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Results

Data as of: 2026-08-09 17:19:31 UTC

Results only confirm and affect headline metrics when winner + closing odds available.

Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.

Recent Results

Methodology Page 1 of 11 · 109 rows
Result filters Expand

Katie Taylor vs Flora Pili · WINNER: Katie Taylor · CORRECT

Super lightweight · 05 Sep 2026 · 1.05 / 11 · NO VALUE · Pick Katie Taylor 89%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-23 11:59:42 UTC

Matthew Boreland vs Joseph McGrail · WINNER: Joseph McGrail · INCORRECT

Super bantamweight · 05 Sep 2026 · 5.3 / 1.1333 · VALUE · Pick Matthew Boreland 80%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-23 13:47:51 UTC

Damian Knyba vs Andrés Ruiz · WINNER: Damian Knyba · INCORRECT

Heavyweight · 05 Sep 2026 · 3.05 / 1.3571 · NO VALUE · Pick Andrés Ruiz 55%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-23 11:54:57 UTC

Daiya Kira vs Carlos Cañizales · WINNER: Daiya Kira · INCORRECT

Light flyweight · 02 Sep 2026 · 1.2899 / 3.4 · VALUE · Pick Carlos Civira 55%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-06 04:12:54 UTC

Wilfredo Méndez vs Takeshi Ishii · WINNER: Takeshi Ishii · CORRECT

Minimumweight · 02 Sep 2026 · 4.3 / 1.1818 · NO VALUE · Pick Takeshi Ishii 59%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-28 06:06:43 UTC

Weljon Mindoro vs Carlos Ocampo · WINNER: Carlos Ocampo · CORRECT

Super middleweight · 29 Aug 2026 · 1.2222 / 4.5 · VALUE · Pick Carlos Manriquez 68% · ROI +239.7%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-27 08:00:41 UTC

Mauricio Lara vs Carlos Zing · WINNER: Mauricio Lara · INCORRECT

Super featherweight · 29 Aug 2026 · Pick 6 · VALUE · Pick Carlos Zing 63%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-03 13:05:59 UTC

Luis Valenzuela vs Jordan White · WINNER: Jordan White · CORRECT

Lightweight · 29 Aug 2026 · 1.3333 / 3.5 · VALUE · Pick Jordan White 51% · ROI +47.1%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-02 02:41:00 UTC

Moses Itauma vs Filip Hrgović · WINNER: Filip Hrgović · CORRECT

Heavyweight · 29 Aug 2026 · 1.1111 / 6.5 · VALUE · Pick Filip Hrgović 83% · ROI +420.5%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-03 12:42:21 UTC

Mikaela Mayer vs Chantelle Cameron · WINNER: Chantelle Cameron · CORRECT

Super welterweight · 29 Aug 2026 · 1.5319 / 2.63 · VALUE · Pick Chantelle Cameron 51% · ROI +54.4%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-03 12:31:33 UTC

Tracked Prediction Data

Unconfirmed results stay visible for reference; summary metrics use confirmed win/loss strategy bets.

Methodology Page 1 of 6 · 109 rows
Prediction filters Expand

Bets

58

ROI

-12.53%

Profit

-7.2697

Avg Odds

5.1846

Accuracy

34.48%

Win/Loss

101

Avg Diff

32.80%

Tracked

109

Advanced

Advanced Strategy Metrics

Calculated from settled bets selected by the active strategy.

Locked value only · 58 settled bets

Forecast Quality

Brier score

0.317

Log loss

0.845

ECE

31.20%

Brier skill vs prediction odds

-104.40%

Market 0.155 - 58 de-vigged market lines

Forecast Band Rows Avg Forecast Observed Gap
50-60% 26 54.34% 26.92% 27.42%
60-70% 12 65.57% 33.33% 32.24%
70-80% 10 75.57% 30.00% 45.57%
80-90% 9 83.55% 55.56% 27.99%
90-100% 1 97.68% 100.00% 2.32%

Market And Strategy

Locked value only · 56 closing lines

Average CLV

-3.03%

Median CLV

0.00%

Beat-close rate

28.57%

Model-implied EV at close

+254.03%

Strategy Comparison

1u flat stake

Value only Active

58 bets

ROI -12.53% · Profit -7.2697 · Accuracy 34.48%

+Diff

58 bets

ROI -12.53% · Profit -7.2697 · Accuracy 34.48%

+5% diff

49 bets

ROI -15.92% · Profit -7.7987 · Accuracy 26.53%

+10% diff

46 bets

ROI -13.32% · Profit -6.1266 · Accuracy 26.09%

60%+ model

58 bets

ROI -3.95% · Profit -2.2928 · Accuracy 63.79%

All leans

101 bets

ROI -8.63% · Profit -8.7204 · Accuracy 55.45%

Dog +diff

47 bets

ROI -18.57% · Profit -8.7300 · Accuracy 23.40%

Prediction bout cards Expand

Katie Taylor vs Flora Pili

05 Sep 2026

PASS

Lean

Katie Taylor

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

89.11%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0333 / 14.6

Implied

96.78%

Diff

-7.67%

ROI

-7.92%

Profit

N/A

Matthew Boreland vs Joseph McGrail

05 Sep 2026

BET

Lean

Matthew Boreland

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

79.79%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

5.3 / 1.1333

Implied

18.87%

Diff

60.92%

ROI

322.90%

Profit

-1.0000

Damian Knyba vs Andrés Ruiz

05 Sep 2026

PASS

Lean

Andrés Ruiz

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

54.77%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

3.35 / 1.303

Implied

76.75%

Diff

-21.98%

ROI

-28.63%

Profit

N/A

Daiya Kira vs Carlos Cañizales

02 Sep 2026

BET

Lean

Carlos Civira

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

55.50%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

1.4167 / 2.74

Implied

36.50%

Diff

19.00%

ROI

52.06%

Profit

-1.0000

Wilfredo Méndez vs Takeshi Ishii

02 Sep 2026

PASS

Lean

Takeshi Ishii

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

58.51%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

5.3 / 1.1333

Implied

88.24%

Diff

-29.73%

ROI

-33.69%

Profit

N/A

Weljon Mindoro vs Carlos Ocampo

29 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Carlos Manriquez

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

67.94%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

1.1538 / 5

Implied

20.00%

Diff

47.94%

ROI

239.72%

Profit

4.0000

Mauricio Lara vs Carlos Zing

29 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Carlos Zing

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

63.15%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

1.1053 / 6

Implied

16.67%

Diff

46.49%

ROI

278.92%

Profit

-1.0000

Luis Valenzuela vs Jordan White

29 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Jordan White

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

51.08%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

1.3846 / 2.88

Implied

34.72%

Diff

16.36%

ROI

47.11%

Profit

1.8800

Moses Itauma vs Filip Hrgović

29 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Filip Hrgović

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

82.62%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

1.1111 / 6.3

Implied

15.87%

Diff

66.75%

ROI

420.49%

Profit

5.3000

Mikaela Mayer vs Chantelle Cameron

29 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Chantelle Cameron

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

51.45%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

1.3704 / 3

Implied

33.33%

Diff

18.12%

ROI

54.36%

Profit

2.0000

Terri Harper vs Miranda Reyes

29 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Miranda Reyes

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

67.84%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

1.3333 / 3.15

Implied

31.75%

Diff

36.09%

ROI

113.69%

Profit

-1.0000

Aloys Youmbi vs Ismaikel Pérez

29 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Ismaikel Pérez

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

55.54%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

1.2326 / 3.8

Implied

26.32%

Diff

29.23%

ROI

111.06%

Profit

N/A

Miyo Yoshida vs Skye Nicolson

29 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Skye Nicolson

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

60.25%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

8.2 / 1.0556

Implied

94.73%

Diff

-34.49%

ROI

-36.40%

Profit

N/A

Nikita Tszyu vs Benjamin Mahoney

26 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Benjamin Mahoney

Verdict

DRAW

Win %

65.70%

Outcome

DRAW

Odds

1.1818 / 4.3

Implied

23.26%

Diff

42.44%

ROI

182.49%

Profit

N/A

Teófimo Rivera vs Rolando Romero

22 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Teófimo Rivera

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

70.82%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

1.4348 / 2.78

Implied

69.70%

Diff

1.13%

ROI

1.62%

Profit

0.4348

Yoenli Martinez vs Francisco Verón

22 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Francisco Verón

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

51.60%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

1.0625 / 7.6

Implied

13.16%

Diff

38.45%

ROI

292.19%

Profit

-1.0000

Ricky Mamone vs Aldo Blancas

22 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Ricky Mamone

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

59.86%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

15 / 1.02

Implied

6.67%

Diff

53.19%

ROI

797.89%

Profit

-1.0000

Israel Hernandez vs Carlos Lopez

22 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Carlos Lopez

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

58.16%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

6 / 1.1053

Implied

90.47%

Diff

-32.31%

ROI

-35.71%

Profit

N/A

Victor Santillan vs Gary Russell

22 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Victor Pérez

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

53.27%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.6494 / 2.16

Implied

60.63%

Diff

-7.36%

ROI

-12.14%

Profit

N/A

Jackson Maríñez vs Avious Griffin

21 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Jackson Maríñez

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

84.99%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

7.5 / 1.069

Implied

13.33%

Diff

71.66%

ROI

537.44%

Profit

-1.0000

Model: Opponent Derived Objective

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