2w 13h ago
Rolando Romero vs Teofimo Lopez · PICK: Teofimo Lopez · NO VALUE
Welterweight · 23 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 2.78 / 1.4348 · Pick 64%
Added 3w 4d ago
Titles on line: WBA Welterweight Championship
Ben Mahoney vs Nikita Tszyu · PICK: Nikita Tszyu · NO VALUE
Super welterweight · 26 Aug · R12 · Odds 4.3 / 1.1818 · Pick 55%
Added 3w 13h ago
Miyo Yoshida vs Skye Nicolson · PICK: Skye Nicolson · NO VALUE
Super bantamweight · 29 Aug · R10 · Odds 8.2 / 1.0556 · Pick 92%
Added 2w 4d ago
Miranda Reyes vs Terri Harper · PICK: Terri Harper · NO VALUE
Super lightweight · 29 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 3.15 / 1.3333 · Pick 64%
Added 2w 4d ago
Aloys Youmbi vs Ismaikel Pérez · PICK: Ismaikel Pérez · VALUE
Cruiserweight · 29 Aug · R10 · Odds 1.2326 / 3.8 · Pick 60% · ROI +128.5%
Added 2w 4d ago
Chantelle Cameron vs Mikaela Mayer · PICK: Chantelle Cameron · VALUE
Super welterweight · 29 Aug · R10 · Odds 3 / 1.3704 · Pick 53% · ROI +57.9%
Added 2w 3d ago
Filip Hrgović vs Moses Itauma · PICK: Filip Hrgović · VALUE
Heavyweight · 29 Aug · R12 · Odds 6.3 / 1.1111 · Pick 55% · ROI +246.1%
Added 2w 3d ago
Jordan White vs Luis Torres Valenzuela · PICK: Luis Valenzuela · NO VALUE
Lightweight · 29 Aug · R10 · Odds 2.88 / 1.3846 · Pick 68%
Added 2w 4d ago
Carlos Ornelas vs Mauricio Lara · PICK: Mauricio Lara · NO VALUE
Super featherweight · 30 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 6 / 1.1053 · Pick 80%
Added 2w 3d ago
Carlos Cañizales vs Daiya Kira · PICK: Daiya Kira · VALUE
Light flyweight · 02 Sep · Rounds TBC · Odds 2.74 / 1.4167 · Pick 71% · ROI +0.6%
Added 2w 13h ago
Joseph McGrail vs Matty Boreland · PICK: Matty Boreland · VALUE
Super bantamweight · 05 Sep · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.1333 / 5.3 · Pick 54% · ROI +188.1%
Added 1d 3h ago
Andres Cortes vs Mark Magsayo · PICK: Andres Cortes · VALUE
Lightweight · 13 Sep · R10 · Odds 2.42 / 1.5208 · Pick 55% · ROI +32.7%
Added 1d 3h ago
Jai Opetaia vs Norair Mikaeljan · PICK: Jai Opetaia · NO VALUE
Cruiserweight · 13 Sep · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.0769 / 7.9 · Pick 75%
Added 1d 3h ago
Titles on line: Ring Cruiserweight Championship
Conor Benn vs Ryan Garcia · PICK: Conor Benn · VALUE
Welterweight · 13 Sep · R12 · Odds 3.8 / 1.25 · Pick 55% · ROI +110.6%
Added 1d 3h ago
Titles on line: WBC Welterweight Championship
Christian Assomo-Hallier vs Canelo Álvarez · PICK: Christian Assomo-Hallier · VALUE
Super middleweight · 13 Sep · R12 · Odds 3.5 / 1.2857 · Pick 60% · ROI +110.2%
Added 1d 3h ago
Uses the locked prediction produced when odds are available for the bout.
