Damoni Cato-Cain vs Vernon Brown

Data as of: 2026-06-26 10:19:01 UTC Locked prediction As of 2026-06-26 01:11:07 UTC

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Cato-Cain vs Brown 28 Jun 2026 Model pick: Cato-Cain Locked prediction 58.99% ROI: -19.79% Welterweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Damoni Cato-Cain 58.99%

Cato-Cain odds 1.3597

Brown odds 3.0000

Cato-Cain implied 73.55%

Brown implied 33.33%

Market odds 1.3597

Implied probability 73.55%

Expected return 0.8021

ROI -19.79%

Edge -14.55%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-06-26 01:11:07 UTC

Fighter details

Damoni Cato-Cain

Score 56.84 · 9-1-2 (7 KO)

Full name Damoni Badru Cato-Cain

Age 28 · Rank #482 · Confidence Low 0.479

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 188cm · US

Vernon Brown

Score 55.18 · 14-2-1 (10 KO)

Full name Vernon Demetrius Brown

Age 37 · Rank #519 · Confidence Low 0.482

Stance Southpaw · H/R 170cm / 183cm · US

Damoni Cato-Cain

Full name: Damoni Badru Cato-Cain
Age: 28
Fighter rank: #482
Current model score: 56.84
Fighter confidence: Low 0.479
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 173cm / 188cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 9-1-2 (7 KO)

28 Jun 2026

Projected Win Split

Model pick

Cato-Cain

Locked prediction

59% Cato-Cain

41% Brown

Model pick: Damoni Cato-Cain 58.99%
Win probability: 58.99%
Market odds: 1.3597
Implied probability: 73.55%
Expected ROI (1u): -19.79%
Value edge: -14.55%
Lean assessment: No Value

Locked prediction as of 2026-06-26 01:11:07 UTC

Vernon Brown

Full name: Vernon Demetrius Brown
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #519
Current model score: 55.18
Fighter confidence: Low 0.482
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 170cm / 183cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 14-2-1 (10 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

79.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.720

78.0 Brown Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

66.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Low 0.460

63.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.450

Hand Speed

67.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Low 0.380

64.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.380

Pace Pressure

71.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.580

66.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.480

Defensive Skill

61.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Low 0.420

58.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.440

Distance Footwork Control

64.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Low 0.400

60.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.420

Ring Iq Adaptability

65.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Low 0.470

61.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.430

Counter Punching

60.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Low 0.310

59.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.340

Chin

68.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Low 0.440

71.0 Brown Confidence Medium 0.580

Cardio Engine

70.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.560

68.0 Brown Confidence Medium 0.550

Style Profile Cato-Cain: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Brown: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Low 0.340

18.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.380

Out Boxer

18.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Low 0.430

14.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.360

Power Slugger

26.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.620

28.0 Brown Confidence Medium 0.560

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.660

30.0 Brown Confidence Medium 0.600

Counter Puncher

8.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Very Low 0.240

10.0 Brown Confidence Very Low 0.240

Stance Interaction Cato-Cain vs southpaw · Brown vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.560

68.0 Brown Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.560

32.0 Brown Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Cato-Cain

66.67 Brown

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Cato-Cain

66.67 Brown

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Cato-Cain

0 Brown

Opponent Rating Last 3

47.33 Cato-Cain

49 Brown

Trend Score Last 5

70 Cato-Cain

80 Brown

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

72.22 Cato-Cain

76.19 Brown

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

50 Cato-Cain

66.67 Brown

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Cato-Cain

0 Brown

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

47.33 Cato-Cain

49 Brown

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Cato-Cain

80 Brown

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Cato-Cain stays in class.

Brown stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Cato-Cain height: 173.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Brown height: 170.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Cato-Cain.

Advantage: Cato-Cain +8.0cm

Stance Interaction

Cato-Cain vs southpaw: 58.0

Brown vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Brown.

Advantage: Brown

Style Interaction

Cato-Cain style: Boxer Puncher

Brown style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral