Model pick Ernesto Mercado 72.29%
Tagoe odds 11.0000
Mercado odds 1.0400
Tagoe implied 9.09%
Mercado implied 96.15%
Market odds 1.04
Implied probability 96.15%
Expected return 0.7518
ROI -24.82%
Edge -23.86%
Lean No Value
Bout Locked prediction
Locked prediction as of 2026-08-15 08:21:09 UTC
Score 63.73 · 32-2-0 (15 KO)
Full name Emmanuel Tagoe
Age 37 · Rank #261 · Confidence Medium 0.588
Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 178cm · GH
Score 69.90 · 19-0-0 (18 KO)
Full name Ernesto De Jesus Mercado
Age 24 · Rank #98 · Confidence Medium 0.582
Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 188cm · US
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring IQ Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out-Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer-Puncher
Counter-Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Tagoe moves up 1 class.
Mercado stays in class.
Interaction: low advantage Mercado.
Advantage: Mercado
Height Reach Delta
Tagoe height: 173.0cm reach: 178.0cm
Mercado height: 178.0cm reach: 188.0cm
Interaction: high advantage Mercado.
Advantage: Mercado +15.0cm
Stance Interaction
Tagoe vs orthodox: 68.0
Mercado vs orthodox: 66.0
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
Style Interaction
Tagoe style: Boxer Puncher
Mercado style: Power Slugger
Interaction: medium advantage Tagoe.
Advantage: Tagoe
