Damoni Cato-Cain vs Vernon Brown

Data as of: 2026-08-20 08:25:05 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Cato-Cain vs Brown 28 Jun 2026 Model lean: Cato-Cain Custom 53.43% ROI: -27.35% Welterweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Damoni Cato-Cain 53.43%

Cato-Cain odds 1.3597

Brown odds 3.0000

Cato-Cain implied 73.55%

Brown implied 33.33%

Market odds 1.3597

Implied probability 73.55%

Expected return 0.7265

ROI -27.35%

Edge -20.12%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-06-26 00:30:03 UTC

Fighter details

Damoni Cato-Cain

Score 57.58 · 10-1-2 (7 KO)

Full name Damoni Badru Cato-Cain

Age 28 · Rank #504 · Confidence Medium 0.542

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 188cm · US

Vernon Brown

Score 55.29 · 14-3-1 (10 KO)

Full name Vernon Demetrius Brown

Age 37 · Rank #573 · Confidence Low 0.469

Stance Southpaw · H/R 170cm / 183cm · US

Damoni Cato-Cain

Full name: Damoni Badru Cato-Cain
Age: 28
Fighter rank: #504
Current model score: 57.58
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.542
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 173cm / 188cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 10-1-2 (7 KO)

28 Jun 2026

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Cato-Cain

Custom

53% Cato-Cain

47% Brown

Model lean: Damoni Cato-Cain 53.43%
Win probability: 53.43%
Market odds: 1.3597
Implied probability: 73.55%
Expected ROI (1u): -27.35%
Value edge: -20.12%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-06-26 00:30:03 UTC

Vernon Brown

Full name: Vernon Demetrius Brown
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #573
Current model score: 55.29
Fighter confidence: Low 0.469
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 170cm / 183cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 14-3-1 (10 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

76.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.740

76.0 Brown Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

63.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.520

63.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.430

Hand Speed

66.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Low 0.480

66.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.380

Pace Pressure

69.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.580

69.0 Brown Confidence Medium 0.540

Defensive Skill

58.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.500

58.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.400

Distance Footwork Control

64.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.560

67.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.470

Ring IQ Adaptability

62.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.550

62.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.420

Counter Punching

57.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Low 0.420

64.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.360

Chin

68.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.500

68.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.460

Cardio Engine

71.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.660

65.0 Brown Confidence Medium 0.500

Style Profile Cato-Cain: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Brown: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

16.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Low 0.420

18.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.340

Out-Boxer

22.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.560

12.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.330

Power Slugger

24.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.630

27.0 Brown Confidence Medium 0.580

Boxer-Puncher

30.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.680

31.0 Brown Confidence Medium 0.550

Counter-Puncher

8.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Low 0.300

12.0 Brown Confidence Low 0.260

Stance Interaction Cato-Cain vs southpaw · Brown vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.560

68.0 Brown Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Cato-Cain Confidence Medium 0.560

32.0 Brown Confidence Medium 0.620

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Cato-Cain

33.33 Brown

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Cato-Cain

33.33 Brown

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Cato-Cain

33.33 Brown

Opponent Rating Last 3

62.14 Cato-Cain

59.97 Brown

Trend Score Last 5

77.5 Cato-Cain

60 Brown

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

70.83 Cato-Cain

60 Brown

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

25 Cato-Cain

36.67 Brown

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Cato-Cain

33.33 Brown

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

62.14 Cato-Cain

59.97 Brown

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

83.75 Cato-Cain

70 Brown

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Cato-Cain stays in class.

Brown stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Cato-Cain height: 173.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Brown height: 170.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Cato-Cain.

Advantage: Cato-Cain +8.0cm

Stance Interaction

Cato-Cain vs southpaw: 36.0

Brown vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Brown.

Advantage: Brown

Style Interaction

Cato-Cain style: Boxer Puncher

Brown style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral