Jonathan Navarro vs Bryan Favela

Data as of: 2026-08-30 06:27:44 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Navarro vs Favela 19 Jul 2026 Model lean: Favela Custom 71.02% ROI: -20.10% Super lightweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Bryan Favela 71.02%

Navarro odds 6.0000

Favela odds 1.1250

Navarro implied 16.67%

Favela implied 88.89%

Market odds 1.125

Implied probability 88.89%

Expected return 0.7990

ROI -20.10%

Edge -17.87%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-07-16 00:30:03 UTC

Fighter details

Jonathan Navarro

Score 50.24 · 18-3-0 (9 KO)

Full name Jonathan Steven Navarro

Age 30 · Rank #669 · Confidence Low 0.439

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 170cm · US

Bryan Favela

Score 61.58 · 29-1-1 (16 KO)

Full name Bryan Roberto Flores Favela

Age N/A · Rank #363 · Confidence Medium 0.529

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 175cm · MX

Jonathan Navarro

Full name: Jonathan Steven Navarro
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #669
Current model score: 50.24
Fighter confidence: Low 0.439
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 173cm / 170cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 18-3-0 (9 KO)

19 Jul 2026

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Favela

Custom

29% Navarro

71% Favela

Model lean: Bryan Favela 71.02%
Win probability: 71.02%
Market odds: 1.125
Implied probability: 88.89%
Expected ROI (1u): -20.10%
Value edge: -17.87%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-07-16 00:30:03 UTC

Bryan Favela

Full name: Bryan Roberto Flores Favela
Age: N/A
Fighter rank: #363
Current model score: 61.58
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.529
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / 175cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 29-1-1 (16 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

66.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.620

74.0 Favela Confidence Medium 0.690

Punching Accuracy

63.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.420

68.0 Favela Confidence Medium 0.530

Hand Speed

61.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.350

67.0 Favela Confidence Low 0.460

Pace Pressure

62.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.400

72.0 Favela Confidence Medium 0.570

Defensive Skill

58.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.380

64.0 Favela Confidence Low 0.490

Distance Footwork Control

57.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.360

65.0 Favela Confidence Low 0.450

Ring IQ Adaptability

56.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.390

71.0 Favela Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Punching

54.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.300

63.0 Favela Confidence Low 0.400

Chin

55.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.410

73.0 Favela Confidence Medium 0.520

Cardio Engine

64.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.470

75.0 Favela Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Navarro: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Favela: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.340

20.0 Favela Confidence Low 0.460

Out-Boxer

20.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.450

14.0 Favela Confidence Low 0.430

Power Slugger

14.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.520

18.0 Favela Confidence Medium 0.560

Boxer-Puncher

38.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.630

36.0 Favela Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Navarro Confidence Very Low 0.230

12.0 Favela Confidence Low 0.310

Stance Interaction Navarro vs orthodox · Favela vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.600

58.0 Favela Confidence Medium 0.600

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.600

42.0 Favela Confidence Medium 0.600

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

0 Navarro

100 Favela

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Navarro

33.33 Favela

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Navarro

66.67 Favela

Opponent Rating Last 3

77.52 Navarro

61.9 Favela

Trend Score Last 5

40 Navarro

85 Favela

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

50 Navarro

100 Favela

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

25 Navarro

41.67 Favela

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Navarro

66.67 Favela

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

77.52 Navarro

61.9 Favela

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70 Navarro

92.5 Favela

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Navarro stays in class.

Favela stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Navarro height: 173.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Favela height: 175.0cm reach: 175.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Favela.

Advantage: Favela +7.0cm

Stance Interaction

Navarro vs orthodox: 68.0

Favela vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Navarro.

Advantage: Navarro

Style Interaction

Navarro style: Boxer Puncher

Favela style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral