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Meza vs Tsutsumi 25 Jul 2026 Result: Tsutsumi Time-safe result Pick 64.02% Prediction: Correct Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Reito Tsutsumi (TKO)

Pre-fight pick Reito Tsutsumi 64.02%

Prediction result Correct

Meza odds 6.8000

Tsutsumi odds 1.0769

Meza implied 14.71%

Tsutsumi implied 92.86%

Pre-fight odds 1.0769

Pre-fight implied 92.86%

Expected return 0.6894

ROI -31.06%

Edge -28.84%

Lean No Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-07-19 01:01:37 UTC

Fighter details
AM
Alvino Meza

Score 56.75 · 18-1-2 (11 KO)

Full name Alvino Roberto Herrera Meza

Age N/A · Rank #526 · Confidence Low 0.435

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 172cm · MX

RT
Reito Tsutsumi

Score 64.27 · 5-0-0 (4 KO)

Full name Reito Tsutsumi

Age 23 · Rank #147 · Confidence Medium 0.517

Stance Southpaw · H/R 165cm / 168cm · JP

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

78.0 Meza Confidence Medium 0.720

82.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.700

Punching Accuracy

68.0 Meza Confidence Low 0.480

76.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

64.0 Meza Confidence Low 0.340

79.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.620

Pace Pressure

74.0 Meza Confidence Medium 0.580

74.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.560

Defensive Skill

56.0 Meza Confidence Low 0.470

72.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.500

Distance Footwork Control

62.0 Meza Confidence Low 0.400

75.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.570

Ring IQ Adaptability

61.0 Meza Confidence Low 0.390

74.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.540

Counter Punching

58.0 Meza Confidence Low 0.310

73.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.500

Chin

52.0 Meza Confidence Low 0.440

70.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Low 0.380

Cardio Engine

69.0 Meza Confidence Medium 0.520

68.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Low 0.420

Style Profile Meza: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Tsutsumi: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Meza Confidence Low 0.320

12.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Low 0.280

Out-Boxer

16.0 Meza Confidence Low 0.360

18.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Low 0.400

Power Slugger

24.0 Meza Confidence Low 0.480

24.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.600

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Meza Confidence Medium 0.580

34.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter-Puncher

8.0 Meza Confidence Very Low 0.220

12.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Very Low 0.240

Stance Interaction Meza vs southpaw  ·  Tsutsumi vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

61.0 Meza Confidence Low 0.390

68.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

39.0 Meza Confidence Low 0.390

32.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.620

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Meza

100 Tsutsumi

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Meza

100 Tsutsumi

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Meza

100 Tsutsumi

Opponent Rating Last 3

73.09 Meza

66.52 Tsutsumi

Trend Score Last 5

60 Meza

100 Tsutsumi

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

61.4 Meza

100 Tsutsumi

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

42.98 Meza

100 Tsutsumi

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Meza

100 Tsutsumi

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

73.09 Meza

66.52 Tsutsumi

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Meza

100 Tsutsumi

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Meza moves down 1 class.

Tsutsumi stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Tsutsumi.

Advantage: Tsutsumi

Height Reach Delta

Meza height: 168.0cm reach: 172.0cm

Tsutsumi height: 165.0cm reach: 168.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Meza.

Advantage: Meza +7.0cm

Stance Interaction

Meza vs southpaw: 39.0

Tsutsumi vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Tsutsumi.

Advantage: Tsutsumi

Style Interaction

Meza style: Boxer Puncher

Tsutsumi style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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