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Hayden vs McGrail 18 Apr 2026 Result: McGrail Time-safe Pick 98.09% Prediction: Correct Super bantamweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Joseph McGrail (TKO)

Model pick Joseph McGrail 98.09%

Prediction result Correct

Hayden odds 3.1500

McGrail odds 1.3333

Hayden implied 31.75%

McGrail implied 75.00%

Pick odds 1.3333

Pick implied 75.00%

Expected return 1.3078

ROI 30.78%

Edge 23.09%

Lean Value

Bout Time-safe

Odds updated 2026-04-23 14:30:04 UTC

Fighter details
AH
Aaron Hayden

Score 0.00 · 10-0-0 (2 KO)

Full name Aaron Hayden

Age N/A · Rank #622 · Confidence N/A

Stance Orthodox · H/R N/A / N/A · GB

JM
Joseph McGrail

Score 65.62 · 13-0-0 (6 KO)

Full name Joseph McGrail

Age 23 · Rank #157 · Confidence Medium 0.528

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 160cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

74.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.700

Punching Accuracy

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

77.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

78.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.560

Pace Pressure

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

73.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.610

Defensive Skill

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

75.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.580

Distance Footwork Control

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

76.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.570

Ring Iq Adaptability

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

79.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Punching

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

72.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.490

Chin

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

68.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.370

Cardio Engine

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

77.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Hayden:  vs  McGrail: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

18.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.430

Out Boxer

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

26.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.570

Power Slugger

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

12.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.500

Boxer Puncher

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

34.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Puncher

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

10.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.290

Stance Advantage Hayden Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  McGrail Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

64.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.430

Vs Southpaw

N/A Hayden Confidence No Data

36.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.320

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Hayden

100 McGrail

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Hayden

33.33 McGrail

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Hayden

66.67 McGrail

Opponent Rating Last 3

57.19 Hayden

53.3 McGrail

Trend Score Last 5

80 Hayden

100 McGrail

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Hayden

100 McGrail

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

6.25 Hayden

41.67 McGrail

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Hayden

66.67 McGrail

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

57.19 Hayden

53.3 McGrail

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Hayden

100 McGrail

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Hayden stays in class.

McGrail stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Hayden height: N/A reach: N/A

McGrail height: 170.0cm reach: 160.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Hayden vs orthodox: N/A

McGrail vs orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Hayden style:

McGrail style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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