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Robinson vs Thibeault 08 Aug 2026 Model pick: Thibeault Locked prediction 66.52% ROI: -17.65% Middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Tammara Thibeault 66.52%

Robinson odds 3.8500

Thibeault odds 1.2381

Robinson implied 25.97%

Thibeault implied 80.77%

Market odds 1.2381

Implied probability 80.77%

Expected return 0.8235

ROI -17.65%

Edge -14.25%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-17 02:58:26 UTC

Fighter details
DR
Desley Robinson

Score 63.94 · 12-3-0 (4 KO)

Full name Desley Robinson

Age 38 · Rank #268 · Confidence Medium 0.542

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 178cm · AU

TT
Tammara Thibeault

Score 68.58 · 4-0-0 (3 KO)

Full name Tammara Amanda Thibeault

Age 29 · Rank #132 · Confidence Medium 0.574

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 198cm · CA

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

62.0 Robinson Confidence Medium 0.630

82.0 Thibeault Confidence Medium 0.740

Punching Accuracy

71.0 Robinson Confidence Medium 0.560

76.0 Thibeault Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

64.0 Robinson Confidence Low 0.440

78.0 Thibeault Confidence Medium 0.620

Pace Pressure

69.0 Robinson Confidence Medium 0.550

74.0 Thibeault Confidence Medium 0.580

Defensive Skill

72.0 Robinson Confidence Medium 0.570

80.0 Thibeault Confidence Medium 0.660

Distance Footwork Control

73.0 Robinson Confidence Medium 0.580

84.0 Thibeault Confidence Medium 0.710

Ring IQ Adaptability

78.0 Robinson Confidence Medium 0.660

83.0 Thibeault Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Punching

67.0 Robinson Confidence Low 0.450

75.0 Thibeault Confidence Medium 0.560

Chin

74.0 Robinson Confidence Medium 0.520

71.0 Thibeault Confidence Low 0.400

Cardio Engine

79.0 Robinson Confidence Medium 0.680

73.0 Thibeault Confidence Medium 0.520

Style Profile Robinson: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Thibeault: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

16.0 Robinson Confidence Low 0.430

10.0 Thibeault Confidence Low 0.350

Out-Boxer

34.0 Robinson Confidence Medium 0.620

28.0 Thibeault Confidence Medium 0.620

Power Slugger

10.0 Robinson Confidence Medium 0.660

14.0 Thibeault Confidence Medium 0.500

Boxer-Puncher

28.0 Robinson Confidence Medium 0.580

38.0 Thibeault Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Robinson Confidence Low 0.310

10.0 Thibeault Confidence Low 0.300

Stance Interaction Robinson vs orthodox  ·  Thibeault vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

88.0 Robinson Confidence Medium 0.700

42.0 Thibeault Confidence Medium 0.560

Vs Southpaw

12.0 Robinson Confidence Low 0.280

58.0 Thibeault Confidence Medium 0.560

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Robinson

100 Thibeault

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Robinson

100 Thibeault

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Robinson

33.33 Thibeault

Opponent Rating Last 3

56.45 Robinson

48.21 Thibeault

Trend Score Last 5

100 Robinson

100 Thibeault

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Robinson

100 Thibeault

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

33.33 Robinson

100 Thibeault

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Robinson

33.33 Thibeault

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

56.45 Robinson

51.59 Thibeault

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Robinson

100 Thibeault

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Robinson stays in class.

Thibeault stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Robinson height: 178.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Thibeault height: 183.0cm reach: 198.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Thibeault.

Advantage: Thibeault +25.0cm

Stance Interaction

Robinson vs orthodox: 88.0

Thibeault vs orthodox: 42.0

Interaction: high advantage Robinson.

Advantage: Robinson

Style Interaction

Robinson style: Out Boxer

Thibeault style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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