Yan Guerrero vs Cristian Cruz

Data as of: 2026-10-04 07:36:13 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Guerrero vs Cruz Model lean: Guerrero Custom 83.60% ROI: N/A Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Model lean Yan Guerrero 83.60%

Guerrero odds N/A

Cruz odds N/A

Guerrero implied N/A

Cruz implied N/A

Market odds N/A

Implied probability N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean N/A

Bout Custom

Fighter details

Yan Guerrero

Score 66.09 · 17-0-0 (13 KO)

Full name Yan Carlos Santana Guerrero

Age 26 · Rank #227 · Confidence Low 0.489

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 183cm · DO

Cristian Cruz

Score 53.95 · 10-3-2 (10 KO)

Full name Cristian Jesus Cruz Chacón

Age 29 · Rank #730 · Confidence Low 0.455

Stance Orthodox · H/R 166cm / 169cm · MX

Yan Guerrero

Full name: Yan Carlos Santana Guerrero
Age: 26
Fighter rank: #227
Current model score: 66.09
Fighter confidence: Low 0.489
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 173cm / 183cm
Nationality: DO
Career snapshot: 17-0-0 (13 KO)

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Guerrero

Custom

84% Guerrero

16% Cruz

Model lean: Yan Guerrero 83.60%
Win probability: 83.60%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: N/A

Cristian Cruz

Full name: Cristian Jesus Cruz Chacón
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #730
Current model score: 53.95
Fighter confidence: Low 0.455
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 166cm / 169cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 10-3-2 (10 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

86.0 Guerrero Confidence High 0.780

64.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.620

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Guerrero Confidence Low 0.460

61.0 Cruz Confidence Low 0.450

Hand Speed

72.0 Guerrero Confidence Low 0.380

60.0 Cruz Confidence Low 0.380

Pace Pressure

77.0 Guerrero Confidence Medium 0.520

66.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.500

Defensive Skill

71.0 Guerrero Confidence Low 0.400

58.0 Cruz Confidence Low 0.470

Distance Footwork Control

76.0 Guerrero Confidence Medium 0.500

59.0 Cruz Confidence Low 0.420

Ring IQ Adaptability

75.0 Guerrero Confidence Medium 0.520

62.0 Cruz Confidence Low 0.480

Counter Punching

68.0 Guerrero Confidence Low 0.330

56.0 Cruz Confidence Low 0.340

Chin

73.0 Guerrero Confidence Low 0.310

67.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.550

Cardio Engine

79.0 Guerrero Confidence Medium 0.620

70.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.610

Style Profile Guerrero: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher vs Cruz: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

20.0 Guerrero Confidence Low 0.380

24.0 Cruz Confidence Low 0.270

Out-Boxer

16.0 Guerrero Confidence Low 0.460

16.0 Cruz Confidence Low 0.350

Power Slugger

30.0 Guerrero Confidence Medium 0.670

14.0 Cruz Confidence Low 0.420

Boxer-Puncher

28.0 Guerrero Confidence Medium 0.610

32.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.500

Counter-Puncher

6.0 Guerrero Confidence Very Low 0.210

14.0 Cruz Confidence Very Low 0.200

Stance Interaction Guerrero vs orthodox · Cruz vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Guerrero Confidence Medium 0.580

58.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.590

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Guerrero Confidence Medium 0.580

42.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.590

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Guerrero

66.67 Cruz

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Guerrero

0 Cruz

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Guerrero

100 Cruz

Opponent Rating Last 3

53.22 Guerrero

60.42 Cruz

Trend Score Last 5

100 Guerrero

73.75 Cruz

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Guerrero

69.7 Cruz

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

59.52 Guerrero

0 Cruz

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Guerrero

100 Cruz

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

53.22 Guerrero

60.42 Cruz

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Guerrero

81.88 Cruz

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Guerrero stays in class.

Cruz moves down 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Guerrero.

Advantage: Guerrero

Height Reach Delta

Guerrero height: 173.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Cruz height: 166.0cm reach: 169.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Guerrero.

Advantage: Guerrero +21.0cm

Stance Interaction

Guerrero vs orthodox: 62.0

Cruz vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Guerrero style: Power Slugger

Cruz style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: medium advantage Cruz.

Advantage: Cruz