Oleksandr Usyk vs Ricardo Verhoeven

Data as of: 2026-06-01 14:35:20 UTC Time-safe As-of 2026-05-23

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Usyk vs Verhoeven 23 May 2026 Result: Usyk Time-safe Pick 80.72% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Oleksandr Usyk (TKO)

Model pick Oleksandr Usyk 80.72%

Prediction result Correct

Usyk odds 1.0333

Verhoeven odds 14.6000

Usyk implied 96.78%

Verhoeven implied 6.85%

Pick odds 1.0333

Pick implied 96.78%

Expected return 0.9550

ROI -4.50%

Edge -4.36%

Lean No Value

Bout Time-safe

Odds updated 2026-06-01 14:30:06 UTC

Fighter details

Oleksandr Usyk

Score 85.60 · 25-0-0 (16 KO)

Full name Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk

Age 39 · Rank #1 · Confidence High 0.819

Stance Southpaw · H/R 191cm / 198cm · UA

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

Ricardo Verhoeven

Score 42.72 · 1-1-0 (1 KO)

Full name Ricardo Verhoeven

Age 37 · Rank #519 · Confidence Low 0.341

Stance Orthodox · H/R 196cm / 200cm · NL

Oleksandr Usyk

Full name: Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk
Age: 39
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 85.60
Fighter confidence: High 0.819
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 191cm / 198cm
Nationality: UA
Career snapshot: 25-0-0 (16 KO)

World titles

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

23 May 2026

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Usyk

Time-safe

92% Usyk

8% Verhoeven

Fight result: Oleksandr Usyk (TKO)
Model pick: Oleksandr Usyk 80.72%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 80.72%
Market odds: 1.0333
Implied probability: 96.78%
Expected ROI (1u): -4.50%
Value edge: -4.36%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-06-01 14:30:06 UTC

Ricardo Verhoeven

Full name: Ricardo Verhoeven
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #519
Current model score: 42.72
Fighter confidence: Low 0.341
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 196cm / 200cm
Nationality: NL
Career snapshot: 1-1-0 (1 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.800

70.0 Verhoeven Confidence Low 0.450

Punching Accuracy

92.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.900

48.0 Verhoeven Confidence Low 0.300

Hand Speed

88.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

52.0 Verhoeven Confidence Low 0.350

Pace Pressure

86.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.820

58.0 Verhoeven Confidence Low 0.400

Defensive Skill

91.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.890

44.0 Verhoeven Confidence Low 0.320

Distance Footwork Control

95.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.920

46.0 Verhoeven Confidence Low 0.320

Ring Iq Adaptability

96.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.930

50.0 Verhoeven Confidence Low 0.340

Counter Punching

90.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.870

45.0 Verhoeven Confidence Low 0.280

Chin

85.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.720

68.0 Verhoeven Confidence Low 0.420

Cardio Engine

94.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.900

72.0 Verhoeven Confidence Medium 0.500

Style Profile Usyk: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Verhoeven: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.630

10.0 Verhoeven Confidence Very Low 0.220

Out Boxer

34.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

24.0 Verhoeven Confidence Low 0.350

Power Slugger

7.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.730

28.0 Verhoeven Confidence Low 0.380

Boxer Puncher

39.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.870

26.0 Verhoeven Confidence Low 0.330

Counter Puncher

12.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.680

12.0 Verhoeven Confidence Very Low 0.200

Stance Advantage Usyk Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Verhoeven Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.790

38.0 Verhoeven Confidence Low 0.320

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.790

62.0 Verhoeven Confidence Low 0.320

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Usyk

33.33 Verhoeven

Ko Rate Last 3

100 Usyk

33.33 Verhoeven

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Usyk

66.67 Verhoeven

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.96 Usyk

70.96 Verhoeven

Trend Score Last 5

100 Usyk

33.33 Verhoeven

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Usyk

33.33 Verhoeven

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Usyk

33.33 Verhoeven

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Usyk

66.67 Verhoeven

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.96 Usyk

70.96 Verhoeven

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Usyk

33.33 Verhoeven

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Usyk stays in class.

Verhoeven stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Usyk height: 191.0cm reach: 198.0cm

Verhoeven height: 196.0cm reach: 200.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Verhoeven.

Advantage: Verhoeven +7.0cm

Stance Interaction

Usyk vs orthodox: 68.0

Verhoeven vs southpaw: 62.0

Interaction: low advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk

Style Interaction

Usyk style: Boxer Puncher

Verhoeven style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk