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Kalajdzic vs Richards 26 Sep 2026 Model pick: Richards Locked prediction 54.22% ROI: 31.22% Light heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Craig Richards 54.22%

Kalajdzic odds 1.5495

Richards odds 2.4200

Kalajdzic implied 64.54%

Richards implied 41.32%

Market odds 2.42

Implied probability 41.32%

Expected return 1.3122

ROI 31.22%

Edge 12.90%

Lean Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-09-02 15:12:22 UTC

Fighter details
RK
Radivoje Kalajdzic

Score 57.60 · 30-3-0 (22 KO)

Full name Radivoje Kalajdzic

Age 35 · Rank #528 · Confidence Medium 0.516

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 193cm · US

CR
Craig Richards

Score 63.81 · 20-4-1 (13 KO)

Full name Craig Richards

Age 36 · Rank #300 · Confidence Medium 0.561

Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / 185cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

82.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Medium 0.740

76.0 Richards Confidence Medium 0.730

Punching Accuracy

68.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Low 0.480

68.0 Richards Confidence Medium 0.550

Hand Speed

66.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Low 0.420

66.0 Richards Confidence Low 0.480

Pace Pressure

61.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Low 0.470

63.0 Richards Confidence Medium 0.580

Defensive Skill

58.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Medium 0.500

72.0 Richards Confidence Medium 0.620

Distance Footwork Control

64.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Low 0.490

71.0 Richards Confidence Medium 0.570

Ring IQ Adaptability

62.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Medium 0.500

73.0 Richards Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Punching

60.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Low 0.370

69.0 Richards Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

55.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Medium 0.560

78.0 Richards Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

67.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Medium 0.580

75.0 Richards Confidence Medium 0.690

Style Profile Kalajdzic: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Richards: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Low 0.380

12.0 Richards Confidence Low 0.410

Out-Boxer

14.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Low 0.430

21.0 Richards Confidence Medium 0.520

Power Slugger

34.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Medium 0.740

18.0 Richards Confidence Medium 0.550

Boxer-Puncher

30.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Medium 0.630

36.0 Richards Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Low 0.260

13.0 Richards Confidence Low 0.320

Stance Interaction Kalajdzic vs orthodox  ·  Richards vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Medium 0.610

62.0 Richards Confidence Medium 0.610

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Kalajdzic Confidence Medium 0.610

38.0 Richards Confidence Low 0.430

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Kalajdzic

66.67 Richards

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Kalajdzic

66.67 Richards

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Kalajdzic

33.33 Richards

Opponent Rating Last 3

68.14 Kalajdzic

66.01 Richards

Trend Score Last 5

80 Kalajdzic

70 Richards

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80 Kalajdzic

74.24 Richards

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

68.33 Kalajdzic

66.67 Richards

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Kalajdzic

33.33 Richards

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

68.14 Kalajdzic

66.01 Richards

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Kalajdzic

70 Richards

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Kalajdzic moves down 1 class.

Richards stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Richards.

Advantage: Richards

Height Reach Delta

Kalajdzic height: 188.0cm reach: 193.0cm

Richards height: 185.0cm reach: 185.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Kalajdzic.

Advantage: Kalajdzic +11.0cm

Stance Interaction

Kalajdzic vs orthodox: 58.0

Richards vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Kalajdzic style: Power Slugger

Richards style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: medium advantage Richards.

Advantage: Richards

Model: FiteQuant

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