OWN YOUR EDGE
Mercado vs Oberlton 09 May 2026 Result: Oberlton Time-safe Pick 52.95% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis
Change fighters and profiles

Time-safe prediction uses a neutral weight-class factor until a confirmed bout class is available.

Bout details

Fight result Atif Oberlton (TKO)

Model pick Carlos Mercado 52.95%

Prediction result Incorrect

Mercado odds 6.5000

Oberlton odds 1.1111

Mercado implied 15.38%

Oberlton implied 90.00%

Pick odds 6.5

Pick implied 15.38%

Expected return 4.1843

ROI 318.43%

Edge 48.99%

Lean Value

Bout Time-safe

Odds updated 2026-05-13 14:30:17 UTC

Fighter details
CM
Carlos Mercado

Score 60.95 · 22-4-0 (17 KO)

Full name Carlos Gongora Mercado

Age 37 · Rank #283 · Confidence Medium 0.567

Stance Southpaw · H/R 185cm / 183cm · EC

AO
Atif Oberlton

Score 57.89 · 16-0-0 (14 KO)

Full name Atif Oberlton

Age 27 · Rank #344 · Confidence Low 0.424

Stance Southpaw · H/R 191cm / 185cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

82.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.740

87.0 Oberlton Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

71.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.560

74.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.450

Hand Speed

68.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.480

71.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.360

Pace Pressure

66.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.550

72.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.420

Defensive Skill

61.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.540

66.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.320

Distance Footwork Control

60.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.490

68.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.350

Ring Iq Adaptability

64.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.550

69.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.390

Counter Punching

67.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.500

67.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.300

Chin

78.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.670

64.0 Oberlton Confidence Very Low 0.230

Cardio Engine

72.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.620

65.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.310

Style Profile Mercado: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Oberlton: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.420

12.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.350

Out Boxer

16.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.470

8.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.250

Power Slugger

29.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.680

46.0 Oberlton Confidence Medium 0.720

Boxer Puncher

33.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.720

26.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.480

Counter Puncher

8.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.310

8.0 Oberlton Confidence Very Low 0.220

Stance Advantage Mercado Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Oberlton Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.670

66.0 Oberlton Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.670

34.0 Oberlton Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Mercado

100 Oberlton

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Mercado

100 Oberlton

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Mercado

66.67 Oberlton

Opponent Rating Last 3

69.49 Mercado

42 Oberlton

Trend Score Last 5

40 Mercado

100 Oberlton

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

64.39 Mercado

100 Oberlton

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

53.03 Mercado

100 Oberlton

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Mercado

66.67 Oberlton

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

69.49 Mercado

42 Oberlton

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70 Mercado

100 Oberlton

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

No confirmed bout class is available.

Weight-class factor is neutral for this time-safe prediction.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Mercado reach: 183.0cm height: 185.0cm delta: -2.0cm

Oberlton reach: 185.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: -6.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Mercado.

Advantage: Mercado

Stance Interaction

Mercado advantage against orthodox: 64.0

Oberlton advantage against orthodox: 66.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Mercado

Style Interaction

Mercado style: Boxer Puncher

Oberlton style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Mercado.

Advantage: Mercado

Model: Algobetting

Explore models · Login