Arnold Gonzalez vs Emiliano Moreno

Data as of: 2026-09-07 07:51:09 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Gonzalez vs Moreno 26 Jul 2026 Model lean: Moreno Custom 74.60% ROI: 12.67% Welterweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Emiliano Moreno 74.60%

Gonzalez odds 2.4400

Moreno odds 1.5102

Gonzalez implied 40.98%

Moreno implied 66.22%

Market odds 1.5102

Implied probability 66.22%

Expected return 1.1267

ROI 12.67%

Edge 8.39%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-07-23 00:30:04 UTC

Fighter details

Arnold Gonzalez

Score 54.19 · 12-1-0 (9 KO)

Full name Arnold Gonzalez

Age N/A · Rank #604 · Confidence Low 0.435

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 173cm · US

Emiliano Moreno

Score 56.95 · 13-1-0 (6 KO)

Full name Emiliano Benjamin Moreno

Age 21 · Rank #532 · Confidence Low 0.416

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 182cm · US

Arnold Gonzalez

Full name: Arnold Gonzalez
Age: N/A
Fighter rank: #604
Current model score: 54.19
Fighter confidence: Low 0.435
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 170cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 12-1-0 (9 KO)

26 Jul 2026

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Moreno

Custom

25% Gonzalez

75% Moreno

Model lean: Emiliano Moreno 74.60%
Win probability: 74.60%
Market odds: 1.5102
Implied probability: 66.22%
Expected ROI (1u): 12.67%
Value edge: 8.39%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-07-23 00:30:04 UTC

Emiliano Moreno

Full name: Emiliano Benjamin Moreno
Age: 21
Fighter rank: #532
Current model score: 56.95
Fighter confidence: Low 0.416
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 180cm / 182cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 13-1-0 (6 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

69.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.590

70.0 Moreno Confidence Medium 0.500

Punching Accuracy

63.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.420

67.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.360

Hand Speed

61.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.340

64.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.280

Pace Pressure

66.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.450

66.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.340

Defensive Skill

62.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.400

68.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.380

Distance Footwork Control

60.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.350

69.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.390

Ring IQ Adaptability

65.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.460

71.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.420

Counter Punching

57.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.280

63.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.270

Chin

67.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.430

66.0 Moreno Confidence Very Low 0.240

Cardio Engine

68.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.490

74.0 Moreno Confidence Medium 0.520

Style Profile Gonzalez: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Moreno: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.330

12.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.340

Out-Boxer

30.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.480

25.0 Moreno Confidence Medium 0.520

Power Slugger

12.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.430

14.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.440

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.560

39.0 Moreno Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Gonzalez Confidence Very Low 0.220

10.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Interaction Gonzalez vs orthodox · Moreno vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.580

62.0 Moreno Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.580

38.0 Moreno Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Gonzalez

100 Moreno

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Gonzalez

0 Moreno

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Gonzalez

33.33 Moreno

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.62 Gonzalez

58.83 Moreno

Trend Score Last 5

80 Gonzalez

100 Moreno

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

76.19 Gonzalez

100 Moreno

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

3.57 Gonzalez

0 Moreno

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Gonzalez

33.33 Moreno

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.62 Gonzalez

58.83 Moreno

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Gonzalez

100 Moreno

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Gonzalez stays in class.

Moreno stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Gonzalez height: 170.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Moreno height: 180.0cm reach: 182.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Moreno.

Advantage: Moreno +19.0cm

Stance Interaction

Gonzalez vs orthodox: 62.0

Moreno vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Gonzalez style: Boxer Puncher

Moreno style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral