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Maríñez vs Griffin 22 Aug 2026 Model pick: Griffin Locked prediction 71.11% ROI: -23.98% Welterweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Avious Griffin 71.11%

Maríñez odds 7.5000

Griffin odds 1.0690

Maríñez implied 13.33%

Griffin implied 93.55%

Market odds 1.069

Implied probability 93.55%

Expected return 0.7602

ROI -23.98%

Edge -22.44%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-08-07 02:54:53 UTC

Fighter details
JM
Jackson Maríñez

Score 56.06 · 19-3-0 (7 KO)

Full name Jackson Maríñez

Age 35 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.531

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 177cm · DO

AG
Avious Griffin

Score 54.06 · 3-1-0 (0 KO)

Full name Avious Griffin

Age 32 · Rank #587 · Confidence Low 0.456

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 191cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

58.0 Maríñez Confidence Medium 0.620

75.0 Griffin Confidence Medium 0.630

Punching Accuracy

67.0 Maríñez Confidence Medium 0.550

66.0 Griffin Confidence Low 0.420

Hand Speed

66.0 Maríñez Confidence Low 0.480

68.0 Griffin Confidence Low 0.360

Pace Pressure

64.0 Maríñez Confidence Medium 0.560

69.0 Griffin Confidence Low 0.450

Defensive Skill

57.0 Maríñez Confidence Medium 0.580

58.0 Griffin Confidence Low 0.480

Distance Footwork Control

63.0 Maríñez Confidence Medium 0.530

61.0 Griffin Confidence Low 0.340

Ring IQ Adaptability

65.0 Maríñez Confidence Medium 0.570

62.0 Griffin Confidence Low 0.380

Counter Punching

60.0 Maríñez Confidence Low 0.440

60.0 Griffin Confidence Low 0.300

Chin

49.0 Maríñez Confidence Medium 0.660

54.0 Griffin Confidence Medium 0.520

Cardio Engine

70.0 Maríñez Confidence Medium 0.630

67.0 Griffin Confidence Low 0.460

Style Profile Maríñez: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Griffin: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Maríñez Confidence Low 0.280

18.0 Griffin Confidence Low 0.430

Out-Boxer

43.0 Maríñez Confidence Medium 0.560

12.0 Griffin Confidence Low 0.340

Power Slugger

8.0 Maríñez Confidence Medium 0.620

25.0 Griffin Confidence Medium 0.560

Boxer-Puncher

29.0 Maríñez Confidence Medium 0.530

31.0 Griffin Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter-Puncher

8.0 Maríñez Confidence Very Low 0.210

14.0 Griffin Confidence Low 0.310

Stance Interaction Maríñez vs orthodox  ·  Griffin vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Maríñez Confidence Medium 0.600

64.0 Griffin Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Maríñez Confidence Medium 0.600

36.0 Griffin Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

0 Maríñez

66.67 Griffin

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Maríñez

66.67 Griffin

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Maríñez

66.67 Griffin

Opponent Rating Last 3

77.25 Maríñez

52.52 Griffin

Trend Score Last 5

40 Maríñez

81.25 Griffin

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

50 Maríñez

83.33 Griffin

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

18.42 Maríñez

83.33 Griffin

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Maríñez

66.67 Griffin

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

77.25 Maríñez

52.52 Griffin

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70 Maríñez

81.25 Griffin

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Maríñez moves up 2 classes.

Griffin moves down 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Griffin.

Advantage: Griffin

Height Reach Delta

Maríñez height: 178.0cm reach: 177.0cm

Griffin height: 183.0cm reach: 191.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Griffin.

Advantage: Griffin +19.0cm

Stance Interaction

Maríñez vs orthodox: 62.0

Griffin vs orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Maríñez style: Out Boxer

Griffin style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: Algobetting

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