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Hayden vs McGrail TODAY Winner: McGrail 55.36% ROI: -26.19% Tap to expand
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No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Super bantamweight. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Hayden odds 3.1500

McGrail odds 1.3333

Hayden implied 31.75%

McGrail implied 75.00%

Pick odds 1.3333

Pick implied 75.00%

Expected return 0.7381

ROI -26.19%

Edge -19.64%

Lean No Value

2026-04-18 14:18:22 UTC

Fighter details
AH
Aaron Hayden

Score 57.72 · 10-0-0 (2 KO)

Age 31 · Rank #299 · Confidence Medium 0.533

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 160cm · GB

JM
Joe McGrail

Score 62.72 · 12-0-0 (5 KO)

Age 23 · Rank #224 · Confidence Low 0.496

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 160cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

54.0 Hayden Confidence Medium 0.660

72.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.650

Punching Accuracy

66.0 Hayden Confidence Medium 0.520

74.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

63.0 Hayden Confidence Low 0.420

76.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.520

Pace Pressure

65.0 Hayden Confidence Medium 0.550

68.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.550

Defensive Skill

69.0 Hayden Confidence Medium 0.570

71.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.500

Distance Footwork Control

70.0 Hayden Confidence Medium 0.560

73.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.500

Ring Iq Adaptability

72.0 Hayden Confidence Medium 0.610

75.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.560

Counter Punching

60.0 Hayden Confidence Low 0.380

69.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.450

Chin

67.0 Hayden Confidence Low 0.430

70.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.380

Cardio Engine

74.0 Hayden Confidence Medium 0.720

74.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.570

Style Profile Hayden: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  McGrail: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Hayden Confidence Low 0.360

12.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.360

Out Boxer

46.0 Hayden Confidence Medium 0.710

34.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

6.0 Hayden Confidence High 0.790

11.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.450

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Hayden Confidence Medium 0.580

31.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.640

Counter Puncher

10.0 Hayden Confidence Low 0.290

12.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.300

Stance Advantage Hayden Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  McGrail Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Hayden Confidence Medium 0.540

62.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.420

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Hayden Confidence Low 0.370

38.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.420

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Hayden Confidence High 1.000

100 McGrail Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Hayden Confidence High 1.000

0 McGrail Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Hayden Confidence High 1.000

33.33 McGrail Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

50 Hayden Confidence High 1.000

48 McGrail Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

100 Hayden Confidence High 1.000

100 McGrail Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Hayden Confidence High 1.000

100 McGrail Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

33.33 Hayden Confidence High 1.000

22.22 McGrail Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Hayden Confidence High 1.000

33.33 McGrail Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

50 Hayden Confidence High 1.000

48 McGrail Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Hayden Confidence High 1.000

100 McGrail Confidence High 1.000

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Hayden stays in class.

McGrail moves down 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Hayden.

Advantage: Hayden

Reach vs Height Delta

Hayden reach: 160.0cm height: 170.0cm delta: -10.0cm

McGrail reach: 160.0cm height: 170.0cm delta: -10.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Hayden advantage against orthodox: 62.0

McGrail advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Hayden style: Out Boxer

McGrail style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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