Dalton Smith vs Alberto Puello

Data as of: 2026-11-05 08:52:13 UTC Time-safe result As-of 2026-10-24

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Smith vs Puello 24 Oct 2026 Result: Smith Time-safe result Pick 53.19% Prediction: Incorrect Super lightweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Dalton Smith (S D)

Pre-fight pick Alberto Calderón 53.19%

Prediction result Incorrect

Smith odds 1.5000

Puello odds 2.5400

Smith implied 66.67%

Puello implied 39.37%

Pre-fight odds 2.54

Pre-fight implied 39.37%

Expected return 1.3510

ROI 35.10%

Edge 13.82%

Lean Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-09-28 08:07:15 UTC

Fighter details

Dalton Smith

Score 75.04 · 20-0-0 (14 KO)

Full name Dalton Smith

Age 29 · Rank #34 · Confidence Medium 0.620

Stance Orthodox · H/R 177cm / 177cm · GB

WBC Super lightweight

Alberto Puello

Score 67.94 · 25-2-0 (11 KO)

Full name Alberto Puello Calderón

Age 32 · Rank #144 · Confidence Medium 0.614

Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 180cm · DO

Dalton Smith

Full name: Dalton Smith
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #34
Current model score: 75.04
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.620
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 177cm / 177cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 20-0-0 (14 KO)

World titles

WBC Super lightweight

24 Oct 2026

Confirmed Result

Result

Smith

Time-safe result

100% Smith

0% Puello

Fight result: Dalton Smith (S D)
Pre-fight pick: Alberto Calderón 53.19%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Pick probability: 53.19%
Pre-fight odds: 2.54
Pre-fight implied: 39.37%
Expected ROI (1u): 35.10%
Value edge: 13.82%
Lean assessment: Value

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-09-28 08:07:15 UTC

Alberto Puello

Full name: Alberto Puello Calderón
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #144
Current model score: 67.94
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.614
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 175cm / 180cm
Nationality: DO
Career snapshot: 25-2-0 (11 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

87.0 Smith Confidence High 0.780

66.0 Puello Confidence Medium 0.740

Punching Accuracy

82.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.680

74.0 Puello Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

81.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.620

76.0 Puello Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

79.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.660

61.0 Puello Confidence Medium 0.600

Defensive Skill

84.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.710

77.0 Puello Confidence Medium 0.660

Distance Footwork Control

83.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.690

79.0 Puello Confidence Medium 0.680

Ring IQ Adaptability

86.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.740

81.0 Puello Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Punching

80.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.580

75.0 Puello Confidence Medium 0.610

Chin

80.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.500

78.0 Puello Confidence Medium 0.670

Cardio Engine

82.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.670

80.0 Puello Confidence Medium 0.730

Style Profile Smith: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Puello: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Smith Confidence Low 0.440

10.0 Puello Confidence Low 0.330

Out-Boxer

18.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.530

34.0 Puello Confidence Medium 0.620

Power Slugger

20.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.580

8.0 Puello Confidence Medium 0.550

Boxer-Puncher

38.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.710

30.0 Puello Confidence Medium 0.640

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Smith Confidence Low 0.330

18.0 Puello Confidence Low 0.380

Stance Interaction Smith vs southpaw · Puello vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.660

62.0 Puello Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.660

38.0 Puello Confidence Medium 0.670

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Smith

33.33 Puello

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Smith

33.33 Puello

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Smith

100 Puello

Opponent Rating Last 3

77.57 Smith

68.98 Puello

Trend Score Last 5

100 Smith

40 Puello

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Smith

64.67 Puello

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

52.78 Smith

36.67 Puello

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Smith

100 Puello

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

77.57 Smith

68.98 Puello

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Smith

70 Puello

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Smith stays in class.

Puello stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Smith height: 177.0cm reach: 177.0cm

Puello height: 175.0cm reach: 180.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Puello.

Advantage: Puello +1.0cm

Stance Interaction

Smith vs southpaw: 58.0

Puello vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Puello style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral