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Narai vs Hata 04 Jul 2026 Model pick: Hata Locked prediction 61.58% ROI: -7.64% Super featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Yamato Hata 61.58%

Narai odds 2.6300

Hata odds 1.5000

Narai implied 38.02%

Hata implied 66.67%

Market odds 1.5

Implied probability 66.67%

Expected return 0.9236

ROI -7.64%

Edge -5.09%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-02 12:41:57 UTC

Fighter details
TN
Tsubasa Narai

Score 64.90 · 18-2-0 (12 KO)

Full name Tsubasa Narai

Age 26 · Rank #229 · Confidence Medium 0.504

Stance Orthodox · H/R 166cm / 172cm · JP

YH
Yamato Hata

Score 65.16 · 12-1-1 (12 KO)

Full name Yamato Hata

Age 29 · Rank #214 · Confidence Medium 0.508

Stance Southpaw · H/R 171cm / 173cm · JP

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

78.0 Narai Confidence Medium 0.740

88.0 Hata Confidence High 0.850

Punching Accuracy

70.0 Narai Confidence Medium 0.520

76.0 Hata Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

67.0 Narai Confidence Low 0.400

74.0 Hata Confidence Low 0.460

Pace Pressure

76.0 Narai Confidence Medium 0.630

78.0 Hata Confidence Medium 0.610

Defensive Skill

72.0 Narai Confidence Low 0.490

66.0 Hata Confidence Low 0.450

Distance Footwork Control

71.0 Narai Confidence Low 0.460

69.0 Hata Confidence Low 0.440

Ring Iq Adaptability

75.0 Narai Confidence Medium 0.580

72.0 Hata Confidence Medium 0.520

Counter Punching

66.0 Narai Confidence Low 0.370

71.0 Hata Confidence Low 0.410

Chin

73.0 Narai Confidence Low 0.450

73.0 Hata Confidence Low 0.470

Cardio Engine

79.0 Narai Confidence Medium 0.700

75.0 Hata Confidence Medium 0.560

Style Profile Narai: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer  vs  Hata: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

22.0 Narai Confidence Low 0.430

18.0 Hata Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

18.0 Narai Confidence Low 0.420

8.0 Hata Confidence Low 0.300

Power Slugger

16.0 Narai Confidence Low 0.490

44.0 Hata Confidence Medium 0.730

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Narai Confidence Medium 0.660

22.0 Hata Confidence Medium 0.520

Counter Puncher

10.0 Narai Confidence Low 0.280

8.0 Hata Confidence Low 0.260

Stance Interaction Narai vs southpaw  ·  Hata vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Narai Confidence Medium 0.560

68.0 Hata Confidence Medium 0.600

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Narai Confidence Low 0.380

32.0 Hata Confidence Low 0.420

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Narai

66.67 Hata

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Narai

66.67 Hata

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Narai

66.67 Hata

Opponent Rating Last 3

54 Narai

54.67 Hata

Trend Score Last 5

100 Narai

90 Hata

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Narai

78.79 Hata

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Narai

74.24 Hata

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Narai

66.67 Hata

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

54 Narai

54.67 Hata

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Narai

90 Hata

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Narai stays in class.

Hata stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Narai height: 166.0cm reach: 172.0cm

Hata height: 171.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Hata.

Advantage: Hata +6.0cm

Stance Interaction

Narai vs southpaw: 38.0

Hata vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Hata.

Advantage: Hata

Style Interaction

Narai style: Boxer Puncher

Hata style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Narai.

Advantage: Narai

Model: FiteQuant

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