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McGrail vs Boreland 05 Sep 2026 Model pick: Boreland Locked prediction 76.85% ROI: 307.32% Super bantamweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Matty Boreland 76.85%

McGrail odds 1.1333

Boreland odds 5.3000

McGrail implied 88.24%

Boreland implied 18.87%

Market odds 5.3

Implied probability 18.87%

Expected return 4.0732

ROI 307.32%

Edge 57.98%

Lean Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-08-19 10:59:13 UTC

Fighter details
JM
Joseph McGrail

Score 0.00 · 13-0-0 (6 KO)

Full name Joseph McGrail

Age N/A · Rank #445 · Confidence Low 0.419

Stance Southpaw · H/R 170cm / 160cm · GB

MB
Matty Boreland

Score 0.00 · 7-0-0 (2 KO)

Full name Matthew Boreland

Age 27 · Rank #565 · Confidence Medium 0.526

Stance N/A · H/R 170cm / 170cm · N/A

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

71.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.560

58.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.620

Punching Accuracy

74.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.450

68.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

68.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.340

64.0 Boreland Confidence Low 0.440

Pace Pressure

69.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.400

69.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.600

Defensive Skill

67.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.330

70.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.570

Distance Footwork Control

66.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.310

67.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.500

Ring IQ Adaptability

72.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.420

71.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Punching

65.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.280

61.0 Boreland Confidence Low 0.400

Chin

70.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.270

66.0 Boreland Confidence Low 0.320

Cardio Engine

73.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.430

73.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.670

Style Profile McGrail: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Boreland: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.370

18.0 Boreland Confidence Low 0.360

Out-Boxer

26.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.480

38.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.620

Power Slugger

12.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.420

8.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.680

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.580

28.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.560

Counter-Puncher

10.0 McGrail Confidence Very Low 0.240

8.0 Boreland Confidence Very Low 0.240

Stance Interaction McGrail vs unknown stance  ·  Boreland vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

74.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.620

62.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

26.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.620

38.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 McGrail

100 Boreland

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 McGrail

33.33 Boreland

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 McGrail

66.67 Boreland

Opponent Rating Last 3

50.33 McGrail

54.89 Boreland

Trend Score Last 5

100 McGrail

100 Boreland

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 McGrail

100 Boreland

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 McGrail

33.33 Boreland

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 McGrail

66.67 Boreland

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

50.33 McGrail

54.89 Boreland

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 McGrail

100 Boreland

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

McGrail stays in class.

Boreland stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

McGrail height: 170.0cm reach: 160.0cm

Boreland height: 170.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Boreland.

Advantage: Boreland +10.0cm

Stance Interaction

McGrail vs unknown stance: N/A

Boreland vs southpaw: 38.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

McGrail style: Boxer Puncher

Boreland style: Out Boxer

Interaction: medium advantage McGrail.

Advantage: McGrail

Model: height reach delta

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