Kaye Scott vs Claressa Shields

Data as of: 2026-07-21 02:00:17 UTC Locked prediction As of 2026-07-21 02:00:12 UTC

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Scott vs Shields 16 Aug 2026 Model pick: Shields Locked prediction 57.40% ROI: -40.96% Middleweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Claressa Shields 57.40%

Scott odds 16.0000

Shields odds 1.0286

Scott implied 6.25%

Shields implied 97.22%

Market odds 1.0286

Implied probability 97.22%

Expected return 0.5904

ROI -40.96%

Edge -39.82%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-21 02:00:12 UTC

Fighter details

Kaye Scott

Score 57.96 · 5-1-1 (0 KO)

Full name Kaye Francis Scott

Age 42 · Rank #482 · Confidence Medium 0.564

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 178cm · AU

Claressa Shields

Score 79.19 · 18-0-0 (3 KO)

Full name Claressa Maria Shields

Age 31 · Rank #11 · Confidence High 0.755

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 173cm · US

Kaye Scott

Full name: Kaye Francis Scott
Age: 42
Fighter rank: #482
Current model score: 57.96
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.564
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 178cm / 178cm
Nationality: AU
Career snapshot: 5-1-1 (0 KO)

16 Aug 2026

Projected Win Split

Model pick

Shields

Locked prediction

43% Scott

57% Shields

Model pick: Claressa Shields 57.40%
Win probability: 57.40%
Market odds: 1.0286
Implied probability: 97.22%
Expected ROI (1u): -40.96%
Value edge: -39.82%
Lean assessment: No Value

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-21 02:00:12 UTC

Claressa Shields

Full name: Claressa Maria Shields
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #11
Current model score: 79.19
Fighter confidence: High 0.755
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 173cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 18-0-0 (3 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

38.0 Scott Confidence High 0.800

64.0 Shields Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

68.0 Scott Confidence Medium 0.570

90.0 Shields Confidence High 0.860

Hand Speed

64.0 Scott Confidence Low 0.480

85.0 Shields Confidence High 0.790

Pace Pressure

58.0 Scott Confidence Medium 0.520

82.0 Shields Confidence High 0.800

Defensive Skill

72.0 Scott Confidence Medium 0.620

87.0 Shields Confidence High 0.840

Distance Footwork Control

71.0 Scott Confidence Medium 0.600

88.0 Shields Confidence High 0.820

Ring IQ Adaptability

75.0 Scott Confidence Medium 0.660

94.0 Shields Confidence High 0.900

Counter Punching

63.0 Scott Confidence Low 0.470

84.0 Shields Confidence Medium 0.730

Chin

67.0 Scott Confidence Low 0.430

82.0 Shields Confidence Medium 0.630

Cardio Engine

74.0 Scott Confidence Medium 0.720

89.0 Shields Confidence High 0.850

Style Profile Scott: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Shields: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Scott Confidence Low 0.340

14.0 Shields Confidence Medium 0.600

Out-Boxer

46.0 Scott Confidence Medium 0.640

34.0 Shields Confidence High 0.800

Power Slugger

4.0 Scott Confidence High 0.860

4.0 Shields Confidence High 0.900

Boxer-Puncher

22.0 Scott Confidence Low 0.420

38.0 Shields Confidence High 0.780

Counter-Puncher

14.0 Scott Confidence Low 0.310

10.0 Shields Confidence Low 0.450

Stance Interaction Scott vs orthodox · Shields vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Scott Confidence Medium 0.570

58.0 Shields Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Scott Confidence Medium 0.570

42.0 Shields Confidence Medium 0.660

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Scott

100 Shields

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Scott

0 Shields

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Scott

66.67 Shields

Opponent Rating Last 3

63.82 Scott

67.22 Shields

Trend Score Last 5

70 Scott

100 Shields

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Scott

100 Shields

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

0 Scott

10 Shields

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Scott

66.67 Shields

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

63.82 Scott

67.22 Shields

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Scott

100 Shields

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Scott stays in class.

Shields moves down 5 classes.

Interaction: medium advantage Scott.

Advantage: Scott

Height Reach Delta

Scott height: 178.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Shields height: 173.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Scott.

Advantage: Scott +10.0cm

Stance Interaction

Scott vs orthodox: 64.0

Shields vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Scott.

Advantage: Scott

Style Interaction

Scott style: Out Boxer

Shields style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral