Ben Mahoney vs Dan Hill

Data as of: 2026-04-18 14:34:33 UTC

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Super welterweight.

Mahoney vs Hill 23 Apr 2026 Winner: Mahoney 69.77% ROI: -23.25% Tap to expand

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Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Super welterweight.

Bout details

Mahoney odds 1.1000

Hill odds 6.1000

Mahoney implied 90.91%

Hill implied 16.39%

Pick odds 1.1

Pick implied 90.91%

Expected return 0.7675

ROI -23.25%

Edge -21.14%

Lean No Value

2026-04-18 14:18:22 UTC

Fighter details

Ben Mahoney

Score 60.90 · 16-0-1 (9 KO)

Age 31 · Rank #250 · Confidence Low 0.475

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 180cm · AU

Dan Hill

Score 48.56 · 7-1-0 (3 KO)

Age 29 · Rank #364 · Confidence Low 0.476

Stance Orthodox · H/R 177cm / 175cm · AU

Ben Mahoney

Age: 31
Fighter rank: #250
Current model score: 60.90
Fighter confidence: Low 0.475
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 180cm / 180cm
Nationality: AU
Career snapshot: 16-0-1 (9 KO)

23 Apr 2026

Projected Win Split

Winner

Mahoney

70% Mahoney

30% Hill

Win probability: 69.77%
Market odds: 1.1
Implied probability: 90.91%
Expected ROI (1u): -23.25%
Value edge: -21.14%
Lean assessment: No Value

2026-04-18 14:18:22 UTC

Dan Hill

Age: 29
Fighter rank: #364
Current model score: 48.56
Fighter confidence: Low 0.476
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 177cm / 175cm
Nationality: AU
Career snapshot: 7-1-0 (3 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

72.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.700

64.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.610

Punching Accuracy

69.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.520

59.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.430

Hand Speed

63.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.360

56.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.340

Pace Pressure

67.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.480

63.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.520

Defensive Skill

71.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.580

47.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.490

Distance Footwork Control

68.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.460

52.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.390

Ring Iq Adaptability

74.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.620

57.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.470

Counter Punching

64.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.370

50.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.300

Chin

73.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.550

58.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.420

Cardio Engine

76.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.680

68.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Mahoney: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Hill: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.320

18.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.420

Out Boxer

24.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.480

24.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

16.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.400

10.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.600

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.590

38.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Puncher

12.0 Mahoney Confidence Very Low 0.240

10.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.290

Stance Advantage Mahoney Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Hill Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.420

62.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.550

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.300

38.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.330

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Mahoney Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Hill Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Mahoney Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Hill Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Mahoney Confidence High 1.000

0 Hill Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

56.42 Mahoney Confidence High 1.000

53.67 Hill Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

91.25 Mahoney Confidence High 1.000

80 Hill Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Mahoney Confidence High 1.000

83.33 Hill Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Mahoney Confidence High 1.000

41.67 Hill Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Mahoney Confidence High 1.000

0 Hill Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

57.42 Mahoney Confidence High 1.000

53.67 Hill Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

95.63 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.740

90 Hill Confidence High 0.870

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Mahoney stays in class.

Hill stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Mahoney reach: 180.0cm height: 180.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Hill reach: 175.0cm height: 177.0cm delta: -2.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Mahoney.

Advantage: Mahoney

Stance Interaction

Mahoney advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Hill advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Mahoney style: Boxer Puncher

Hill style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral