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McGrail vs Boreland 05 Sep 2026 Model lean: Boreland Custom 54.83% ROI: 190.60% Super bantamweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Matthew Boreland 54.83%

McGrail odds 1.1333

Boreland odds 5.3000

McGrail implied 88.24%

Boreland implied 18.87%

Market odds 5.3

Implied probability 18.87%

Expected return 2.9060

ROI 190.60%

Edge 35.96%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-08-19 10:24:07 UTC

Fighter details
JM
Joseph McGrail

Score 61.39 · 11-0-0 (0 KO)

Full name Joseph McGrail

Age N/A · Rank #379 · Confidence Low 0.464

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 160cm · GB

MB
Matthew Boreland

Score 57.02 · 7-0-0 (2 KO)

Full name Matthew Boreland

Age 27 · Rank #548 · Confidence Low 0.446

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 170cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

76.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.560

59.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.520

Punching Accuracy

72.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.480

66.0 Boreland Confidence Low 0.450

Hand Speed

78.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.520

63.0 Boreland Confidence Low 0.380

Pace Pressure

69.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.470

67.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.500

Defensive Skill

67.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.400

65.0 Boreland Confidence Low 0.430

Distance Footwork Control

71.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.450

64.0 Boreland Confidence Low 0.410

Ring IQ Adaptability

73.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.490

69.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.530

Counter Punching

66.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.360

58.0 Boreland Confidence Low 0.310

Chin

70.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.340

62.0 Boreland Confidence Low 0.300

Cardio Engine

74.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.500

72.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.600

Style Profile McGrail: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Boreland: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.390

16.0 Boreland Confidence Low 0.320

Out-Boxer

24.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.480

42.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.620

Power Slugger

14.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.370

8.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.660

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.580

26.0 Boreland Confidence Medium 0.550

Counter-Puncher

10.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.250

8.0 Boreland Confidence Very Low 0.230

Stance Interaction McGrail vs orthodox  ·  Boreland vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.620

62.0 Boreland Confidence Low 0.390

Vs Southpaw

36.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.620

38.0 Boreland Confidence Low 0.390

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 McGrail

66.67 Boreland

Ko Rate Last 3

0 McGrail

33.33 Boreland

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 McGrail

100 Boreland

Opponent Rating Last 3

55.28 McGrail

59.2 Boreland

Trend Score Last 5

100 McGrail

80 Boreland

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 McGrail

83.33 Boreland

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

33.33 McGrail

33.33 Boreland

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 McGrail

100 Boreland

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

55.28 McGrail

59.2 Boreland

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 McGrail

90 Boreland

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

McGrail stays in class.

Boreland stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

McGrail height: 170.0cm reach: 160.0cm

Boreland height: 170.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Boreland.

Advantage: Boreland +10.0cm

Stance Interaction

McGrail vs orthodox: 64.0

Boreland vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

McGrail style: Boxer Puncher

Boreland style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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