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Mahoney vs Hill 23 Apr 2026 Model lean: Mahoney Custom 79.66% ROI: -12.38% Super welterweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Benjamin Mahoney 79.66%

Mahoney odds 1.1000

Hill odds 6.1000

Mahoney implied 90.91%

Hill implied 16.39%

Market odds 1.1

Implied probability 90.91%

Expected return 0.8762

ROI -12.38%

Edge -11.25%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-18 14:18:22 UTC

Fighter details
BM
Benjamin Mahoney

Score 66.82 · 17-0-2 (9 KO)

Full name Benjamin Mahoney

Age N/A · Rank #190 · Confidence Medium 0.545

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 180cm · AU

DH
Dan Hill

Score 49.67 · 7-1-0 (3 KO)

Full name Daniel Hill

Age 30 · Rank #674 · Confidence Low 0.476

Stance Orthodox · H/R 177cm / 175cm · AU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

76.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.730

64.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.610

Punching Accuracy

72.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.570

59.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.430

Hand Speed

68.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.440

56.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.340

Pace Pressure

75.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.610

63.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.520

Defensive Skill

74.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.560

47.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.490

Distance Footwork Control

73.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.520

52.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.390

Ring IQ Adaptability

78.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.660

57.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.470

Counter Punching

69.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.430

50.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.300

Chin

77.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.620

58.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.420

Cardio Engine

79.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.710

68.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Mahoney: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Hill: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.450

18.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.420

Out-Boxer

20.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.440

24.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

14.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.460

10.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.600

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.620

38.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter-Puncher

14.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.300

10.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.290

Stance Interaction Mahoney vs orthodox  ·  Hill vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.570

62.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.550

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.570

38.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.330

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Mahoney

66.67 Hill

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Mahoney

33.33 Hill

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Mahoney

0 Hill

Opponent Rating Last 3

85.51 Mahoney

53.67 Hill

Trend Score Last 5

80 Mahoney

80 Hill

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

63.89 Mahoney

83.33 Hill

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

8.33 Mahoney

41.67 Hill

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Mahoney

0 Hill

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

85.51 Mahoney

53.67 Hill

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Mahoney

90 Hill

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Mahoney stays in class.

Hill stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Mahoney height: 180.0cm reach: 180.0cm

Hill height: 177.0cm reach: 175.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Mahoney.

Advantage: Mahoney +8.0cm

Stance Interaction

Mahoney vs orthodox: 58.0

Hill vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Mahoney style: Boxer Puncher

Hill style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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