Jaron Ennis vs Xander Zayas

Data as of: 2026-08-30 06:27:44 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Ennis vs Zayas 28 Jun 2026 Model lean: Ennis Custom 78.01% ROI: -4.66% Super welterweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Jaron Ennis 78.01%

Ennis odds 1.2222

Zayas odds 4.0000

Ennis implied 81.82%

Zayas implied 25.00%

Market odds 1.2222

Implied probability 81.82%

Expected return 0.9534

ROI -4.66%

Edge -3.81%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-06-28 00:30:03 UTC

Fighter details

Jaron Ennis

Score 79.76 · 36-0-0 (32 KO)

Full name Jaron Ennis

Age 29 · Rank #7 · Confidence Medium 0.622

Stance Southpaw · H/R 178cm / 188cm · US

The Ring Welterweight WBA Super welterweight WBO Super welterweight

Xander Zayas

Score 66.66 · 23-1-0 (13 KO)

Full name Xander Yarob Zayas Castro

Age 23 · Rank #197 · Confidence Medium 0.578

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 188cm · PR

Jaron Ennis

Full name: Jaron Ennis
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #7
Current model score: 79.76
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.622
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 178cm / 188cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 36-0-0 (32 KO)

World titles

The Ring Welterweight WBA Super welterweight WBO Super welterweight

28 Jun 2026

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Ennis

Custom

78% Ennis

22% Zayas

Model lean: Jaron Ennis 78.01%
Win probability: 78.01%
Market odds: 1.2222
Implied probability: 81.82%
Expected ROI (1u): -4.66%
Value edge: -3.81%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-06-28 00:30:03 UTC

Xander Zayas

Full name: Xander Yarob Zayas Castro
Age: 23
Fighter rank: #197
Current model score: 66.66
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.578
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 178cm / 188cm
Nationality: PR
Career snapshot: 23-1-0 (13 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

93.0 Ennis Confidence High 0.840

76.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.690

Punching Accuracy

86.0 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.690

78.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

91.0 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.630

80.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

84.0 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.670

74.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.610

Defensive Skill

82.0 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.580

70.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.560

Distance Footwork Control

85.0 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.620

77.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.590

Ring IQ Adaptability

87.0 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.680

75.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Punching

88.0 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.610

73.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.500

Chin

83.0 Ennis Confidence Low 0.470

64.0 Zayas Confidence Low 0.470

Cardio Engine

85.0 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.630

79.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.680

Style Profile Ennis: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Zayas: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Ennis Confidence Low 0.450

12.0 Zayas Confidence Low 0.480

Out-Boxer

18.0 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.560

24.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.640

Power Slugger

20.0 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.660

14.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.580

Boxer-Puncher

38.0 Ennis Confidence High 0.780

38.0 Zayas Confidence High 0.760

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Ennis Confidence Low 0.390

12.0 Zayas Confidence Low 0.370

Stance Interaction Ennis vs orthodox · Zayas vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.730

68.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.580

32.0 Zayas Confidence Low 0.390

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Ennis

33.33 Zayas

Ko Rate Last 3

100 Ennis

0 Zayas

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Ennis

100 Zayas

Opponent Rating Last 3

83.24 Ennis

83.43 Zayas

Trend Score Last 5

100 Ennis

60 Zayas

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Ennis

66.67 Zayas

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Ennis

29.55 Zayas

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Ennis

100 Zayas

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

83.24 Ennis

83.43 Zayas

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Ennis

80 Zayas

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Ennis stays in class.

Zayas stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Ennis height: 178.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Zayas height: 178.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral 0.0cm

Stance Interaction

Ennis vs orthodox: 72.0

Zayas vs southpaw: 32.0

Interaction: medium advantage Ennis.

Advantage: Ennis

Style Interaction

Ennis style: Boxer Puncher

Zayas style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral