Oswaldo Molina vs Pablo Rubio

Data as of: 2026-09-09 11:24:47 UTC Locked prediction As of 2026-09-09 11:19:21 UTC

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Molina vs Rubio 12 Sep 2026 Model pick: Molina Locked prediction 61.11% ROI: 92.50% Lightweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Oswaldo Molina 61.11%

Molina odds 3.1500

Rubio odds 1.3333

Molina implied 31.75%

Rubio implied 75.00%

Market odds 3.15

Implied probability 31.75%

Expected return 1.9250

ROI 92.50%

Edge 29.37%

Lean Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-09-09 11:19:21 UTC

Fighter details

Oswaldo Molina

Score 54.97 · 9-0-0 (4 KO)

Full name Oswaldo Jesus Molina Jimenez

Age N/A · Rank #590 · Confidence Low 0.433

Stance Orthodox · H/R 179cm / 178cm · MX

Pablo Rubio

Score 53.46 · 15-0-0 (5 KO)

Full name Pablo Alejandro Rubio Jr

Age 29 · Rank #623 · Confidence Low 0.322

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 179cm · US

Oswaldo Molina

Full name: Oswaldo Jesus Molina Jimenez
Age: N/A
Fighter rank: #590
Current model score: 54.97
Fighter confidence: Low 0.433
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 179cm / 178cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 9-0-0 (4 KO)

12 Sep 2026

Projected Win Split

Model pick

Molina

Locked prediction

61% Molina

39% Rubio

Model pick: Oswaldo Molina 61.11%
Win probability: 61.11%
Market odds: 3.15
Implied probability: 31.75%
Expected ROI (1u): 92.50%
Value edge: 29.37%
Lean assessment: Value

Locked prediction as of 2026-09-09 11:19:21 UTC

Pablo Rubio

Full name: Pablo Alejandro Rubio Jr
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #623
Current model score: 53.46
Fighter confidence: Low 0.322
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / 179cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 15-0-0 (5 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

63.0 Molina Confidence Medium 0.630

62.0 Rubio Confidence Low 0.480

Punching Accuracy

60.0 Molina Confidence Low 0.480

66.0 Rubio Confidence Low 0.340

Hand Speed

58.0 Molina Confidence Low 0.350

64.0 Rubio Confidence Low 0.270

Pace Pressure

61.0 Molina Confidence Low 0.450

61.0 Rubio Confidence Low 0.280

Defensive Skill

64.0 Molina Confidence Medium 0.520

68.0 Rubio Confidence Low 0.400

Distance Footwork Control

62.0 Molina Confidence Low 0.440

67.0 Rubio Confidence Low 0.320

Ring IQ Adaptability

65.0 Molina Confidence Medium 0.500

69.0 Rubio Confidence Low 0.370

Counter Punching

56.0 Molina Confidence Low 0.300

58.0 Rubio Confidence Very Low 0.220

Chin

66.0 Molina Confidence Low 0.400

65.0 Rubio Confidence Very Low 0.240

Cardio Engine

67.0 Molina Confidence Medium 0.550

63.0 Rubio Confidence Very Low 0.230

Style Profile Molina: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Rubio: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Molina Confidence Low 0.340

14.0 Rubio Confidence Low 0.250

Out-Boxer

24.0 Molina Confidence Low 0.460

28.0 Rubio Confidence Low 0.360

Power Slugger

14.0 Molina Confidence Low 0.400

12.0 Rubio Confidence Low 0.340

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Molina Confidence Medium 0.560

34.0 Rubio Confidence Low 0.420

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Molina Confidence Very Low 0.220

12.0 Rubio Confidence Very Low 0.200

Stance Interaction Molina vs orthodox · Rubio vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Molina Confidence Low 0.380

58.0 Rubio Confidence Low 0.380

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Molina Confidence Low 0.380

42.0 Rubio Confidence Low 0.380

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Molina

100 Rubio

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Molina

0 Rubio

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Molina

33.33 Rubio

Opponent Rating Last 3

45.33 Molina

48 Rubio

Trend Score Last 5

100 Molina

100 Rubio

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Molina

100 Rubio

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

33.33 Molina

8.33 Rubio

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Molina

33.33 Rubio

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

45.33 Molina

48 Rubio

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Molina

100 Rubio

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Molina stays in class.

Rubio moves up 2 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Molina.

Advantage: Molina

Height Reach Delta

Molina height: 179.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Rubio height: 175.0cm reach: 179.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Molina.

Advantage: Molina +3.0cm

Stance Interaction

Molina vs orthodox: 62.0

Rubio vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Molina style: Boxer Puncher

Rubio style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral