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Zepeda vs Jr. 02 Aug 2026 Result: Segura Time-safe result Pick 58.08% Prediction: Correct Lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result William Segura (U D)

Pre-fight pick William Segura 58.08%

Prediction result Correct

Zepeda odds 2.6400

Jr. odds 1.4651

Zepeda implied 37.88%

Jr. implied 68.25%

Pre-fight odds 2.64

Pre-fight implied 37.88%

Expected return 1.5332

ROI 53.32%

Edge 20.20%

Lean Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-07-06 00:58:26 UTC

Fighter details
WZ
William Zepeda

Score 71.77 · 34-1-0 (27 KO)

Full name William Zepeda Segura

Age 30 · Rank #75 · Confidence Medium 0.646

Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 177cm · MX

LJ
Lamont Roach Jr.

Score 73.61 · 25-2-3 (10 KO)

Full name Lamont Roach Jr.

Age 31 · Rank #52 · Confidence Medium 0.659

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 173cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Zepeda Confidence High 0.790

70.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.690

Punching Accuracy

78.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.680

81.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.660

Hand Speed

80.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.660

80.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.620

Pace Pressure

92.0 Zepeda Confidence High 0.870

72.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.620

Defensive Skill

70.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.620

84.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.730

Distance Footwork Control

74.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.630

83.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.680

Ring IQ Adaptability

75.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.610

85.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter Punching

68.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.550

82.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.640

Chin

82.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.650

86.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

90.0 Zepeda Confidence High 0.810

84.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.730

Style Profile Zepeda: Pressure Swarmer Power Slugger  vs  Jr.: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

42.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.670

12.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.460

Out-Boxer

8.0 Zepeda Confidence Low 0.450

30.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.690

Power Slugger

24.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.700

8.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.760

Boxer-Puncher

20.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.600

34.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.730

Counter-Puncher

6.0 Zepeda Confidence Low 0.350

16.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.380

Stance Interaction Zepeda vs orthodox  ·  Jr. vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.670

42.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.670

58.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.680

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Zepeda

0 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Zepeda

0 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Zepeda

100 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3

77.38 Zepeda

84.12 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5

80 Zepeda

40 Jr.

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Zepeda

44.64 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

40.91 Zepeda

17.86 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Zepeda

100 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

77.38 Zepeda

84.12 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Zepeda

70 Jr.

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Zepeda stays in class.

Jr. stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Zepeda height: 175.0cm reach: 177.0cm

Jr. height: 170.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Zepeda.

Advantage: Zepeda +9.0cm

Stance Interaction

Zepeda vs orthodox: 64.0

Jr. vs southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Zepeda.

Advantage: Zepeda

Style Interaction

Zepeda style: Pressure Swarmer

Jr. style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: Very high subjective

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