OWN YOUR EDGE
Hrgović vs Allen 16 May 2026 Model lean: Hrgović Custom 85.77% ROI: -4.80% Heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis
Change fighters and profiles

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Filip Hrgović 85.77%

Hrgović odds 1.1099

Allen odds 6.5000

Hrgović implied 90.10%

Allen implied 15.38%

Market odds 1.1099

Implied probability 90.10%

Expected return 0.9520

ROI -4.80%

Edge -4.33%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-24 16:52:19 UTC

Fighter details
Filip Hrgović
Filip Hrgović

Score 68.35 · 21-1-0 (16 KO)

Full name Filip Hrgović

Age 34 · Rank #154 · Confidence Medium 0.588

Stance Orthodox · H/R 198cm / 208cm · HR

DA
Dave Allen

Score 57.61 · 25-9-2 (20 KO)

Full name David Allen

Age 34 · Rank #493 · Confidence Medium 0.604

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 191cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

86.0 Hrgović Confidence High 0.810

78.0 Allen Confidence High 0.770

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.610

66.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

69.0 Hrgović Confidence Low 0.490

58.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.540

Pace Pressure

72.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.580

69.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

66.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.520

54.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.640

Distance Footwork Control

73.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.600

52.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.570

Ring IQ Adaptability

75.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.620

63.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Punching

68.0 Hrgović Confidence Low 0.470

67.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.630

Chin

67.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.500

64.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.690

Cardio Engine

76.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.630

62.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.620

Style Profile Hrgović: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Allen: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Hrgović Confidence Low 0.450

18.0 Allen Confidence Low 0.450

Out-Boxer

18.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.580

8.0 Allen Confidence Low 0.460

Power Slugger

24.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.680

34.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.720

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.740

28.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Hrgović Confidence Low 0.360

12.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.520

Stance Interaction Hrgović vs orthodox  ·  Allen vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.680

62.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.720

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.680

38.0 Allen Confidence Low 0.450

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Hrgović

66.67 Allen

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Hrgović

66.67 Allen

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Hrgović

100 Allen

Opponent Rating Last 3

81.1 Hrgović

63.44 Allen

Trend Score Last 5

100 Hrgović

60 Allen

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Hrgović

69.27 Allen

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

69.05 Hrgović

66.67 Allen

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Hrgović

100 Allen

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

81.1 Hrgović

63.44 Allen

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Hrgović

70 Allen

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Hrgović stays in class.

Allen stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Hrgović height: 198.0cm reach: 208.0cm

Allen height: 191.0cm reach: 191.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Hrgović.

Advantage: Hrgović +24.0cm

Stance Interaction

Hrgović vs orthodox: 62.0

Allen vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Hrgović style: Boxer Puncher

Allen style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Hrgović.

Advantage: Hrgović

Model: FiteQuant

Explore models · Login