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Knyba vs Jr. 05 Sep 2026 Model lean: Knyba Custom 63.38% ROI: 112.31% Heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Damian Knyba 63.38%

Knyba odds 3.3500

Jr. odds 1.3030

Knyba implied 29.85%

Jr. implied 76.75%

Market odds 3.35

Implied probability 29.85%

Expected return 2.1231

ROI 112.31%

Edge 33.53%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-08-23 10:49:11 UTC

Fighter details
DK
Damian Knyba

Score 60.81 · 18-1-0 (11 KO)

Full name Damian Knyba

Age 30 · Rank #408 · Confidence Medium 0.527

Stance Orthodox · H/R 201cm / 218cm · PL

Andrés Ruiz Jr.
Andrés Ruiz Jr.

Score 68.87 · 35-3-1 (22 KO)

Full name Andrés Ponce Ruiz Jr.

Age 36 · Rank #143 · Confidence Medium 0.747

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 188cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

79.0 Knyba Confidence Medium 0.740

82.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

69.0 Knyba Confidence Medium 0.550

84.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.830

Hand Speed

63.0 Knyba Confidence Low 0.420

86.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.840

Pace Pressure

66.0 Knyba Confidence Medium 0.520

67.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

58.0 Knyba Confidence Low 0.460

62.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.730

Distance Footwork Control

72.0 Knyba Confidence Medium 0.610

58.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.760

Ring IQ Adaptability

68.0 Knyba Confidence Medium 0.530

79.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.780

Counter Punching

60.0 Knyba Confidence Low 0.390

81.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.790

Chin

57.0 Knyba Confidence Low 0.410

78.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.750

Cardio Engine

73.0 Knyba Confidence Medium 0.640

69.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.710

Style Profile Knyba: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Jr.: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Knyba Confidence Low 0.450

16.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Out-Boxer

26.0 Knyba Confidence Medium 0.650

9.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.690

Power Slugger

18.0 Knyba Confidence Medium 0.580

22.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.760

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Knyba Confidence Medium 0.710

38.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.840

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Knyba Confidence Low 0.340

15.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.720

Stance Interaction Knyba vs orthodox  ·  Jr. vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Knyba Confidence Low 0.480

62.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Knyba Confidence Low 0.480

38.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.680

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Knyba

0 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Knyba

0 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Knyba

66.67 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3

80.61 Knyba

78.17 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5

80 Knyba

50 Jr.

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Knyba

47.3 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

32.35 Knyba

29.73 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Knyba

66.67 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

80.61 Knyba

78.17 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Knyba

65 Jr.

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Knyba stays in class.

Jr. stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Knyba height: 201.0cm reach: 218.0cm

Jr. height: 188.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Knyba.

Advantage: Knyba +43.0cm

Stance Interaction

Knyba vs orthodox: 68.0

Jr. vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: low advantage Knyba.

Advantage: Knyba

Style Interaction

Knyba style: Boxer Puncher

Jr. style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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