Oscar Collazo vs Neider Aguilar

Data as of: 2026-09-18 06:58:09 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Collazo vs Aguilar 21 Jun 2026 Model lean: Collazo Custom 69.12% ROI: -30.19% Minimumweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Oscar Collazo 69.12%

Collazo odds 1.0100

Aguilar odds 19.0000

Collazo implied 99.01%

Aguilar implied 5.26%

Market odds 1.01

Implied probability 99.01%

Expected return 0.6981

ROI -30.19%

Edge -29.89%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-06-21 00:30:04 UTC

Fighter details

Oscar Collazo

Score 75.17 · 15-0-0 (12 KO)

Full name Oscar Manuel Collazo

Age 29 · Rank #29 · Confidence Medium 0.646

Stance Southpaw · H/R 157cm / 155cm · PR

The Ring Minimumweight WBA Minimumweight WBO Minimumweight

Neider Aguilar

Score 48.94 · 5-4-0 (5 KO)

Full name Neider Alexandro Valdez Aguilar

Age 20 · Rank #698 · Confidence Medium 0.522

Stance N/A · H/R 170cm / 165cm · MX

Oscar Collazo

Full name: Oscar Manuel Collazo
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #29
Current model score: 75.17
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.646
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 157cm / 155cm
Nationality: PR
Career snapshot: 15-0-0 (12 KO)

World titles

The Ring Minimumweight WBA Minimumweight WBO Minimumweight

21 Jun 2026

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Collazo

Custom

69% Collazo

31% Aguilar

Model lean: Oscar Collazo 69.12%
Win probability: 69.12%
Market odds: 1.01
Implied probability: 99.01%
Expected ROI (1u): -30.19%
Value edge: -29.89%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-06-21 00:30:04 UTC

Neider Aguilar

Full name: Neider Alexandro Valdez Aguilar
Age: 20
Fighter rank: #698
Current model score: 48.94
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.522
Stance: N/A
Height/Reach: 170cm / 165cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 5-4-0 (5 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

88.0 Collazo Confidence High 0.840

74.0 Aguilar Confidence High 0.780

Punching Accuracy

85.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.730

58.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.440

Hand Speed

84.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.650

60.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.400

Pace Pressure

83.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.740

64.0 Aguilar Confidence Medium 0.520

Defensive Skill

79.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.660

45.0 Aguilar Confidence Medium 0.720

Distance Footwork Control

81.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.640

52.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.460

Ring IQ Adaptability

84.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.720

54.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.480

Counter Punching

78.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.580

50.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.340

Chin

77.0 Collazo Confidence Low 0.470

40.0 Aguilar Confidence High 0.770

Cardio Engine

82.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.700

62.0 Aguilar Confidence Medium 0.620

Style Profile Collazo: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Aguilar: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.630

18.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.380

Out-Boxer

12.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.520

12.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.340

Power Slugger

20.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.660

30.0 Aguilar Confidence Medium 0.630

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.740

28.0 Aguilar Confidence Medium 0.560

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Collazo Confidence Low 0.390

12.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.270

Stance Interaction Collazo vs unknown stance · Aguilar vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.660

62.0 Aguilar Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.660

38.0 Aguilar Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Collazo

0 Aguilar

Ko Rate Last 3

100 Collazo

0 Aguilar

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Collazo

100 Aguilar

Opponent Rating Last 3

41.78 Collazo

79.85 Aguilar

Trend Score Last 5

100 Collazo

10 Aguilar

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Collazo

12.5 Aguilar

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Collazo

0 Aguilar

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Collazo

100 Aguilar

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

48.38 Collazo

79.85 Aguilar

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Collazo

30 Aguilar

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Collazo stays in class.

Aguilar stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Collazo height: 157.0cm reach: 155.0cm

Aguilar height: 170.0cm reach: 165.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Aguilar.

Advantage: Aguilar +23.0cm

Stance Interaction

Collazo vs unknown stance: N/A

Aguilar vs southpaw: 38.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Collazo style: Boxer Puncher

Aguilar style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Collazo.

Advantage: Collazo