Model lean Atif Oberlton 64.73%
Mercado odds 6.0000
Oberlton odds 1.1250
Mercado implied 16.67%
Oberlton implied 88.89%
Market odds 1.125
Implied probability 88.89%
Expected return 0.7282
ROI -27.18%
Edge -24.16%
Lean No Value
Bout Custom
Odds updated 2026-05-09 00:30:03 UTC
Score 59.98 · 22-4-0 (17 KO)
Full name Carlos Gongora Mercado
Age 37 · Rank #447 · Confidence Medium 0.567
Stance Southpaw · H/R 185cm / 183cm · EC
Score 69.11 · 16-0-0 (14 KO)
Full name Atif Oberlton
Age 28 · Rank #120 · Confidence Medium 0.514
Stance Southpaw · H/R 191cm / 185cm · US
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring IQ Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out-Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer-Puncher
Counter-Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Mercado stays in class.
Oberlton moves down 1 class.
Interaction: low advantage Mercado.
Advantage: Mercado
Height Reach Delta
Mercado height: 185.0cm reach: 183.0cm
Oberlton height: 191.0cm reach: 185.0cm
Interaction: medium advantage Oberlton.
Advantage: Oberlton +8.0cm
Stance Interaction
Mercado vs southpaw: 36.0
Oberlton vs southpaw: 32.0
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
Style Interaction
Mercado style: Boxer Puncher
Oberlton style: Power Slugger
Interaction: medium advantage Mercado.
Advantage: Mercado
