Joel Iriarte vs Jorge Valencia

Data as of: 2026-08-03 13:06:02 UTC Time-safe result As-of 2026-08-01

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Iriarte vs Valencia 01 Aug 2026 Result: Iriarte Time-safe result Pick 82.06% Prediction: Correct Welterweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Joel Iriarte

Pre-fight pick Joel Iriarte 82.06%

Prediction result Correct

Iriarte odds 1.0100

Valencia odds 17.0000

Iriarte implied 99.01%

Valencia implied 5.88%

Pre-fight odds 1.01

Pre-fight implied 99.01%

Expected return 0.8288

ROI -17.12%

Edge -16.95%

Lean No Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-07-29 01:40:14 UTC

Fighter details

Joel Iriarte

Score 61.72 · 10-0-0 (7 KO)

Full name Joel Cuauhtemoc Iriarte

Age 23 · Rank #349 · Confidence Low 0.435

Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / 188cm · US

Jorge Valencia

Score 49.51 · 3-8-0 (3 KO)

Full name Jorge Arturo Lagunas Valencia

Age N/A · Rank #641 · Confidence Low 0.463

Stance Orthodox · H/R 179cm / 185cm · MX

Joel Iriarte

Full name: Joel Cuauhtemoc Iriarte
Age: 23
Fighter rank: #349
Current model score: 61.72
Fighter confidence: Low 0.435
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 185cm / 188cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 10-0-0 (7 KO)

01 Aug 2026

Confirmed Result

Result

Iriarte

Time-safe result

100% Iriarte

0% Valencia

Fight result: Joel Iriarte
Pre-fight pick: Joel Iriarte 82.06%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 82.06%
Pre-fight odds: 1.01
Pre-fight implied: 99.01%
Expected ROI (1u): -17.12%
Value edge: -16.95%
Lean assessment: No Value

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-07-29 01:40:14 UTC

Jorge Valencia

Full name: Jorge Arturo Lagunas Valencia
Age: N/A
Fighter rank: #641
Current model score: 49.51
Fighter confidence: Low 0.463
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 179cm / 185cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 3-8-0 (3 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

86.0 Iriarte Confidence Medium 0.740

74.0 Valencia Confidence Medium 0.690

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.480

60.0 Valencia Confidence Low 0.440

Hand Speed

76.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.460

59.0 Valencia Confidence Low 0.340

Pace Pressure

79.0 Iriarte Confidence Medium 0.560

68.0 Valencia Confidence Medium 0.550

Defensive Skill

67.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.340

50.0 Valencia Confidence Medium 0.580

Distance Footwork Control

71.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.390

56.0 Valencia Confidence Low 0.410

Ring IQ Adaptability

70.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.410

57.0 Valencia Confidence Low 0.420

Counter Punching

66.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.290

54.0 Valencia Confidence Low 0.310

Chin

69.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.280

47.0 Valencia Confidence Medium 0.660

Cardio Engine

73.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.430

62.0 Valencia Confidence Low 0.490

Style Profile Iriarte: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher vs Valencia: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.330

22.0 Valencia Confidence Low 0.360

Out-Boxer

18.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.450

12.0 Valencia Confidence Low 0.340

Power Slugger

36.0 Iriarte Confidence Medium 0.720

30.0 Valencia Confidence Medium 0.640

Boxer-Puncher

24.0 Iriarte Confidence Medium 0.560

28.0 Valencia Confidence Medium 0.560

Counter-Puncher

8.0 Iriarte Confidence Very Low 0.240

8.0 Valencia Confidence Very Low 0.220

Stance Interaction Iriarte vs orthodox · Valencia vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

41.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.360

62.0 Valencia Confidence Low 0.430

Vs Southpaw

59.0 Iriarte Confidence Low 0.360

38.0 Valencia Confidence Low 0.430

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Iriarte

66.67 Valencia

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Iriarte

0 Valencia

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Iriarte

33.33 Valencia

Opponent Rating Last 3

38.76 Iriarte

61.33 Valencia

Trend Score Last 5

100 Iriarte

55 Valencia

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Iriarte

66.67 Valencia

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Iriarte

5.88 Valencia

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Iriarte

33.33 Valencia

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

38.76 Iriarte

61.33 Valencia

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Iriarte

55 Valencia

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Iriarte stays in class.

Valencia stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Iriarte height: 185.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Valencia height: 179.0cm reach: 185.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Iriarte.

Advantage: Iriarte +9.0cm

Stance Interaction

Iriarte vs orthodox: 41.0

Valencia vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: medium advantage Valencia.

Advantage: Valencia

Style Interaction

Iriarte style: Power Slugger

Valencia style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral