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Heaney vs Warburton 26 Sep 2026 Result: Warburton Time-safe result Pick 67.39% Prediction: Incorrect Middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Gerome Warburton (U D)

Pre-fight pick Nathan Heaney 67.39%

Prediction result Incorrect

Heaney odds 3.2000

Warburton odds 1.3226

Heaney implied 31.25%

Warburton implied 75.61%

Pre-fight odds 3.2

Pre-fight implied 31.25%

Expected return 2.1566

ROI 115.66%

Edge 36.14%

Lean Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-09-14 09:16:30 UTC

Fighter details
NH
Nathan Heaney

Score 54.40 · 9-3-1 (6 KO)

Full name Nathan Heaney

Age 37 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.625

Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / 188cm · GB

GW
Gerome Warburton

Score 51.32 · 17-2-2 (2 KO)

Full name Gerome Warburton

Age 31 · Rank #659 · Confidence Medium 0.534

Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 182cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

58.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.740

40.0 Warburton Confidence High 0.850

Punching Accuracy

64.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.620

63.0 Warburton Confidence Low 0.480

Hand Speed

59.0 Heaney Confidence Low 0.480

58.0 Warburton Confidence Low 0.340

Pace Pressure

68.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.670

61.0 Warburton Confidence Low 0.460

Defensive Skill

54.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.680

57.0 Warburton Confidence Low 0.470

Distance Footwork Control

61.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.570

66.0 Warburton Confidence Medium 0.520

Ring IQ Adaptability

66.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.700

68.0 Warburton Confidence Medium 0.560

Counter Punching

57.0 Heaney Confidence Low 0.490

60.0 Warburton Confidence Low 0.360

Chin

52.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.720

52.0 Warburton Confidence Medium 0.500

Cardio Engine

65.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.700

69.0 Warburton Confidence Medium 0.620

Style Profile Heaney: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Warburton: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Heaney Confidence Low 0.470

14.0 Warburton Confidence Low 0.430

Out-Boxer

33.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.660

40.0 Warburton Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

7.0 Heaney Confidence High 0.790

4.0 Warburton Confidence High 0.900

Boxer-Puncher

28.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.610

24.0 Warburton Confidence Low 0.460

Counter-Puncher

14.0 Heaney Confidence Low 0.380

18.0 Warburton Confidence Low 0.410

Stance Interaction Heaney vs southpaw  ·  Warburton vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.670

72.0 Warburton Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.670

28.0 Warburton Confidence Low 0.330

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

0 Heaney

100 Warburton

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Heaney

0 Warburton

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Heaney

66.67 Warburton

Opponent Rating Last 3

66.01 Heaney

60.6 Warburton

Trend Score Last 5

20 Heaney

85 Warburton

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

40.91 Heaney

100 Warburton

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

4.55 Heaney

0 Warburton

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Heaney

66.67 Warburton

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

66.01 Heaney

60.6 Warburton

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

55 Heaney

87.5 Warburton

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Heaney stays in class.

Warburton stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Heaney height: 185.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Warburton height: 175.0cm reach: 182.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Heaney.

Advantage: Heaney +16.0cm

Stance Interaction

Heaney vs southpaw: 38.0

Warburton vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: medium advantage Warburton.

Advantage: Warburton

Style Interaction

Heaney style: Out Boxer

Warburton style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: Very high subjective

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