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Nogami vs Tanaka 29 Oct 2026 Result: Tanaka Time-safe result Pick 75.59% Prediction: Incorrect Flyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Shogo Tanaka

Pre-fight pick Sho Nogami 75.59%

Prediction result Incorrect

Nogami odds 1.7042

Tanaka odds 2.0800

Nogami implied 58.68%

Tanaka implied 48.08%

Pre-fight odds 1.7042

Pre-fight implied 58.68%

Expected return 1.2882

ROI 28.82%

Edge 16.91%

Lean Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-10-22 12:47:05 UTC

Fighter details
SN
Sho Nogami

Score 63.92 · 8-0-0 (4 KO)

Full name Sho Nogami

Age 26 · Rank #250 · Confidence Medium 0.521

Stance Southpaw · H/R 168cm / 168cm · JP

ST
Shogo Tanaka

Score 52.63 · 5-0-1 (3 KO)

Full name Shogo Tanaka

Age 24 · Rank #626 · Confidence Low 0.389

Stance Orthodox · H/R 161cm / 166cm · JP

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

68.0 Nogami Confidence Medium 0.580

71.0 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.600

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Nogami Confidence Medium 0.560

62.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.420

Hand Speed

72.0 Nogami Confidence Low 0.470

64.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.380

Pace Pressure

71.0 Nogami Confidence Medium 0.520

66.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.450

Defensive Skill

78.0 Nogami Confidence Medium 0.630

58.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.400

Distance Footwork Control

77.0 Nogami Confidence Medium 0.610

59.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.380

Ring IQ Adaptability

79.0 Nogami Confidence Medium 0.640

60.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.420

Counter Punching

69.0 Nogami Confidence Low 0.450

54.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.320

Chin

73.0 Nogami Confidence Low 0.410

63.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.430

Cardio Engine

76.0 Nogami Confidence Medium 0.600

68.0 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.520

Style Profile Nogami: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Tanaka: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Nogami Confidence Low 0.280

18.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.280

Out-Boxer

34.0 Nogami Confidence Medium 0.580

16.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.310

Power Slugger

10.0 Nogami Confidence Low 0.360

20.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.340

Boxer-Puncher

36.0 Nogami Confidence Medium 0.640

34.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.440

Counter-Puncher

8.0 Nogami Confidence Very Low 0.220

12.0 Tanaka Confidence Very Low 0.210

Stance Interaction Nogami vs orthodox  ·  Tanaka vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Nogami Confidence Medium 0.650

62.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.360

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Nogami Confidence Medium 0.650

38.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.360

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Nogami

66.67 Tanaka

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Nogami

0 Tanaka

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Nogami

100 Tanaka

Opponent Rating Last 3

56.38 Nogami

63.83 Tanaka

Trend Score Last 5

80 Nogami

90 Tanaka

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Nogami

83.33 Tanaka

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

41.67 Nogami

37.5 Tanaka

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Nogami

100 Tanaka

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

56.38 Nogami

63.83 Tanaka

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Nogami

95 Tanaka

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Nogami stays in class.

Tanaka stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Nogami height: 168.0cm reach: 168.0cm

Tanaka height: 161.0cm reach: 166.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Nogami.

Advantage: Nogami +9.0cm

Stance Interaction

Nogami vs orthodox: 62.0

Tanaka vs southpaw: 38.0

Interaction: medium advantage Nogami.

Advantage: Nogami

Style Interaction

Nogami style: Boxer Puncher

Tanaka style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: Algobetting

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