Bets
9
Avg Odds
3.4651
Avg Win
58.73%
Avg Diff
22.97%
Avg ROI
98.01%
Win Profit (u)
22.1861u
Sample
20
Shown
20
Strategy Comparison
active predictions| Strategy | Bets | Avg Win | Avg ROI | Avg Diff | Win Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Locked value only Active | 9 | 58.73% | 98.01% | 22.97% | 22.1861 |
| Any positive diff | 9 | 58.73% | 98.01% | 22.97% | 22.1861 |
| Diff vs implied >= 5% | 7 | 56.05% | 124.86% | 28.82% | 21.1200 |
| Diff vs implied >= 10% | 7 | 56.05% | 124.86% | 28.82% | 21.1200 |
| Model confidence >= 60% | 14 | 73.65% | 9.98% | -1.67% | 8.0434 |
| All model leans | 20 | 67.92% | 37.01% | 4.18% | 24.0452 |
| Underdog positive diff | 7 | 56.05% | 124.86% | 28.82% | 21.1200 |
Value only Active
9 bets
Avg ROI 98.01% · Avg diff 22.97% · Win profit 22.1861
+Diff
9 bets
Avg ROI 98.01% · Avg diff 22.97% · Win profit 22.1861
+5% diff
7 bets
Avg ROI 124.86% · Avg diff 28.82% · Win profit 21.1200
+10% diff
7 bets
Avg ROI 124.86% · Avg diff 28.82% · Win profit 21.1200
60%+ model
14 bets
Avg ROI 9.98% · Avg diff -1.67% · Win profit 8.0434
All leans
20 bets
Avg ROI 37.01% · Avg diff 4.18% · Win profit 24.0452
Dog +diff
7 bets
Avg ROI 124.86% · Avg diff 28.82% · Win profit 21.1200
| Bout | Date | Odds | Lean | Win % | Implied % | Edge % | Est ROI % | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Manzur | 20 Aug 2026 | 1.05 / 11 | Amanda Serrano | 74.26% | 95.24% | -20.98% | -22.03% | PASS |
| Avious Griffin vs Jackson Maríñez | 22 Aug 2026 | 1.069 / 7.5 | Avious Griffin | 84.16% | 93.55% | -9.38% | -10.03% | PASS |
| Gary Russell vs Victor Santillan | 23 Aug 2026 | 2.16 / 1.6494 | Victor Santillan | 65.18% | 60.63% | 4.55% | 7.51% | BET |
| Carlos Lopez vs Israel Hernandez | 23 Aug 2026 | 1.1053 / 6 | Carlos Lopez | 84.98% | 90.47% | -5.49% | -6.07% | PASS |
| Francisco Verón vs Yoenli Martinez | 23 Aug 2026 | 7.6 / 1.0625 | Yoenli Martinez | 89.61% | 94.12% | -4.51% | -4.79% | PASS |
| Rolando Romero vs Teofimo Lopez | 23 Aug 2026 | 2.78 / 1.4348 | Teofimo Lopez | 63.50% | 69.70% | -6.19% | -8.89% | PASS |
| Ben Mahoney vs Nikita Tszyu | 26 Aug 2026 | 4.3 / 1.1818 | Nikita Tszyu | 55.14% | 84.62% | -29.47% | -34.83% | PASS |
| Miyo Yoshida vs Skye Nicolson | 29 Aug 2026 | 8.2 / 1.0556 | Skye Nicolson | 91.60% | 94.73% | -3.14% | -3.31% | PASS |
| Miranda Reyes vs Terri Harper | 29 Aug 2026 | 3.15 / 1.3333 | Terri Harper | 64.24% | 75.00% | -10.77% | -14.35% | PASS |
| Aloys Youmbi vs Ismaikel Pérez | 29 Aug 2026 | 1.2326 / 3.8 | Ismaikel Pérez | 60.13% | 26.32% | 33.82% | 128.50% | BET |
| Chantelle Cameron vs Mikaela Mayer | 29 Aug 2026 | 3 / 1.3704 | Chantelle Cameron | 52.64% | 33.33% | 19.30% | 57.91% | BET |
| Filip Hrgović vs Moses Itauma | 29 Aug 2026 | 6.3 / 1.1111 | Filip Hrgović | 54.93% | 15.87% | 39.06% | 246.08% | BET |
| Jordan White vs Luis Torres Valenzuela | 29 Aug 2026 | 2.88 / 1.3846 | Luis Valenzuela | 67.52% | 72.22% | -4.70% | -6.51% | PASS |
| Carlos Ornelas vs Mauricio Lara | 30 Aug 2026 | 6 / 1.1053 | Mauricio Lara | 79.73% | 90.47% | -10.74% | -11.87% | PASS |
| Carlos Cañizales vs Daiya Kira | 02 Sep 2026 | 2.74 / 1.4167 | Daiya Kira | 71.00% | 70.59% | 0.41% | 0.58% | BET |
| Joseph McGrail vs Matty Boreland | 05 Sep 2026 | 1.1333 / 5.3 | Matty Boreland | 54.35% | 18.87% | 35.49% | 188.08% | BET |
| Andres Cortes vs Mark Magsayo | 13 Sep 2026 | 2.42 / 1.5208 | Andres Cortes | 54.84% | 41.32% | 13.52% | 32.72% | BET |
| Jai Opetaia vs Norair Mikaeljan | 13 Sep 2026 | 1.0769 / 7.9 | Jai Opetaia | 75.09% | 92.86% | -17.77% | -19.14% | PASS |
| Conor Benn vs Ryan Garcia | 13 Sep 2026 | 3.8 / 1.25 | Conor Benn | 55.41% | 26.32% | 29.09% | 110.55% | BET |
| Christian Assomo-Hallier vs Canelo Álvarez | 13 Sep 2026 | 3.5 / 1.2857 | Christian Assomo-Hallier | 60.05% | 28.57% | 31.47% | 110.16% | BET |
Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Manzur
20 Aug
Lean
Amanda Serrano
Win %
74%
Odds
1.05 / 11
Est ROI
-22.03%
Implied
95.24%
Edge
-20.98%
Avious Griffin vs Jackson Maríñez
22 Aug
Lean
Avious Griffin
Win %
84%
Odds
1.069 / 7.5
Est ROI
-10.03%
Implied
93.55%
Edge
-9.38%
Gary Russell vs Victor Santillan
23 Aug
Lean
Victor Santillan
Win %
65%
Odds
2.16 / 1.6494
Est ROI
7.51%
Implied
60.63%
Edge
4.55%
Carlos Lopez vs Israel Hernandez
23 Aug
Lean
Carlos Lopez
Win %
85%
Odds
1.1053 / 6
Est ROI
-6.07%
Implied
90.47%
Edge
-5.49%
Francisco Verón vs Yoenli Martinez
23 Aug
Lean
Yoenli Martinez
Win %
90%
Odds
7.6 / 1.0625
Est ROI
-4.79%
Implied
94.12%
Edge
-4.51%
Rolando Romero vs Teofimo Lopez
23 Aug
Lean
Teofimo Lopez
Win %
64%
Odds
2.78 / 1.4348
Est ROI
-8.89%
Implied
69.70%
Edge
-6.19%
Ben Mahoney vs Nikita Tszyu
26 Aug
Lean
Nikita Tszyu
Win %
55%
Odds
4.3 / 1.1818
Est ROI
-34.83%
Implied
84.62%
Edge
-29.47%
Miyo Yoshida vs Skye Nicolson
29 Aug
Lean
Skye Nicolson
Win %
92%
Odds
8.2 / 1.0556
Est ROI
-3.31%
Implied
94.73%
Edge
-3.14%
Miranda Reyes vs Terri Harper
29 Aug
Lean
Terri Harper
Win %
64%
Odds
3.15 / 1.3333
Est ROI
-14.35%
Implied
75.00%
Edge
-10.77%
Aloys Youmbi vs Ismaikel Pérez
29 Aug
Lean
Ismaikel Pérez
Win %
60%
Odds
1.2326 / 3.8
Est ROI
128.50%
Implied
26.32%
Edge
33.82%
Chantelle Cameron vs Mikaela Mayer
29 Aug
Lean
Chantelle Cameron
Win %
53%
Odds
3 / 1.3704
Est ROI
57.91%
Implied
33.33%
Edge
19.30%
Filip Hrgović vs Moses Itauma
29 Aug
Lean
Filip Hrgović
Win %
55%
Odds
6.3 / 1.1111
Est ROI
246.08%
Implied
15.87%
Edge
39.06%
Jordan White vs Luis Torres Valenzuela
29 Aug
Lean
Luis Valenzuela
Win %
68%
Odds
2.88 / 1.3846
Est ROI
-6.51%
Implied
72.22%
Edge
-4.70%
Carlos Ornelas vs Mauricio Lara
30 Aug
Lean
Mauricio Lara
Win %
80%
Odds
6 / 1.1053
Est ROI
-11.87%
Implied
90.47%
Edge
-10.74%
Carlos Cañizales vs Daiya Kira
02 Sep
Lean
Daiya Kira
Win %
71%
Odds
2.74 / 1.4167
Est ROI
0.58%
Implied
70.59%
Edge
0.41%
Joseph McGrail vs Matty Boreland
05 Sep
Lean
Matty Boreland
Win %
54%
Odds
1.1333 / 5.3
Est ROI
188.08%
Implied
18.87%
Edge
35.49%
Andres Cortes vs Mark Magsayo
13 Sep
Lean
Andres Cortes
Win %
55%
Odds
2.42 / 1.5208
Est ROI
32.72%
Implied
41.32%
Edge
13.52%
Jai Opetaia vs Norair Mikaeljan
13 Sep
Lean
Jai Opetaia
Win %
75%
Odds
1.0769 / 7.9
Est ROI
-19.14%
Implied
92.86%
Edge
-17.77%
Conor Benn vs Ryan Garcia
13 Sep
Lean
Conor Benn
Win %
55%
Odds
3.8 / 1.25
Est ROI
110.55%
Implied
26.32%
Edge
29.09%
Christian Assomo-Hallier vs Canelo Álvarez
13 Sep
Lean
Christian Assomo-Hallier
Win %
60%
Odds
3.5 / 1.2857
Est ROI
110.16%
Implied
28.57%
Edge
31.47%