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Iriarte vs Lagunas 01 Aug 2026 Model pick: Iriarte Locked prediction 82.06% ROI: -17.12% Welterweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Joel Iriarte 82.06%

Iriarte odds 1.0100

Lagunas odds 17.0000

Iriarte implied 99.01%

Lagunas implied 5.88%

Market odds 1.01

Implied probability 99.01%

Expected return 0.8288

ROI -17.12%

Edge -16.95%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-29 01:40:14 UTC

Fighter details
JI
Joel Iriarte

Score 64.29 · 9-0-0 (7 KO)

Full name Joel Cuauhtemoc Iriarte

Age 23 · Rank #252 · Confidence Low 0.481

Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / 188cm · US

JL
Jorge Lagunas

Score 47.36 · 3-7-0 (3 KO)

Full name Jorge Arturo Lagunas Valencia

Age 30 · Rank #661 · Confidence Medium 0.506

Stance Orthodox · H/R 179cm / 185cm · MX

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

83.0 Iriarte Confidence Medium 0.740

76.0 Lagunas Confidence Medium 0.730

Punching Accuracy

76.0 Iriarte Confidence Medium 0.580

58.0 Lagunas Confidence Low 0.420

Hand Speed

78.0 Iriarte Confidence Medium 0.550

61.0 Lagunas Confidence Low 0.380

Pace Pressure

77.0 Iriarte Confidence Medium 0.610

66.0 Lagunas Confidence Low 0.490

Defensive Skill

68.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.420

45.0 Lagunas Confidence Medium 0.620

Distance Footwork Control

72.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.480

50.0 Lagunas Confidence Low 0.440

Ring IQ Adaptability

73.0 Iriarte Confidence Medium 0.520

49.0 Lagunas Confidence Low 0.460

Counter Punching

70.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.410

52.0 Lagunas Confidence Low 0.330

Chin

67.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.320

43.0 Lagunas Confidence Medium 0.640

Cardio Engine

74.0 Iriarte Confidence Medium 0.570

57.0 Lagunas Confidence Medium 0.500

Style Profile Iriarte: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Lagunas: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.260

22.0 Lagunas Confidence Low 0.450

Out-Boxer

18.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.400

12.0 Lagunas Confidence Low 0.460

Power Slugger

34.0 Iriarte Confidence Medium 0.660

38.0 Lagunas Confidence Medium 0.720

Boxer-Puncher

28.0 Iriarte Confidence Medium 0.580

20.0 Lagunas Confidence Low 0.480

Counter-Puncher

8.0 Iriarte Confidence Very Low 0.220

8.0 Lagunas Confidence Low 0.340

Stance Interaction Iriarte vs orthodox  ·  Lagunas vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.430

63.0 Lagunas Confidence Medium 0.570

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.430

37.0 Lagunas Confidence Medium 0.570

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Iriarte

0 Lagunas

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Iriarte

0 Lagunas

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Iriarte

100 Lagunas

Opponent Rating Last 3

43 Iriarte

64 Lagunas

Trend Score Last 5

100 Iriarte

20 Lagunas

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Iriarte

21.43 Lagunas

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Iriarte

21.43 Lagunas

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Iriarte

100 Lagunas

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

43 Iriarte

64 Lagunas

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Iriarte

30 Lagunas

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Iriarte stays in class.

Lagunas moves up 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Iriarte.

Advantage: Iriarte

Height Reach Delta

Iriarte height: 185.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Lagunas height: 179.0cm reach: 185.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Iriarte.

Advantage: Iriarte +9.0cm

Stance Interaction

Iriarte vs orthodox: 62.0

Lagunas vs orthodox: 63.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Iriarte style: Power Slugger

Lagunas style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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