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Kroll vs Conwell 02 Aug 2026 Model pick: Conwell Locked prediction 60.61% ROI: -28.37% Super welterweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Charles Conwell 60.61%

Kroll odds 4.3000

Conwell odds 1.1818

Kroll implied 23.26%

Conwell implied 84.62%

Market odds 1.1818

Implied probability 84.62%

Expected return 0.7163

ROI -28.37%

Edge -24.01%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-23 02:58:45 UTC

Fighter details
PK
Paul Kroll

Score 60.55 · 12-0-2 (7 KO)

Full name Paul Tyler Kroll

Age 31 · Rank #377 · Confidence Medium 0.559

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 178cm · US

CC
Charles Conwell

Score 64.91 · 21-1-0 (16 KO)

Full name Charles Albert Shone Conwell

Age 28 · Rank #234 · Confidence Medium 0.550

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 178cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

74.0 Kroll Confidence Medium 0.690

85.0 Conwell Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

67.0 Kroll Confidence Medium 0.550

78.0 Conwell Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

64.0 Kroll Confidence Low 0.470

79.0 Conwell Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

66.0 Kroll Confidence Medium 0.570

77.0 Conwell Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

71.0 Kroll Confidence Medium 0.620

68.0 Conwell Confidence Medium 0.500

Distance Footwork Control

69.0 Kroll Confidence Medium 0.560

72.0 Conwell Confidence Medium 0.520

Ring IQ Adaptability

73.0 Kroll Confidence Medium 0.650

74.0 Conwell Confidence Medium 0.570

Counter Punching

65.0 Kroll Confidence Low 0.450

70.0 Conwell Confidence Low 0.450

Chin

70.0 Kroll Confidence Medium 0.520

71.0 Conwell Confidence Low 0.420

Cardio Engine

72.0 Kroll Confidence Medium 0.660

76.0 Conwell Confidence Medium 0.620

Style Profile Kroll: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Conwell: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Kroll Confidence Low 0.480

18.0 Conwell Confidence Low 0.460

Out-Boxer

22.0 Kroll Confidence Medium 0.600

12.0 Conwell Confidence Low 0.410

Power Slugger

16.0 Kroll Confidence Medium 0.500

24.0 Conwell Confidence Medium 0.620

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Kroll Confidence Medium 0.720

38.0 Conwell Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Kroll Confidence Low 0.340

8.0 Conwell Confidence Low 0.290

Stance Interaction Kroll vs orthodox  ·  Conwell vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Kroll Confidence Medium 0.560

62.0 Conwell Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Kroll Confidence Medium 0.560

38.0 Conwell Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Kroll

66.67 Conwell

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Kroll

66.67 Conwell

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Kroll

0 Conwell

Opponent Rating Last 3

44.67 Kroll

50.33 Conwell

Trend Score Last 5

82.5 Kroll

80 Conwell

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

78.33 Kroll

83.33 Conwell

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Kroll

70.18 Conwell

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Kroll

0 Conwell

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

44.85 Kroll

50.33 Conwell

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

91.25 Kroll

90 Conwell

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Kroll moves down 2 classes.

Conwell stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Conwell.

Advantage: Conwell

Height Reach Delta

Kroll height: 175.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Conwell height: 175.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral 0.0cm

Stance Interaction

Kroll vs orthodox: 62.0

Conwell vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Kroll style: Boxer Puncher

Conwell style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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