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Results

Data as of: 2026-08-09 17:19:31 UTC

Results only confirm and affect headline metrics when winner + closing odds available.

Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.

Recent Results

Methodology Page 1 of 9 · 88 rows
Result filters Expand

Kaye Scott vs Claressa Shields · WINNER: Claressa Shields · CORRECT

Middleweight · 16 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 10 · 16 / 1.0286 · NO VALUE · Pick Claressa Shields 79%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-21 02:00:12 UTC

Emmanuel Tagoe vs Ernesto Mercado · STATUS: Pending · PENDING

Super lightweight · 16 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 11 / 1.04 · NO VALUE · Pick Ernesto Mercado 59%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-15 08:21:09 UTC

Roamer Angulo vs Atif Oberlton · WINNER: Atif Oberlton · CORRECT

Light heavyweight · 15 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 8.3 / 1.05 · NO VALUE · Pick Atif Oberlton 63%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-12 14:55:24 UTC

Danielle Perkins vs Olivia Curry · STATUS: Pending · PENDING

Light heavyweight · 15 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.1333 / 5.3 · NO VALUE · Pick Danielle Perkins 66%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-12 14:46:36 UTC

Michael Zerafa vs Alejandro Ortiz · WINNER: Michael Zerafa · CORRECT

Middleweight · 12 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.0769 / 6.8 · NO VALUE · Pick Michael Zerafa 66%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-19 02:13:05 UTC

Sam Hickey vs Brad Axe · WINNER: Sam Hickey · CORRECT

Middleweight · 08 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 8 · 1.0769 / 6.8 · NO VALUE · Pick Sam Hickey 73%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-03 11:01:08 UTC

Tyler Denny vs Callum Walsh · WINNER: Callum Walsh · CORRECT

Middleweight · 08 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 10 · 3.9 / 1.2439 · NO VALUE · Pick Callum Walsh 62%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-30 02:43:44 UTC

Tammara Thibeault vs Desley Robinson · WINNER: Tammara Thibeault · CORRECT

Middleweight · 08 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 10 · 1.2381 / 3.85 · NO VALUE · Pick Tammara Thibeault 60%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-17 02:58:26 UTC

Sean Hemphill vs Gradus Kraus · WINNER: Gradus Kraus · CORRECT

Light heavyweight · 08 Aug 2026 · STOPPAGE (REPORTED) · 10/10 · 6.4 / 1.0909 · NO VALUE · Pick Gradus Kraus 57%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-23 03:19:42 UTC

Shurretta Metcalf vs Amanda Galle · WINNER: Amanda Galle · CORRECT

Super flyweight · 08 Aug 2026 · UD · SCHEDULED 8 · 2.43 / 1.5263 · NO VALUE · Pick Amanda Galle 55%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-17 03:04:10 UTC

Tracked Prediction Data

Unconfirmed results stay visible for reference; summary metrics use confirmed win/loss strategy bets.

Methodology Page 1 of 5 · 88 rows
Prediction filters Expand

Bets

14

ROI

6.03%

Profit

0.8436

Avg Odds

2.8250

Accuracy

42.86%

Win/Loss

83

Avg Diff

15.37%

Tracked

88

Advanced

Forecast Quality

83 confirmed

Brier score

0.187

Log loss

0.560

ECE

20.50%

Brier skill vs close

-63.12%

Market 0.114 · 83 rows

Forecast Band Rows Avg Forecast Observed Gap
50-60% 35 54.11% 80.00% 25.89%
60-70% 37 64.16% 78.38% 14.22%
70-80% 9 74.01% 100.00% 25.99%
80-90% 2 82.36% 100.00% 17.64%
90-100% 0 N/A N/A N/A

Market And Strategy

Locked value only · 14 closing lines

Average CLV

+0.24%

Median CLV

0.00%

Beat-close rate

7.14%

Model-implied EV at close

+55.59%

Strategy Comparison

1u flat stake

Value only Active

14 bets

ROI 6.03% · Profit 0.8436 · Accuracy 42.86%

+Diff

14 bets

ROI 6.03% · Profit 0.8436 · Accuracy 42.86%

+5% diff

12 bets

ROI 6.03% · Profit 0.7236 · Accuracy 41.67%

+10% diff

10 bets

ROI 9.83% · Profit 0.9829 · Accuracy 40.00%

60%+ model

48 bets

ROI -6.33% · Profit -3.0389 · Accuracy 83.33%

All leans

83 bets

ROI 6.17% · Profit 5.1204 · Accuracy 81.93%

Dog +diff

10 bets

ROI 12.10% · Profit 1.2100 · Accuracy 40.00%

Prediction bout cards Expand

Kaye Scott vs Claressa Shields

16 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Claressa Shields

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

79.38%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

16 / 1.0286

Implied

97.22%

Diff

-17.84%

ROI

-18.35%

Profit

N/A

Emmanuel Tagoe vs Ernesto Mercado

16 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Ernesto Mercado

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

58.70%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

11 / 1.04

Implied

96.15%

Diff

-37.45%

ROI

-38.95%

Profit

N/A

Roamer Angulo vs Atif Oberlton

15 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Atif Oberlton

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

62.80%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

8.3 / 1.05

Implied

95.24%

Diff

-32.43%

ROI

-34.06%

Profit

N/A

Danielle Perkins vs Olivia Curry

15 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Danielle Perkins

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

66.18%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

1.1333 / 5.3

Implied

88.24%

Diff

-22.06%

ROI

-25.00%

Profit

N/A

Michael Zerafa vs Alejandro Ortiz

12 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Michael Zerafa

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

66.36%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0769 / 6.8

Implied

92.86%

Diff

-26.50%

ROI

-28.54%

Profit

N/A

Sam Hickey vs Brad Axe

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Sam Hickey

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

73.00%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0769 / 6.8

Implied

92.86%

Diff

-19.86%

ROI

-21.38%

Profit

N/A

Tyler Denny vs Callum Walsh

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Callum Walsh

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

61.90%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

3.9 / 1.2439

Implied

80.39%

Diff

-18.49%

ROI

-23.00%

Profit

N/A

Tammara Thibeault vs Desley Robinson

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Tammara Thibeault

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

60.38%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.2381 / 3.85

Implied

80.77%

Diff

-20.39%

ROI

-25.25%

Profit

N/A

Sean Hemphill vs Gradus Kraus

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Gradus Kraus

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

57.47%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

6.4 / 1.0909

Implied

91.67%

Diff

-34.19%

ROI

-37.30%

Profit

N/A

Shurretta Metcalf vs Amanda Galle

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Amanda Galle

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

55.14%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

2.43 / 1.5263

Implied

65.52%

Diff

-10.38%

ROI

-15.84%

Profit

N/A

Paul Kroll vs Charles Conwell

02 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Charles Conwell

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

57.81%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

4.3 / 1.1818

Implied

84.62%

Diff

-26.81%

ROI

-31.68%

Profit

N/A

Raúl Curiel vs Quinton Randall

02 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Raúl Garcia

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

59.21%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0769 / 6.8

Implied

90.91%

Diff

-31.70%

ROI

-34.87%

Profit

N/A

Fabian Macias vs Aaron Coley

01 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Fabian Macias

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

62.55%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0625 / 7.6

Implied

94.12%

Diff

-31.57%

ROI

-33.54%

Profit

N/A

Yeyery Castillo vs Dalis Kaleiopu

01 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Dalis Kaleiopu

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

65.38%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

11 / 1.05

Implied

95.24%

Diff

-29.85%

ROI

-31.35%

Profit

N/A

Jorge Valencia vs Joel Iriarte

01 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Joel Iriarte

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

72.32%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

17 / 1.01

Implied

99.01%

Diff

-26.69%

ROI

-26.95%

Profit

N/A

Lee Reeves vs Gary Cully

01 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Gary Cully

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

55.94%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

2.06 / 1.7143

Implied

58.33%

Diff

-2.39%

ROI

-4.10%

Profit

N/A

William Zepeda vs Lamont Roach

01 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

William Segura

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

51.30%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

2.64 / 1.4651

Implied

37.88%

Diff

13.43%

ROI

35.44%

Profit

1.6400

Model: Pure subjective

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