Demetrius Andrade vs Douglas Ataide

Data as of: 2026-09-04 06:39:48 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Andrade vs Ataide 25 Jul 2026 Model lean: Andrade Custom 86.25% ROI: -9.43% Super middleweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Demetrius Andrade 86.25%

Andrade odds 1.0500

Ataide odds 8.3000

Andrade implied 95.24%

Ataide implied 12.05%

Market odds 1.05

Implied probability 95.24%

Expected return 0.9057

ROI -9.43%

Edge -8.98%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-07-23 00:30:04 UTC

Fighter details

Demetrius Andrade

Score 71.54 · 33-1-0 (20 KO)

Full name Demetrius Cesar Andrade

Age 38 · Rank #82 · Confidence Medium 0.688

Stance Southpaw · H/R 185cm / 187cm · US

Douglas Ataide

Score 45.73 · 11-5-1 (11 KO)

Full name Douglas Damie3o Ataide

Age N/A · Rank #716 · Confidence Low 0.432

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 191cm · BR

Demetrius Andrade

Full name: Demetrius Cesar Andrade
Age: 38
Fighter rank: #82
Current model score: 71.54
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.688
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 185cm / 187cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 33-1-0 (20 KO)

25 Jul 2026

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Andrade

Custom

86% Andrade

14% Ataide

Model lean: Demetrius Andrade 86.25%
Win probability: 86.25%
Market odds: 1.05
Implied probability: 95.24%
Expected ROI (1u): -9.43%
Value edge: -8.98%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-07-23 00:30:04 UTC

Douglas Ataide

Full name: Douglas Damie3o Ataide
Age: N/A
Fighter rank: #716
Current model score: 45.73
Fighter confidence: Low 0.432
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 183cm / 191cm
Nationality: BR
Career snapshot: 11-5-1 (11 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

76.0 Andrade Confidence Medium 0.720

67.0 Ataide Confidence Medium 0.670

Punching Accuracy

83.0 Andrade Confidence Medium 0.740

55.0 Ataide Confidence Low 0.350

Hand Speed

82.0 Andrade Confidence Medium 0.710

54.0 Ataide Confidence Low 0.280

Pace Pressure

64.0 Andrade Confidence Medium 0.690

58.0 Ataide Confidence Low 0.380

Defensive Skill

81.0 Andrade Confidence High 0.750

46.0 Ataide Confidence Medium 0.570

Distance Footwork Control

84.0 Andrade Confidence High 0.760

52.0 Ataide Confidence Low 0.340

Ring IQ Adaptability

82.0 Andrade Confidence High 0.750

51.0 Ataide Confidence Low 0.360

Counter Punching

85.0 Andrade Confidence Medium 0.730

50.0 Ataide Confidence Low 0.250

Chin

68.0 Andrade Confidence Medium 0.520

49.0 Ataide Confidence Medium 0.550

Cardio Engine

78.0 Andrade Confidence Medium 0.680

57.0 Ataide Confidence Low 0.330

Style Profile Andrade: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Ataide: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Andrade Confidence Medium 0.570

18.0 Ataide Confidence Low 0.450

Out-Boxer

39.0 Andrade Confidence High 0.780

17.0 Ataide Confidence Low 0.420

Power Slugger

9.0 Andrade Confidence Medium 0.630

21.0 Ataide Confidence Medium 0.560

Boxer-Puncher

32.0 Andrade Confidence Medium 0.740

29.0 Ataide Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Andrade Confidence Medium 0.550

15.0 Ataide Confidence Low 0.340

Stance Interaction Andrade vs orthodox · Ataide vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Andrade Confidence Medium 0.690

64.0 Ataide Confidence Low 0.440

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Andrade Confidence Medium 0.690

36.0 Ataide Confidence Low 0.440

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Andrade

33.33 Ataide

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Andrade

0 Ataide

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Andrade

66.67 Ataide

Opponent Rating Last 3

59.36 Andrade

67.35 Ataide

Trend Score Last 5

80 Andrade

40 Ataide

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Andrade

50 Ataide

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

47.31 Andrade

0 Ataide

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Andrade

66.67 Ataide

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

59.36 Andrade

67.35 Ataide

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Andrade

60 Ataide

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Andrade stays in class.

Ataide stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Andrade height: 185.0cm reach: 187.0cm

Ataide height: 183.0cm reach: 191.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Ataide.

Advantage: Ataide +2.0cm

Stance Interaction

Andrade vs orthodox: 68.0

Ataide vs southpaw: 36.0

Interaction: medium advantage Andrade.

Advantage: Andrade

Style Interaction

Andrade style: Out Boxer

Ataide style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral