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Kameda vs Reyes 23 Sep 2026 Model pick: Kameda Locked prediction 60.38% ROI: 201.90% Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Kyonosuke Kameda 60.38%

Kameda odds 5.0000

Reyes odds 1.1538

Kameda implied 20.00%

Reyes implied 86.67%

Market odds 5

Implied probability 20.00%

Expected return 3.0190

ROI 201.90%

Edge 40.38%

Lean Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-09-11 13:33:39 UTC

Fighter details
KK
Kyonosuke Kameda

Score 55.47 · 16-5-2 (9 KO)

Full name Kyonosuke Kameda

Age 27 · Rank #592 · Confidence Low 0.498

Stance Orthodox · H/R 176cm / 179cm · JP

SR
Sebastian Reyes

Score 65.86 · 20-1-0 (18 KO)

Full name Sebastian Hernandez Reyes

Age 25 · Rank #221 · Confidence Medium 0.579

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 165cm · MX

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

72.0 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.670

87.0 Reyes Confidence High 0.810

Punching Accuracy

64.0 Kameda Confidence Low 0.450

75.0 Reyes Confidence Medium 0.550

Hand Speed

68.0 Kameda Confidence Low 0.420

74.0 Reyes Confidence Low 0.480

Pace Pressure

66.0 Kameda Confidence Low 0.480

82.0 Reyes Confidence Medium 0.690

Defensive Skill

56.0 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.530

68.0 Reyes Confidence Medium 0.580

Distance Footwork Control

61.0 Kameda Confidence Low 0.440

66.0 Reyes Confidence Medium 0.500

Ring IQ Adaptability

65.0 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.510

70.0 Reyes Confidence Medium 0.570

Counter Punching

58.0 Kameda Confidence Low 0.350

64.0 Reyes Confidence Low 0.420

Chin

55.0 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.580

78.0 Reyes Confidence Medium 0.660

Cardio Engine

69.0 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.560

79.0 Reyes Confidence Medium 0.680

Style Profile Kameda: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Reyes: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Kameda Confidence Low 0.410

24.0 Reyes Confidence Medium 0.520

Out-Boxer

22.0 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.530

12.0 Reyes Confidence Medium 0.500

Power Slugger

20.0 Kameda Confidence Low 0.490

30.0 Reyes Confidence Medium 0.700

Boxer-Puncher

30.0 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.620

26.0 Reyes Confidence Medium 0.640

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Kameda Confidence Low 0.290

8.0 Reyes Confidence Low 0.350

Stance Interaction Kameda vs orthodox  ·  Reyes vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.570

58.0 Reyes Confidence Medium 0.600

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.570

42.0 Reyes Confidence Medium 0.600

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Kameda

66.67 Reyes

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Kameda

33.33 Reyes

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Kameda

33.33 Reyes

Opponent Rating Last 3

82.44 Kameda

68.13 Reyes

Trend Score Last 5

60 Kameda

80 Reyes

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

54.17 Kameda

83.33 Reyes

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

22.5 Kameda

36.11 Reyes

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Kameda

33.33 Reyes

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

82.44 Kameda

68.13 Reyes

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

75.63 Kameda

90 Reyes

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Kameda stays in class.

Reyes moves up 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Kameda.

Advantage: Kameda

Height Reach Delta

Kameda height: 176.0cm reach: 179.0cm

Reyes height: 175.0cm reach: 165.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Kameda.

Advantage: Kameda +15.0cm

Stance Interaction

Kameda vs orthodox: 62.0

Reyes vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Kameda style: Boxer Puncher

Reyes style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Kameda.

Advantage: Kameda

Model: FiteQuant

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