Kenshiro Teraji vs Jesús Acevedo
20 Jul 2026
Lean
Kenshiro Teraji
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
64.73%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.2778 / 3.5
Implied
78.26%
Diff
-13.53%
ROI
-17.29%
Profit
N/A
Data as of: 2026-07-20 12:18:37 UTC
Results only confirm and affect headline metrics when winner + closing odds available.
Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.
Kenshiro Teraji vs Jesús Acevedo · WINNER: Kenshiro Teraji · CORRECT
Flyweight · 20 Jul 2026 · UD · 12/12 · 1.2778 / 3.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Kenshiro Teraji 65%
Shokichi Iwata vs Erik Mares · WINNER: Shokichi Iwata · CORRECT
Light flyweight · 20 Jul 2026 · TKO · 11/12 · 1.5319 / 2.63 · NO VALUE · Pick Shokichi Iwata 65%
Manuel Avila vs Charly Suarez · WINNER: Charly Suarez · INCORRECT
Super featherweight · 19 Jul 2026 · KO · N/A · 9.2 / 1.0417 · VALUE · Pick Manuel Avila 59%
Jonathan Navarro vs Bryan Favela · WINNER: Bryan Favela · CORRECT
Super lightweight · 19 Jul 2026 · UD · N/A · 6.4 / 1.0909 · NO VALUE · Pick Bryan Favela 62%
Immanuwel Aleem vs Diego Pacheco · WINNER: Diego Pacheco · CORRECT
Super middleweight · 19 Jul 2026 · TKO · N/A · 8.5 / 1.0417 · NO VALUE · Pick Diego Pacheco 60%
Albert Gonzalez vs Aarón Alameda · WINNER: Albert Gonzalez · CORRECT
Featherweight · 19 Jul 2026 · KO · 9/10 · 1.069 / 7.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Albert Gonzalez 63%
Harlem Eubank vs David Papot · WINNER: David Papot · INCORRECT
Welterweight · 18 Jul 2026 · UD · N/A · 2.2 / 1.7246 · VALUE · Pick Harlem Eubank 57%
Deric Davis vs Carlos Espinoza · WINNER: Deric Davis · INCORRECT
Lightweight · 05 Jul 2026 · UD · SCHEDULED 8 · 1.05 / 10 · VALUE · Pick Carlos Espinoza 76%
Albert Bell vs Abdullah Mason · WINNER: Abdullah Mason · CORRECT
Lightweight · 05 Jul 2026 · TKO · 11/12 · 4 / 1.25 · NO VALUE · Pick Abdullah Mason 65%
Rene Galvan vs Bruce Carrington · WINNER: Bruce Carrington · CORRECT
Featherweight · 05 Jul 2026 · UD · 11/12 · 7 / 1.1 · NO VALUE · Pick Bruce Carrington 55%
Kenshiro Teraji vs Jesús Acevedo · WINNER: Kenshiro Teraji · CORRECT
Flyweight · 20 Jul 2026 · UD · 12/12 · 1.2778 / 3.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Kenshiro Teraji 65%
Shokichi Iwata vs Erik Mares · WINNER: Shokichi Iwata · CORRECT
Light flyweight · 20 Jul 2026 · TKO · 11/12 · 1.5319 / 2.63 · NO VALUE · Pick Shokichi Iwata 65%
Manuel Avila vs Charly Suarez · WINNER: Charly Suarez · INCORRECT
Super featherweight · 19 Jul 2026 · KO · N/A · 9.2 / 1.0417 · VALUE · Pick Manuel Avila 59%
Jonathan Navarro vs Bryan Favela · WINNER: Bryan Favela · CORRECT
Super lightweight · 19 Jul 2026 · UD · N/A · 6.4 / 1.0909 · NO VALUE · Pick Bryan Favela 62%
Immanuwel Aleem vs Diego Pacheco · WINNER: Diego Pacheco · CORRECT
Super middleweight · 19 Jul 2026 · TKO · N/A · 8.5 / 1.0417 · NO VALUE · Pick Diego Pacheco 60%
Albert Gonzalez vs Aarón Alameda · WINNER: Albert Gonzalez · CORRECT
Featherweight · 19 Jul 2026 · KO · 9/10 · 1.069 / 7.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Albert Gonzalez 63%
Harlem Eubank vs David Papot · WINNER: David Papot · INCORRECT
Welterweight · 18 Jul 2026 · UD · N/A · 2.2 / 1.7246 · VALUE · Pick Harlem Eubank 57%
Deric Davis vs Carlos Espinoza · WINNER: Deric Davis · INCORRECT
Lightweight · 05 Jul 2026 · UD · SCHEDULED 8 · 1.05 / 10 · VALUE · Pick Carlos Espinoza 76%
Albert Bell vs Abdullah Mason · WINNER: Abdullah Mason · CORRECT
Lightweight · 05 Jul 2026 · TKO · 11/12 · 4 / 1.25 · NO VALUE · Pick Abdullah Mason 65%
Rene Galvan vs Bruce Carrington · WINNER: Bruce Carrington · CORRECT
Featherweight · 05 Jul 2026 · UD · 11/12 · 7 / 1.1 · NO VALUE · Pick Bruce Carrington 55%
Unconfirmed results stay visible for reference; summary metrics use confirmed win/loss strategy bets.
Bets
31
ROI
-16.69%
Profit
-5.1740
Avg Odds
4.8384
Accuracy
35.48%
Win/Loss
58
Avg Diff
28.72%
Tracked
59
Strategy Comparison
1u flat stake| Strategy | Bets | Profit | ROI | Accuracy | Avg Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Locked value only Active | 31 | -5.1740 | -16.69% | 35.48% | 28.72% |
| Any positive diff | 31 | -5.1740 | -16.69% | 35.48% | 28.72% |
| Diff vs implied >= 5% | 25 | -4.0209 | -16.08% | 28.00% | 34.84% |
| Diff vs implied >= 10% | 24 | -3.0209 | -12.59% | 29.17% | 35.92% |
| Model confidence >= 60% | 35 | -3.9731 | -11.35% | 68.57% | 0.06% |
| All model leans | 58 | -5.3811 | -9.28% | 58.62% | 5.08% |
| Underdog positive diff | 24 | -4.9300 | -20.54% | 25.00% | 35.60% |
Value only Active
31 bets
ROI -16.69% · Profit -5.1740 · Accuracy 35.48%
+Diff
31 bets
ROI -16.69% · Profit -5.1740 · Accuracy 35.48%
+5% diff
25 bets
ROI -16.08% · Profit -4.0209 · Accuracy 28.00%
+10% diff
24 bets
ROI -12.59% · Profit -3.0209 · Accuracy 29.17%
60%+ model
35 bets
ROI -11.35% · Profit -3.9731 · Accuracy 68.57%
All leans
58 bets
ROI -9.28% · Profit -5.3811 · Accuracy 58.62%
Dog +diff
24 bets
ROI -20.54% · Profit -4.9300 · Accuracy 25.00%
| Date | Bout | Odds | Model Lean | Win % | Implied % | Diff vs Implied | ROI % | Action | Outcome | Profit | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026 | Kenshiro Teraji vs Jesús Acevedo | 1.2778 / 3.5 | Kenshiro Teraji | 64.73% | 78.26% | -13.53% | -17.29% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 20 Jul 2026 | Shokichi Iwata vs Erik Mares | 1.5319 / 2.63 | Shokichi Iwata | 64.96% | 65.28% | -0.32% | -0.48% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 19 Jul 2026 | Manuel Avila vs Charly Suarez | 9.2 / 1.0417 | Manuel Avila | 59.09% | 10.53% | 48.57% | 461.38% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | INCORRECT |
| 19 Jul 2026 | Jonathan Navarro vs Bryan Favela | 6.4 / 1.0909 | Bryan Favela | 62.04% | 88.89% | -26.85% | -30.20% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 19 Jul 2026 | Immanuwel Aleem vs Diego Pacheco | 8.5 / 1.0417 | Diego Pacheco | 60.03% | 95.24% | -35.21% | -36.97% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 19 Jul 2026 | Albert Gonzalez vs Aarón Alameda | 1.069 / 7.5 | Albert Gonzalez | 62.94% | 93.37% | -30.43% | -32.59% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Harlem Eubank vs David Papot | 2.2 / 1.7246 | Harlem Eubank | 56.56% | 45.45% | 11.11% | 24.44% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | INCORRECT |
| 05 Jul 2026 | Deric Davis vs Carlos Espinoza | 1.05 / 10 | Carlos Espinoza | 76.21% | 10.00% | 66.21% | 662.06% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | INCORRECT |
| 05 Jul 2026 | Albert Bell vs Abdullah Mason | 4 / 1.25 | Abdullah Mason | 65.30% | 80.00% | -14.70% | -18.37% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 05 Jul 2026 | Rene Galvan vs Bruce Carrington | 7 / 1.1 | Bruce Carrington | 55.20% | 90.91% | -35.71% | -39.28% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 04 Jul 2026 | Yamato Hata vs Tsubasa Narai | 1.5 / 2.63 | Yamato Hata | 51.00% | 66.67% | -15.66% | -23.49% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Omar Trinidad vs Jerwin Ancajas | 1.2 / 4.25 | Omar Trinidad | 84.30% | 80.00% | 4.30% | 5.37% | BET | WIN | 0.2500 | CORRECT |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Cain Sandoval vs Brandun Lee | 2.5 / 1.5319 | Cain Sandoval | 57.63% | 40.00% | 17.63% | 44.09% | BET | WIN | 1.5000 | CORRECT |
| 29 Jun 2026 | José Valenzuela vs Edwin Santos | 2.2 / 1.6667 | José Gastélum | 64.80% | 52.38% | 12.42% | 23.71% | BET | WIN | 0.9091 | CORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Brady Ochoa vs Adrian Serrano | 1.4 / 2.85 | Brady Ochoa | 56.07% | 73.55% | -17.47% | -23.76% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | INCORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Vernon Brown vs Damoni Cato-Cain | 2.7 / 1.4444 | Vernon Brown | 52.50% | 33.33% | 19.17% | 57.51% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | INCORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Jaybrio Benito vs Tony Hirsch | 2.5 / 1.5556 | Jaybrio Benito | 74.04% | 50.00% | 24.04% | 48.09% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | INCORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Floyd Diaz vs José Santibanez | 1.4545 / 2.63 | Floyd Diaz | 53.49% | 66.67% | -13.18% | -19.77% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | INCORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Jahi Tucker vs Euri Cedeño | 1.9524 / 1.8 | Euri Martínez | 62.21% | 43.48% | 18.73% | 43.09% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | INCORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Richard Rivera vs Benjamin Whittaker | 10 / 1.05 | Benjamin Whittaker | 69.30% | 92.31% | -23.01% | -24.93% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
Kenshiro Teraji vs Jesús Acevedo
20 Jul 2026
Lean
Kenshiro Teraji
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
64.73%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.2778 / 3.5
Implied
78.26%
Diff
-13.53%
ROI
-17.29%
Profit
N/A
20 Jul 2026
Lean
Shokichi Iwata
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
64.96%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.5319 / 2.63
Implied
65.28%
Diff
-0.32%
ROI
-0.48%
Profit
N/A
19 Jul 2026
Lean
Manuel Avila
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
59.09%
Outcome
LOSS
Odds
9.2 / 1.0417
Implied
10.53%
Diff
48.57%
ROI
461.38%
Profit
-1.0000
Jonathan Navarro vs Bryan Favela
19 Jul 2026
Lean
Bryan Favela
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
62.04%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
6.4 / 1.0909
Implied
88.89%
Diff
-26.85%
ROI
-30.20%
Profit
N/A
Immanuwel Aleem vs Diego Pacheco
19 Jul 2026
Lean
Diego Pacheco
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
60.03%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
8.5 / 1.0417
Implied
95.24%
Diff
-35.21%
ROI
-36.97%
Profit
N/A
Albert Gonzalez vs Aarón Alameda
19 Jul 2026
Lean
Albert Gonzalez
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
62.94%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.069 / 7.5
Implied
93.37%
Diff
-30.43%
ROI
-32.59%
Profit
N/A
18 Jul 2026
Lean
Harlem Eubank
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
56.56%
Outcome
LOSS
Odds
2.2 / 1.7246
Implied
45.45%
Diff
11.11%
ROI
24.44%
Profit
-1.0000
Deric Davis vs Carlos Espinoza
05 Jul 2026
Lean
Carlos Espinoza
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
76.21%
Outcome
LOSS
Odds
1.05 / 10
Implied
10.00%
Diff
66.21%
ROI
662.06%
Profit
-1.0000
05 Jul 2026
Lean
Abdullah Mason
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
65.30%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
4 / 1.25
Implied
80.00%
Diff
-14.70%
ROI
-18.37%
Profit
N/A
Rene Galvan vs Bruce Carrington
05 Jul 2026
Lean
Bruce Carrington
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
55.20%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
7 / 1.1
Implied
90.91%
Diff
-35.71%
ROI
-39.28%
Profit
N/A
04 Jul 2026
Lean
Yamato Hata
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
51.00%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.5 / 2.63
Implied
66.67%
Diff
-15.66%
ROI
-23.49%
Profit
N/A
Omar Trinidad vs Jerwin Ancajas
29 Jun 2026
Lean
Omar Trinidad
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
84.30%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
1.2 / 4.25
Implied
80.00%
Diff
4.30%
ROI
5.37%
Profit
0.2500
29 Jun 2026
Lean
Cain Sandoval
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
57.63%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
2.5 / 1.5319
Implied
40.00%
Diff
17.63%
ROI
44.09%
Profit
1.5000
José Valenzuela vs Edwin Santos
29 Jun 2026
Lean
José Gastélum
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
64.80%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
2.2 / 1.6667
Implied
52.38%
Diff
12.42%
ROI
23.71%
Profit
0.9091
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Brady Ochoa
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
56.07%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.4 / 2.85
Implied
73.55%
Diff
-17.47%
ROI
-23.76%
Profit
N/A
Vernon Brown vs Damoni Cato-Cain
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Vernon Brown
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
52.50%
Outcome
LOSS
Odds
2.7 / 1.4444
Implied
33.33%
Diff
19.17%
ROI
57.51%
Profit
-1.0000
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Jaybrio Benito
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
74.04%
Outcome
LOSS
Odds
2.5 / 1.5556
Implied
50.00%
Diff
24.04%
ROI
48.09%
Profit
-1.0000
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Floyd Diaz
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
53.49%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.4545 / 2.63
Implied
66.67%
Diff
-13.18%
ROI
-19.77%
Profit
N/A
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Euri Martínez
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
62.21%
Outcome
LOSS
Odds
1.9524 / 1.8
Implied
43.48%
Diff
18.73%
ROI
43.09%
Profit
-1.0000
Richard Rivera vs Benjamin Whittaker
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Benjamin Whittaker
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
69.30%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
10 / 1.05
Implied
92.31%
Diff
-23.01%
ROI
-24.93%
Profit
N/A