OWN YOUR EDGE
Mahoney vs Tszyu 26 Aug 2026 Model lean: Mahoney Custom 52.11% ROI: 124.09% Super welterweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Benjamin Mahoney 52.11%

Mahoney odds 4.3000

Tszyu odds 1.1818

Mahoney implied 23.26%

Tszyu implied 84.62%

Market odds 4.3

Implied probability 23.26%

Expected return 2.2409

ROI 124.09%

Edge 28.86%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-07-30 00:30:04 UTC

Fighter details
BM
Benjamin Mahoney

Score 66.82 · 17-0-2 (9 KO)

Full name Benjamin Mahoney

Age N/A · Rank #190 · Confidence Medium 0.545

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 180cm · AU

NT
Nikita Tszyu

Score 64.21 · 12-0-1 (10 KO)

Full name Nikita Konstantinovich Tszyu

Age 28 · Rank #276 · Confidence Medium 0.538

Stance Southpaw · H/R 177cm / 178cm · AU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

76.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.730

84.0 Tszyu Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

72.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.570

73.0 Tszyu Confidence Medium 0.570

Hand Speed

68.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.440

71.0 Tszyu Confidence Medium 0.500

Pace Pressure

75.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.610

79.0 Tszyu Confidence Medium 0.680

Defensive Skill

74.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.560

66.0 Tszyu Confidence Low 0.430

Distance Footwork Control

73.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.520

67.0 Tszyu Confidence Low 0.440

Ring IQ Adaptability

78.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.660

72.0 Tszyu Confidence Medium 0.530

Counter Punching

69.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.430

65.0 Tszyu Confidence Low 0.410

Chin

77.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.620

70.0 Tszyu Confidence Low 0.390

Cardio Engine

79.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.710

74.0 Tszyu Confidence Medium 0.580

Style Profile Mahoney: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Tszyu: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.450

20.0 Tszyu Confidence Medium 0.520

Out-Boxer

20.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.440

8.0 Tszyu Confidence Low 0.420

Power Slugger

14.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.460

31.0 Tszyu Confidence Medium 0.680

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.620

33.0 Tszyu Confidence Medium 0.640

Counter-Puncher

14.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.300

8.0 Tszyu Confidence Low 0.340

Stance Interaction Mahoney vs southpaw  ·  Tszyu vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.570

68.0 Tszyu Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.570

32.0 Tszyu Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Mahoney

66.67 Tszyu

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Mahoney

66.67 Tszyu

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Mahoney

66.67 Tszyu

Opponent Rating Last 3

85.51 Mahoney

57.91 Tszyu

Trend Score Last 5

80 Mahoney

90 Tszyu

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

63.89 Mahoney

83.33 Tszyu

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

8.33 Mahoney

73.33 Tszyu

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Mahoney

66.67 Tszyu

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

85.51 Mahoney

57.91 Tszyu

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Mahoney

95 Tszyu

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Mahoney stays in class.

Tszyu stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Mahoney height: 180.0cm reach: 180.0cm

Tszyu height: 177.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Mahoney.

Advantage: Mahoney +5.0cm

Stance Interaction

Mahoney vs southpaw: 42.0

Tszyu vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Tszyu.

Advantage: Tszyu

Style Interaction

Mahoney style: Boxer Puncher

Tszyu style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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