Demetrius Andrade vs Douglas Ataide
25 Jul
Lean
Demetrius Andrade
Win %
60%
Odds
1.05 / 8.3
Est ROI
-36.91%
Implied
95.24%
Edge
-35.15%
Data as of: 2026-07-25 03:09:56 UTC
28-day rolling window. Predictions appear once odds are available and fighter data passes quality gates.
Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.
Demetrius Andrade vs Douglas Ataide · PICK: Demetrius Andrade · NO VALUE
Super middleweight · TODAY · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.05 / 8.3 · Pick 60%
Added 2d 13h ago
Alvino Herrera Meza vs Reito Tsutsumi · PICK: Alvino Meza · VALUE
Featherweight · TODAY · R10 · Odds 6.8 / 1.0769 · Pick 55% · ROI +274.1%
Added 6d 13h ago
Caoimhín Hynes vs Joshua Kelly · PICK: Joshua Kelly · VALUE
Super welterweight · TODAY · R12 · Odds 4.4 / 1.2273 · Pick 82% · ROI +0.4%
Added 13h 7m ago
Titles on line: IBF Super welterweight Championship
Liam Wilson vs Stephen Fulton · PICK: Stephen Fulton · NO VALUE
Super featherweight · 26 Jul · R10 · Odds 4.8 / 1.1786 · Pick 73%
Added 1w 3d ago
Jermall Charlo vs Koen Mazoudier · PICK: Koen Mazoudier · VALUE
Super middleweight · 26 Jul · R10 · Odds 1.05 / 11 · Pick 74% · ROI +714.1%
Added 1w 3d ago
Errol Spence vs Timofei Tszyu · PICK: Timofei Tszyu · VALUE
Super welterweight · 26 Jul · R12 · Odds 1.7353 / 2.02 · Pick 53% · ROI +7.8%
Added 1w 3d ago
Edgar Berlanga vs Steven Butler · PICK: Edgar Berlanga · VALUE
Super middleweight · 26 Jul · R10 · Odds 1.3279 / 3.15 · Pick 85% · ROI +13.0%
Added 1w 3d ago
Ricardo Rodríguez vs Richardson Hitchins · PICK: Richardson Hitchins · NO VALUE
Welterweight · 26 Jul · R12 · Odds 7.5 / 1.0897 · Pick 80%
Added 1w 3d ago
Ethan Perez vs Troy Nash · PICK: Troy Nash · NO VALUE
Featherweight · 26 Jul · R8 · Odds 6 / 1.1053 · Pick 62%
Added 2d 13h ago
Arnold Gonzalez vs Emiliano Moreno · PICK: Arnold Gonzalez · VALUE
Welterweight · 26 Jul · R8 · Odds 2.44 / 1.5102 · Pick 51% · ROI +23.4%
Added 2d 13h ago
Jalil Hackett vs Sergiy Derevyanchenko · PICK: Jalil Hackett · NO VALUE
Middleweight · 27 Jul · R10 · Odds 1.5814 / 2.26 · Pick 51%
Added 6d 13h ago
Gary Cully vs Lee Reeves · PICK: Gary Cully · VALUE
Super lightweight · 01 Aug · R10 · Odds 1.7143 / 2.06 · Pick 73% · ROI +25.7%
Added 6d 13h ago
Charles Conwell vs Paul Kroll · PICK: Charles Conwell · NO VALUE
Super welterweight · 02 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.1818 / 4.3 · Pick 58%
Added 2d 13h ago
Raymond Muratalla vs Robson Conceição · PICK: Robson Conceição · VALUE
Lightweight · 02 Aug · R12 · Odds 1.1111 / 6.5 · Pick 56% · ROI +264.8%
Added 1w 3d ago
Titles on line: IBF/WBC Lightweight Championship
Lamont Roach vs William Zepeda · PICK: Lamont Roach · NO VALUE
Lightweight · 02 Aug · R12 · Odds 1.4651 / 2.64 · Pick 53%
Added 1w 3d ago
Gradus Kraus vs Sean Hemphill · PICK: Sean Hemphill · VALUE
Light heavyweight · 08 Aug · R10 · Odds 1.0909 / 6.4 · Pick 51% · ROI +226.4%
Added 2d 13h ago
Desley Robinson vs Tammara Thibeault · PICK: Desley Robinson · VALUE
Middleweight · 08 Aug · R10 · Odds 3.85 / 1.2381 · Pick 67% · ROI +159.3%
Added 1w 1d ago
Amanda Galle vs Shurretta Metcalf · PICK: Shurretta Metcalf · VALUE
Super flyweight · 09 Aug · R8 · Odds 1.5263 / 2.43 · Pick 61% · ROI +49.4%
Added 1w 1d ago
Alejandro Ortiz vs Michael Zerafa · PICK: Michael Zerafa · NO VALUE
Middleweight · 12 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 6.8 / 1.0769 · Pick 80%
Added 6d 13h ago
Claressa Shields vs Kaye Scott · PICK: Claressa Shields · NO VALUE
Middleweight · 16 Aug · R10 · Odds 1.0286 / 16 · Pick 53%
Added 4d 13h ago
Demetrius Andrade vs Douglas Ataide · PICK: Demetrius Andrade · NO VALUE
Super middleweight · TODAY · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.05 / 8.3 · Pick 60%
Added 2d 13h ago
Alvino Herrera Meza vs Reito Tsutsumi · PICK: Alvino Meza · VALUE
Featherweight · TODAY · R10 · Odds 6.8 / 1.0769 · Pick 55% · ROI +274.1%
Added 6d 13h ago
Caoimhín Hynes vs Joshua Kelly · PICK: Joshua Kelly · VALUE
Super welterweight · TODAY · R12 · Odds 4.4 / 1.2273 · Pick 82% · ROI +0.4%
Added 13h 7m ago
Titles on line: IBF Super welterweight Championship
Liam Wilson vs Stephen Fulton · PICK: Stephen Fulton · NO VALUE
Super featherweight · 26 Jul · R10 · Odds 4.8 / 1.1786 · Pick 73%
Added 1w 3d ago
Jermall Charlo vs Koen Mazoudier · PICK: Koen Mazoudier · VALUE
Super middleweight · 26 Jul · R10 · Odds 1.05 / 11 · Pick 74% · ROI +714.1%
Added 1w 3d ago
Errol Spence vs Timofei Tszyu · PICK: Timofei Tszyu · VALUE
Super welterweight · 26 Jul · R12 · Odds 1.7353 / 2.02 · Pick 53% · ROI +7.8%
Added 1w 3d ago
Edgar Berlanga vs Steven Butler · PICK: Edgar Berlanga · VALUE
Super middleweight · 26 Jul · R10 · Odds 1.3279 / 3.15 · Pick 85% · ROI +13.0%
Added 1w 3d ago
Ricardo Rodríguez vs Richardson Hitchins · PICK: Richardson Hitchins · NO VALUE
Welterweight · 26 Jul · R12 · Odds 7.5 / 1.0897 · Pick 80%
Added 1w 3d ago
Ethan Perez vs Troy Nash · PICK: Troy Nash · NO VALUE
Featherweight · 26 Jul · R8 · Odds 6 / 1.1053 · Pick 62%
Added 2d 13h ago
Arnold Gonzalez vs Emiliano Moreno · PICK: Arnold Gonzalez · VALUE
Welterweight · 26 Jul · R8 · Odds 2.44 / 1.5102 · Pick 51% · ROI +23.4%
Added 2d 13h ago
Jalil Hackett vs Sergiy Derevyanchenko · PICK: Jalil Hackett · NO VALUE
Middleweight · 27 Jul · R10 · Odds 1.5814 / 2.26 · Pick 51%
Added 6d 13h ago
Gary Cully vs Lee Reeves · PICK: Gary Cully · VALUE
Super lightweight · 01 Aug · R10 · Odds 1.7143 / 2.06 · Pick 73% · ROI +25.7%
Added 6d 13h ago
Charles Conwell vs Paul Kroll · PICK: Charles Conwell · NO VALUE
Super welterweight · 02 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.1818 / 4.3 · Pick 58%
Added 2d 13h ago
Raymond Muratalla vs Robson Conceição · PICK: Robson Conceição · VALUE
Lightweight · 02 Aug · R12 · Odds 1.1111 / 6.5 · Pick 56% · ROI +264.8%
Added 1w 3d ago
Titles on line: IBF/WBC Lightweight Championship
Lamont Roach vs William Zepeda · PICK: Lamont Roach · NO VALUE
Lightweight · 02 Aug · R12 · Odds 1.4651 / 2.64 · Pick 53%
Added 1w 3d ago
Gradus Kraus vs Sean Hemphill · PICK: Sean Hemphill · VALUE
Light heavyweight · 08 Aug · R10 · Odds 1.0909 / 6.4 · Pick 51% · ROI +226.4%
Added 2d 13h ago
Desley Robinson vs Tammara Thibeault · PICK: Desley Robinson · VALUE
Middleweight · 08 Aug · R10 · Odds 3.85 / 1.2381 · Pick 67% · ROI +159.3%
Added 1w 1d ago
Amanda Galle vs Shurretta Metcalf · PICK: Shurretta Metcalf · VALUE
Super flyweight · 09 Aug · R8 · Odds 1.5263 / 2.43 · Pick 61% · ROI +49.4%
Added 1w 1d ago
Alejandro Ortiz vs Michael Zerafa · PICK: Michael Zerafa · NO VALUE
Middleweight · 12 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 6.8 / 1.0769 · Pick 80%
Added 6d 13h ago
Claressa Shields vs Kaye Scott · PICK: Claressa Shields · NO VALUE
Middleweight · 16 Aug · R10 · Odds 1.0286 / 16 · Pick 53%
Added 4d 13h ago
Uses the locked prediction produced when odds are available for the bout.
Bets
11
Avg Odds
4.1554
Avg Win
64.47%
Avg Diff
25.60%
Avg ROI
159.85%
Win Profit (u)
34.7095u
Sample
20
Shown
20
Strategy Comparison
active predictions| Strategy | Bets | Avg Win | Avg ROI | Avg Diff | Win Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Locked value only Active | 11 | 64.47% | 159.85% | 25.60% | 34.7095 |
| Any positive diff | 11 | 64.47% | 159.85% | 25.60% | 34.7095 |
| Diff vs implied >= 5% | 9 | 63.77% | 194.46% | 30.82% | 33.4622 |
| Diff vs implied >= 10% | 7 | 62.61% | 244.82% | 36.86% | 31.6943 |
| Model confidence >= 60% | 11 | 72.46% | 77.42% | 4.60% | 16.0500 |
| All model leans | 20 | 63.98% | 76.57% | 4.18% | 36.4669 |
| Underdog positive diff | 8 | 58.62% | 214.91% | 32.06% | 33.4400 |
Value only Active
11 bets
Avg ROI 159.85% · Avg diff 25.60% · Win profit 34.7095
+Diff
11 bets
Avg ROI 159.85% · Avg diff 25.60% · Win profit 34.7095
+5% diff
9 bets
Avg ROI 194.46% · Avg diff 30.82% · Win profit 33.4622
+10% diff
7 bets
Avg ROI 244.82% · Avg diff 36.86% · Win profit 31.6943
60%+ model
11 bets
Avg ROI 77.42% · Avg diff 4.60% · Win profit 16.0500
All leans
20 bets
Avg ROI 76.57% · Avg diff 4.18% · Win profit 36.4669
Dog +diff
8 bets
Avg ROI 214.91% · Avg diff 32.06% · Win profit 33.4400
| Bout | Date | Odds | Lean | Win % | Implied % | Edge % | Est ROI % | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demetrius Andrade vs Douglas Ataide | 25 Jul 2026 | 1.05 / 8.3 | Demetrius Andrade | 60.09% | 95.24% | -35.15% | -36.91% | PASS |
| Alvino Herrera Meza vs Reito Tsutsumi | 25 Jul 2026 | 6.8 / 1.0769 | Alvino Meza | 55.01% | 14.71% | 40.30% | 274.06% | BET |
| Caoimhín Hynes vs Joshua Kelly | 25 Jul 2026 | 4.4 / 1.2273 | Joshua Kelly | 81.81% | 81.48% | 0.33% | 0.41% | BET |
| Liam Wilson vs Stephen Fulton | 26 Jul 2026 | 4.8 / 1.1786 | Stephen Fulton | 72.53% | 84.85% | -12.32% | -14.52% | PASS |
| Jermall Charlo vs Koen Mazoudier | 26 Jul 2026 | 1.05 / 11 | Koen Mazoudier | 74.01% | 9.09% | 64.92% | 714.09% | BET |
| Errol Spence vs Timofei Tszyu | 26 Jul 2026 | 1.7353 / 2.02 | Timofei Tszyu | 53.38% | 49.50% | 3.88% | 7.84% | BET |
| Edgar Berlanga vs Steven Butler | 26 Jul 2026 | 1.3279 / 3.15 | Edgar Berlanga | 85.09% | 75.31% | 9.78% | 12.99% | BET |
| Ricardo Rodríguez vs Richardson Hitchins | 26 Jul 2026 | 7.5 / 1.0897 | Richardson Hitchins | 79.55% | 91.77% | -12.22% | -13.31% | PASS |
| Ethan Perez vs Troy Nash | 26 Jul 2026 | 6 / 1.1053 | Troy Nash | 61.77% | 90.47% | -28.70% | -31.72% | PASS |
| Arnold Gonzalez vs Emiliano Moreno | 26 Jul 2026 | 2.44 / 1.5102 | Arnold Gonzalez | 50.59% | 40.98% | 9.60% | 23.43% | BET |
| Jalil Hackett vs Sergiy Derevyanchenko | 27 Jul 2026 | 1.5814 / 2.26 | Jalil Hackett | 51.38% | 63.24% | -11.86% | -18.75% | PASS |
| Gary Cully vs Lee Reeves | 01 Aug 2026 | 1.7143 / 2.06 | Gary Cully | 73.32% | 58.33% | 14.99% | 25.70% | BET |
| Charles Conwell vs Paul Kroll | 02 Aug 2026 | 1.1818 / 4.3 | Charles Conwell | 58.28% | 84.62% | -26.34% | -31.13% | PASS |
| Raymond Muratalla vs Robson Conceição | 02 Aug 2026 | 1.1111 / 6.5 | Robson Conceição | 56.12% | 15.38% | 40.73% | 264.77% | BET |
| Lamont Roach vs William Zepeda | 02 Aug 2026 | 1.4651 / 2.64 | Lamont Roach | 53.43% | 68.25% | -14.83% | -21.72% | PASS |
| Gradus Kraus vs Sean Hemphill | 08 Aug 2026 | 1.0909 / 6.4 | Sean Hemphill | 51.00% | 15.63% | 35.38% | 226.43% | BET |
| Desley Robinson vs Tammara Thibeault | 08 Aug 2026 | 3.85 / 1.2381 | Desley Robinson | 67.35% | 25.97% | 41.38% | 159.31% | BET |
| Amanda Galle vs Shurretta Metcalf | 09 Aug 2026 | 1.5263 / 2.43 | Shurretta Metcalf | 61.46% | 41.15% | 20.31% | 49.35% | BET |
| Alejandro Ortiz vs Michael Zerafa | 12 Aug 2026 | 6.8 / 1.0769 | Michael Zerafa | 80.11% | 92.86% | -12.75% | -13.73% | PASS |
| Claressa Shields vs Kaye Scott | 16 Aug 2026 | 1.0286 / 16 | Claressa Shields | 53.28% | 97.22% | -43.94% | -45.20% | PASS |
Demetrius Andrade vs Douglas Ataide
25 Jul
Lean
Demetrius Andrade
Win %
60%
Odds
1.05 / 8.3
Est ROI
-36.91%
Implied
95.24%
Edge
-35.15%
Alvino Herrera Meza vs Reito Tsutsumi
25 Jul
Lean
Alvino Meza
Win %
55%
Odds
6.8 / 1.0769
Est ROI
274.06%
Implied
14.71%
Edge
40.30%
Caoimhín Hynes vs Joshua Kelly
25 Jul
Lean
Joshua Kelly
Win %
82%
Odds
4.4 / 1.2273
Est ROI
0.41%
Implied
81.48%
Edge
0.33%
Liam Wilson vs Stephen Fulton
26 Jul
Lean
Stephen Fulton
Win %
73%
Odds
4.8 / 1.1786
Est ROI
-14.52%
Implied
84.85%
Edge
-12.32%
Jermall Charlo vs Koen Mazoudier
26 Jul
Lean
Koen Mazoudier
Win %
74%
Odds
1.05 / 11
Est ROI
714.09%
Implied
9.09%
Edge
64.92%
Errol Spence vs Timofei Tszyu
26 Jul
Lean
Timofei Tszyu
Win %
53%
Odds
1.7353 / 2.02
Est ROI
7.84%
Implied
49.50%
Edge
3.88%
Edgar Berlanga vs Steven Butler
26 Jul
Lean
Edgar Berlanga
Win %
85%
Odds
1.3279 / 3.15
Est ROI
12.99%
Implied
75.31%
Edge
9.78%
Ricardo Rodríguez vs Richardson Hitchins
26 Jul
Lean
Richardson Hitchins
Win %
80%
Odds
7.5 / 1.0897
Est ROI
-13.31%
Implied
91.77%
Edge
-12.22%
Ethan Perez vs Troy Nash
26 Jul
Lean
Troy Nash
Win %
62%
Odds
6 / 1.1053
Est ROI
-31.72%
Implied
90.47%
Edge
-28.70%
Arnold Gonzalez vs Emiliano Moreno
26 Jul
Lean
Arnold Gonzalez
Win %
51%
Odds
2.44 / 1.5102
Est ROI
23.43%
Implied
40.98%
Edge
9.60%
Jalil Hackett vs Sergiy Derevyanchenko
27 Jul
Lean
Jalil Hackett
Win %
51%
Odds
1.5814 / 2.26
Est ROI
-18.75%
Implied
63.24%
Edge
-11.86%
Gary Cully vs Lee Reeves
01 Aug
Lean
Gary Cully
Win %
73%
Odds
1.7143 / 2.06
Est ROI
25.70%
Implied
58.33%
Edge
14.99%
Charles Conwell vs Paul Kroll
02 Aug
Lean
Charles Conwell
Win %
58%
Odds
1.1818 / 4.3
Est ROI
-31.13%
Implied
84.62%
Edge
-26.34%
Raymond Muratalla vs Robson Conceição
02 Aug
Lean
Robson Conceição
Win %
56%
Odds
1.1111 / 6.5
Est ROI
264.77%
Implied
15.38%
Edge
40.73%
Lamont Roach vs William Zepeda
02 Aug
Lean
Lamont Roach
Win %
53%
Odds
1.4651 / 2.64
Est ROI
-21.72%
Implied
68.25%
Edge
-14.83%
Gradus Kraus vs Sean Hemphill
08 Aug
Lean
Sean Hemphill
Win %
51%
Odds
1.0909 / 6.4
Est ROI
226.43%
Implied
15.63%
Edge
35.38%
Desley Robinson vs Tammara Thibeault
08 Aug
Lean
Desley Robinson
Win %
67%
Odds
3.85 / 1.2381
Est ROI
159.31%
Implied
25.97%
Edge
41.38%
Amanda Galle vs Shurretta Metcalf
09 Aug
Lean
Shurretta Metcalf
Win %
61%
Odds
1.5263 / 2.43
Est ROI
49.35%
Implied
41.15%
Edge
20.31%
Alejandro Ortiz vs Michael Zerafa
12 Aug
Lean
Michael Zerafa
Win %
80%
Odds
6.8 / 1.0769
Est ROI
-13.73%
Implied
92.86%
Edge
-12.75%
Claressa Shields vs Kaye Scott
16 Aug
Lean
Claressa Shields
Win %
53%
Odds
1.0286 / 16
Est ROI
-45.20%
Implied
97.22%
Edge
-43.94%