Model lean Yan Guerrero 83.13%
Guerrero odds 1.0714
Cruz odds 8.5000
Guerrero implied 93.34%
Cruz implied 11.76%
Market odds 1.0714
Implied probability 93.34%
Expected return 0.8907
ROI -10.93%
Edge -10.21%
Lean No Value
Bout Custom
Odds updated 2026-05-17 00:30:03 UTC
Score 66.09 · 17-0-0 (13 KO)
Full name Yan Carlos Santana Guerrero
Age 26 · Rank #212 · Confidence Low 0.489
Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 183cm · DO
Score 54.52 · 10-3-2 (10 KO)
Full name Cristian Jesus Cruz Chacón
Age 29 · Rank #584 · Confidence Low 0.455
Stance Orthodox · H/R 166cm / 169cm · MX
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring IQ Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out-Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer-Puncher
Counter-Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Guerrero stays in class.
Cruz moves down 1 class.
Interaction: low advantage Guerrero.
Advantage: Guerrero
Height Reach Delta
Guerrero height: 173.0cm reach: 183.0cm
Cruz height: 166.0cm reach: 169.0cm
Interaction: high advantage Guerrero.
Advantage: Guerrero +21.0cm
Stance Interaction
Guerrero vs orthodox: 62.0
Cruz vs orthodox: 58.0
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
Style Interaction
Guerrero style: Power Slugger
Cruz style: Boxer Puncher
Interaction: medium advantage Cruz.
Advantage: Cruz
