Daniel Dubois vs Fabio Wardley

Data as of: 2026-09-07 07:51:09 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Dubois vs Wardley 09 May 2026 Model lean: Wardley Custom 50.57% ROI: -13.82% Heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Fabio Wardley 50.57%

Dubois odds 2.1200

Wardley odds 1.7042

Dubois implied 47.17%

Wardley implied 58.68%

Market odds 1.7042

Implied probability 58.68%

Expected return 0.8618

ROI -13.82%

Edge -8.11%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-24 16:52:19 UTC

Fighter details

Daniel Dubois

Score 65.64 · 23-3-0 (22 KO)

Full name Daniel Dubois

Age 29 · Rank #209 · Confidence Medium 0.662

Stance Orthodox · H/R 196cm / 198cm · GB

WBO Heavyweight

Fabio Wardley

Score 68.82 · 20-1-1 (19 KO)

Full name Fabio Wardley

Age 31 · Rank #121 · Confidence Medium 0.608

Stance Orthodox · H/R 196cm / 198cm · GB

Daniel Dubois

Full name: Daniel Dubois
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #209
Current model score: 65.64
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.662
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 196cm / 198cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 23-3-0 (22 KO)

World titles

WBO Heavyweight

09 May 2026

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Wardley

Custom

49% Dubois

51% Wardley

Model lean: Fabio Wardley 50.57%
Win probability: 50.57%
Market odds: 1.7042
Implied probability: 58.68%
Expected ROI (1u): -13.82%
Value edge: -8.11%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-24 16:52:19 UTC

Fabio Wardley

Full name: Fabio Wardley
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #121
Current model score: 68.82
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.608
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 196cm / 198cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 20-1-1 (19 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

94.0 Dubois Confidence High 0.910

92.0 Wardley Confidence High 0.870

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.640

78.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

72.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.570

74.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.500

Pace Pressure

78.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.720

81.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.680

Defensive Skill

61.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.680

64.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.570

Distance Footwork Control

64.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.560

69.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.520

Ring IQ Adaptability

69.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.620

76.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Punching

66.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.500

71.0 Wardley Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

58.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.740

70.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.560

Cardio Engine

70.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.630

77.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Dubois: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher vs Wardley: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

20.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.570

18.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.580

Out-Boxer

5.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.740

6.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.630

Power Slugger

48.0 Dubois Confidence High 0.920

44.0 Wardley Confidence High 0.820

Boxer-Puncher

22.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.630

24.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.600

Counter-Puncher

5.0 Dubois Confidence Low 0.450

8.0 Wardley Confidence Low 0.420

Stance Interaction Dubois vs orthodox · Wardley vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.690

58.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.610

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.690

42.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.610

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Dubois

66.67 Wardley

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Dubois

66.67 Wardley

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Dubois

100 Wardley

Opponent Rating Last 3

84.51 Dubois

79.26 Wardley

Trend Score Last 5

80 Dubois

70 Wardley

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

78.99 Dubois

80.7 Wardley

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

76.81 Dubois

78.07 Wardley

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Dubois

100 Wardley

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

84.51 Dubois

79.26 Wardley

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Dubois

85 Wardley

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Dubois stays in class.

Wardley stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Dubois height: 196.0cm reach: 198.0cm

Wardley height: 196.0cm reach: 198.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral 0.0cm

Stance Interaction

Dubois vs orthodox: 72.0

Wardley vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Dubois.

Advantage: Dubois

Style Interaction

Dubois style: Power Slugger

Wardley style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral