Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Manzur
20 Aug
Lean
Amanda Serrano
Win %
78%
Odds
1.05 / 11
Est ROI
-18.40%
Implied
95.24%
Edge
-17.52%
Data as of: 2026-08-20 08:25:05 UTC
28-day rolling window. Predictions appear once odds are available and fighter data passes quality gates.
Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.
Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Manzur · PICK: Amanda Serrano · NO VALUE
Featherweight · TODAY · R12 · Odds 1.05 / 11 · Pick 78%
Added 3w 1d ago
Avious Griffin vs Jackson Maríñez · PICK: Jackson Maríñez · VALUE
Welterweight · 22 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.069 / 7.5 · Pick 51% · ROI +279.7%
Added 1w 6d ago
Gary Russell vs Victor Santillan · PICK: Gary Russell · VALUE
Super bantamweight · 23 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 2.16 / 1.6494 · Pick 60% · ROI +29.3%
Added 2w 2d ago
Carlos Lopez vs Israel Hernandez · PICK: Carlos Lopez · NO VALUE
Super lightweight · 23 Aug · R10 · Odds 1.1053 / 6 · Pick 62%
Added 3d 4h ago
Francisco Verón vs Yoenli Martinez · PICK: Yoenli Martinez · NO VALUE
Middleweight · 23 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 7.6 / 1.0625 · Pick 68%
Added 2w 13h ago
Rolando Romero vs Teofimo Lopez · PICK: Teofimo Lopez · VALUE
Welterweight · 23 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 2.78 / 1.4348 · Pick 74% · ROI +5.8%
Added 3w 4d ago
Titles on line: WBA Welterweight Championship
Ben Mahoney vs Nikita Tszyu · PICK: Nikita Tszyu · NO VALUE
Super welterweight · 26 Aug · R12 · Odds 4.3 / 1.1818 · Pick 55%
Added 3w 13h ago
Miyo Yoshida vs Skye Nicolson · PICK: Skye Nicolson · NO VALUE
Super bantamweight · 29 Aug · R10 · Odds 8.2 / 1.0556 · Pick 65%
Added 2w 4d ago
Miranda Reyes vs Terri Harper · PICK: Terri Harper · NO VALUE
Super lightweight · 29 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 3.15 / 1.3333 · Pick 62%
Added 2w 4d ago
Aloys Youmbi vs Ismaikel Pérez · PICK: Ismaikel Pérez · VALUE
Cruiserweight · 29 Aug · R10 · Odds 1.2326 / 3.8 · Pick 53% · ROI +100.4%
Added 2w 4d ago
Chantelle Cameron vs Mikaela Mayer · PICK: Chantelle Cameron · VALUE
Super welterweight · 29 Aug · R10 · Odds 3 / 1.3704 · Pick 54% · ROI +60.9%
Added 2w 3d ago
Filip Hrgović vs Moses Itauma · PICK: Moses Itauma · NO VALUE
Heavyweight · 29 Aug · R12 · Odds 6.3 / 1.1111 · Pick 59%
Added 2w 3d ago
Jordan White vs Luis Torres Valenzuela · PICK: Luis Valenzuela · NO VALUE
Lightweight · 29 Aug · R10 · Odds 2.88 / 1.3846 · Pick 52%
Added 2w 4d ago
Carlos Ornelas vs Mauricio Lara · PICK: Mauricio Lara · NO VALUE
Super featherweight · 30 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 6 / 1.1053 · Pick 68%
Added 2w 3d ago
Carlos Cañizales vs Daiya Kira · PICK: Carlos Cañizales · VALUE
Light flyweight · 02 Sep · Rounds TBC · Odds 2.74 / 1.4167 · Pick 63% · ROI +72.2%
Added 2w 13h ago
Joseph McGrail vs Matty Boreland · PICK: Matty Boreland · VALUE
Super bantamweight · 05 Sep · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.1333 / 5.3 · Pick 51% · ROI +170.1%
Added 1d 3h ago
Andres Cortes vs Mark Magsayo · PICK: Andres Cortes · VALUE
Lightweight · 13 Sep · R10 · Odds 2.42 / 1.5208 · Pick 55% · ROI +33.9%
Added 1d 3h ago
Jai Opetaia vs Norair Mikaeljan · PICK: Jai Opetaia · NO VALUE
Cruiserweight · 13 Sep · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.0769 / 7.9 · Pick 64%
Added 1d 3h ago
Titles on line: Ring Cruiserweight Championship
Conor Benn vs Ryan Garcia · PICK: Ryan Garcia · NO VALUE
Welterweight · 13 Sep · R12 · Odds 3.8 / 1.25 · Pick 52%
Added 1d 3h ago
Titles on line: WBC Welterweight Championship
Christian Assomo-Hallier vs Canelo Álvarez · PICK: Canelo Álvarez · NO VALUE
Super middleweight · 13 Sep · R12 · Odds 3.5 / 1.2857 · Pick 63%
Added 1d 3h ago
Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Manzur · PICK: Amanda Serrano · NO VALUE
Featherweight · TODAY · R12 · Odds 1.05 / 11 · Pick 78%
Added 3w 1d ago
Avious Griffin vs Jackson Maríñez · PICK: Jackson Maríñez · VALUE
Welterweight · 22 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.069 / 7.5 · Pick 51% · ROI +279.7%
Added 1w 6d ago
Gary Russell vs Victor Santillan · PICK: Gary Russell · VALUE
Super bantamweight · 23 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 2.16 / 1.6494 · Pick 60% · ROI +29.3%
Added 2w 2d ago
Carlos Lopez vs Israel Hernandez · PICK: Carlos Lopez · NO VALUE
Super lightweight · 23 Aug · R10 · Odds 1.1053 / 6 · Pick 62%
Added 3d 4h ago
Francisco Verón vs Yoenli Martinez · PICK: Yoenli Martinez · NO VALUE
Middleweight · 23 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 7.6 / 1.0625 · Pick 68%
Added 2w 13h ago
Rolando Romero vs Teofimo Lopez · PICK: Teofimo Lopez · VALUE
Welterweight · 23 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 2.78 / 1.4348 · Pick 74% · ROI +5.8%
Added 3w 4d ago
Titles on line: WBA Welterweight Championship
Ben Mahoney vs Nikita Tszyu · PICK: Nikita Tszyu · NO VALUE
Super welterweight · 26 Aug · R12 · Odds 4.3 / 1.1818 · Pick 55%
Added 3w 13h ago
Miyo Yoshida vs Skye Nicolson · PICK: Skye Nicolson · NO VALUE
Super bantamweight · 29 Aug · R10 · Odds 8.2 / 1.0556 · Pick 65%
Added 2w 4d ago
Miranda Reyes vs Terri Harper · PICK: Terri Harper · NO VALUE
Super lightweight · 29 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 3.15 / 1.3333 · Pick 62%
Added 2w 4d ago
Aloys Youmbi vs Ismaikel Pérez · PICK: Ismaikel Pérez · VALUE
Cruiserweight · 29 Aug · R10 · Odds 1.2326 / 3.8 · Pick 53% · ROI +100.4%
Added 2w 4d ago
Chantelle Cameron vs Mikaela Mayer · PICK: Chantelle Cameron · VALUE
Super welterweight · 29 Aug · R10 · Odds 3 / 1.3704 · Pick 54% · ROI +60.9%
Added 2w 3d ago
Filip Hrgović vs Moses Itauma · PICK: Moses Itauma · NO VALUE
Heavyweight · 29 Aug · R12 · Odds 6.3 / 1.1111 · Pick 59%
Added 2w 3d ago
Jordan White vs Luis Torres Valenzuela · PICK: Luis Valenzuela · NO VALUE
Lightweight · 29 Aug · R10 · Odds 2.88 / 1.3846 · Pick 52%
Added 2w 4d ago
Carlos Ornelas vs Mauricio Lara · PICK: Mauricio Lara · NO VALUE
Super featherweight · 30 Aug · Rounds TBC · Odds 6 / 1.1053 · Pick 68%
Added 2w 3d ago
Carlos Cañizales vs Daiya Kira · PICK: Carlos Cañizales · VALUE
Light flyweight · 02 Sep · Rounds TBC · Odds 2.74 / 1.4167 · Pick 63% · ROI +72.2%
Added 2w 13h ago
Joseph McGrail vs Matty Boreland · PICK: Matty Boreland · VALUE
Super bantamweight · 05 Sep · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.1333 / 5.3 · Pick 51% · ROI +170.1%
Added 1d 3h ago
Andres Cortes vs Mark Magsayo · PICK: Andres Cortes · VALUE
Lightweight · 13 Sep · R10 · Odds 2.42 / 1.5208 · Pick 55% · ROI +33.9%
Added 1d 3h ago
Jai Opetaia vs Norair Mikaeljan · PICK: Jai Opetaia · NO VALUE
Cruiserweight · 13 Sep · Rounds TBC · Odds 1.0769 / 7.9 · Pick 64%
Added 1d 3h ago
Titles on line: Ring Cruiserweight Championship
Conor Benn vs Ryan Garcia · PICK: Ryan Garcia · NO VALUE
Welterweight · 13 Sep · R12 · Odds 3.8 / 1.25 · Pick 52%
Added 1d 3h ago
Titles on line: WBC Welterweight Championship
Christian Assomo-Hallier vs Canelo Álvarez · PICK: Canelo Álvarez · NO VALUE
Super middleweight · 13 Sep · R12 · Odds 3.5 / 1.2857 · Pick 63%
Added 1d 3h ago
Uses the locked prediction produced when odds are available for the bout.
Bets
8
Avg Odds
3.5443
Avg Win
57.47%
Avg Diff
21.77%
Avg ROI
94.05%
Win Profit (u)
20.3548u
Sample
20
Shown
20
Strategy Comparison
active predictions| Strategy | Bets | Avg Win | Avg ROI | Avg Diff | Win Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Locked value only Active | 8 | 57.47% | 94.05% | 21.77% | 20.3548 |
| Any positive diff | 8 | 57.47% | 94.05% | 21.77% | 20.3548 |
| Diff vs implied >= 5% | 7 | 55.15% | 106.66% | 24.30% | 19.9200 |
| Diff vs implied >= 10% | 7 | 55.15% | 106.66% | 24.30% | 19.9200 |
| Model confidence >= 60% | 10 | 66.55% | -12.42% | -15.14% | 3.2494 |
| All model leans | 20 | 60.33% | 20.88% | -5.83% | 22.3569 |
| Underdog positive diff | 7 | 55.15% | 106.66% | 24.30% | 19.9200 |
Value only Active
8 bets
Avg ROI 94.05% · Avg diff 21.77% · Win profit 20.3548
+Diff
8 bets
Avg ROI 94.05% · Avg diff 21.77% · Win profit 20.3548
+5% diff
7 bets
Avg ROI 106.66% · Avg diff 24.30% · Win profit 19.9200
+10% diff
7 bets
Avg ROI 106.66% · Avg diff 24.30% · Win profit 19.9200
60%+ model
10 bets
Avg ROI -12.42% · Avg diff -15.14% · Win profit 3.2494
All leans
20 bets
Avg ROI 20.88% · Avg diff -5.83% · Win profit 22.3569
Dog +diff
7 bets
Avg ROI 106.66% · Avg diff 24.30% · Win profit 19.9200
| Bout | Date | Odds | Lean | Win % | Implied % | Edge % | Est ROI % | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Manzur | 20 Aug 2026 | 1.05 / 11 | Amanda Serrano | 77.72% | 95.24% | -17.52% | -18.40% | PASS |
| Avious Griffin vs Jackson Maríñez | 22 Aug 2026 | 1.069 / 7.5 | Jackson Maríñez | 50.63% | 13.33% | 37.30% | 279.73% | BET |
| Gary Russell vs Victor Santillan | 23 Aug 2026 | 2.16 / 1.6494 | Gary Russell | 59.87% | 46.30% | 13.58% | 29.33% | BET |
| Carlos Lopez vs Israel Hernandez | 23 Aug 2026 | 1.1053 / 6 | Carlos Lopez | 62.09% | 90.47% | -28.39% | -31.38% | PASS |
| Francisco Verón vs Yoenli Martinez | 23 Aug 2026 | 7.6 / 1.0625 | Yoenli Martinez | 68.39% | 94.12% | -25.73% | -27.34% | PASS |
| Rolando Romero vs Teofimo Lopez | 23 Aug 2026 | 2.78 / 1.4348 | Teofimo Lopez | 73.75% | 69.70% | 4.06% | 5.82% | BET |
| Ben Mahoney vs Nikita Tszyu | 26 Aug 2026 | 4.3 / 1.1818 | Nikita Tszyu | 54.90% | 84.62% | -29.71% | -35.11% | PASS |
| Miyo Yoshida vs Skye Nicolson | 29 Aug 2026 | 8.2 / 1.0556 | Skye Nicolson | 64.89% | 94.73% | -29.84% | -31.50% | PASS |
| Miranda Reyes vs Terri Harper | 29 Aug 2026 | 3.15 / 1.3333 | Terri Harper | 61.85% | 75.00% | -13.16% | -17.54% | PASS |
| Aloys Youmbi vs Ismaikel Pérez | 29 Aug 2026 | 1.2326 / 3.8 | Ismaikel Pérez | 52.74% | 26.32% | 26.43% | 100.42% | BET |
| Chantelle Cameron vs Mikaela Mayer | 29 Aug 2026 | 3 / 1.3704 | Chantelle Cameron | 53.64% | 33.33% | 20.31% | 60.92% | BET |
| Filip Hrgović vs Moses Itauma | 29 Aug 2026 | 6.3 / 1.1111 | Moses Itauma | 58.99% | 90.00% | -31.01% | -34.45% | PASS |
| Jordan White vs Luis Torres Valenzuela | 29 Aug 2026 | 2.88 / 1.3846 | Luis Valenzuela | 51.74% | 72.22% | -20.48% | -28.36% | PASS |
| Carlos Ornelas vs Mauricio Lara | 30 Aug 2026 | 6 / 1.1053 | Mauricio Lara | 67.51% | 90.47% | -22.96% | -25.38% | PASS |
| Carlos Cañizales vs Daiya Kira | 02 Sep 2026 | 2.74 / 1.4167 | Carlos Cañizales | 62.85% | 36.50% | 26.35% | 72.20% | BET |
| Joseph McGrail vs Matty Boreland | 05 Sep 2026 | 1.1333 / 5.3 | Matty Boreland | 50.96% | 18.87% | 32.09% | 170.09% | BET |
| Andres Cortes vs Mark Magsayo | 13 Sep 2026 | 2.42 / 1.5208 | Andres Cortes | 55.35% | 41.32% | 14.03% | 33.95% | BET |
| Jai Opetaia vs Norair Mikaeljan | 13 Sep 2026 | 1.0769 / 7.9 | Jai Opetaia | 63.54% | 92.86% | -29.32% | -31.57% | PASS |
| Conor Benn vs Ryan Garcia | 13 Sep 2026 | 3.8 / 1.25 | Ryan Garcia | 52.25% | 80.00% | -27.75% | -34.69% | PASS |
| Christian Assomo-Hallier vs Canelo Álvarez | 13 Sep 2026 | 3.5 / 1.2857 | Canelo Álvarez | 62.89% | 77.78% | -14.89% | -19.15% | PASS |
Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Manzur
20 Aug
Lean
Amanda Serrano
Win %
78%
Odds
1.05 / 11
Est ROI
-18.40%
Implied
95.24%
Edge
-17.52%
Avious Griffin vs Jackson Maríñez
22 Aug
Lean
Jackson Maríñez
Win %
51%
Odds
1.069 / 7.5
Est ROI
279.73%
Implied
13.33%
Edge
37.30%
Gary Russell vs Victor Santillan
23 Aug
Lean
Gary Russell
Win %
60%
Odds
2.16 / 1.6494
Est ROI
29.33%
Implied
46.30%
Edge
13.58%
Carlos Lopez vs Israel Hernandez
23 Aug
Lean
Carlos Lopez
Win %
62%
Odds
1.1053 / 6
Est ROI
-31.38%
Implied
90.47%
Edge
-28.39%
Francisco Verón vs Yoenli Martinez
23 Aug
Lean
Yoenli Martinez
Win %
68%
Odds
7.6 / 1.0625
Est ROI
-27.34%
Implied
94.12%
Edge
-25.73%
Rolando Romero vs Teofimo Lopez
23 Aug
Lean
Teofimo Lopez
Win %
74%
Odds
2.78 / 1.4348
Est ROI
5.82%
Implied
69.70%
Edge
4.06%
Ben Mahoney vs Nikita Tszyu
26 Aug
Lean
Nikita Tszyu
Win %
55%
Odds
4.3 / 1.1818
Est ROI
-35.11%
Implied
84.62%
Edge
-29.71%
Miyo Yoshida vs Skye Nicolson
29 Aug
Lean
Skye Nicolson
Win %
65%
Odds
8.2 / 1.0556
Est ROI
-31.50%
Implied
94.73%
Edge
-29.84%
Miranda Reyes vs Terri Harper
29 Aug
Lean
Terri Harper
Win %
62%
Odds
3.15 / 1.3333
Est ROI
-17.54%
Implied
75.00%
Edge
-13.16%
Aloys Youmbi vs Ismaikel Pérez
29 Aug
Lean
Ismaikel Pérez
Win %
53%
Odds
1.2326 / 3.8
Est ROI
100.42%
Implied
26.32%
Edge
26.43%
Chantelle Cameron vs Mikaela Mayer
29 Aug
Lean
Chantelle Cameron
Win %
54%
Odds
3 / 1.3704
Est ROI
60.92%
Implied
33.33%
Edge
20.31%
Filip Hrgović vs Moses Itauma
29 Aug
Lean
Moses Itauma
Win %
59%
Odds
6.3 / 1.1111
Est ROI
-34.45%
Implied
90.00%
Edge
-31.01%
Jordan White vs Luis Torres Valenzuela
29 Aug
Lean
Luis Valenzuela
Win %
52%
Odds
2.88 / 1.3846
Est ROI
-28.36%
Implied
72.22%
Edge
-20.48%
Carlos Ornelas vs Mauricio Lara
30 Aug
Lean
Mauricio Lara
Win %
68%
Odds
6 / 1.1053
Est ROI
-25.38%
Implied
90.47%
Edge
-22.96%
Carlos Cañizales vs Daiya Kira
02 Sep
Lean
Carlos Cañizales
Win %
63%
Odds
2.74 / 1.4167
Est ROI
72.20%
Implied
36.50%
Edge
26.35%
Joseph McGrail vs Matty Boreland
05 Sep
Lean
Matty Boreland
Win %
51%
Odds
1.1333 / 5.3
Est ROI
170.09%
Implied
18.87%
Edge
32.09%
Andres Cortes vs Mark Magsayo
13 Sep
Lean
Andres Cortes
Win %
55%
Odds
2.42 / 1.5208
Est ROI
33.95%
Implied
41.32%
Edge
14.03%
Jai Opetaia vs Norair Mikaeljan
13 Sep
Lean
Jai Opetaia
Win %
64%
Odds
1.0769 / 7.9
Est ROI
-31.57%
Implied
92.86%
Edge
-29.32%
Conor Benn vs Ryan Garcia
13 Sep
Lean
Ryan Garcia
Win %
52%
Odds
3.8 / 1.25
Est ROI
-34.69%
Implied
80.00%
Edge
-27.75%
Christian Assomo-Hallier vs Canelo Álvarez
13 Sep
Lean
Canelo Álvarez
Win %
63%
Odds
3.5 / 1.2857
Est ROI
-19.15%
Implied
77.78%
Edge
-14.89%