Model pick Filip Hrgović 51.12%
Hrgović odds 6.3000
Itauma odds 1.1111
Hrgović implied 15.87%
Itauma implied 90.00%
Market odds 6.3
Implied probability 15.87%
Expected return 3.2209
ROI 222.09%
Edge 35.25%
Lean Value
Bout Locked prediction
Locked prediction as of 2026-08-03 12:42:21 UTC
Score 65.41 · 20-1-0 (15 KO)
Full name Filip Hrgović
Age 34 · Rank #224 · Confidence Medium 0.598
Stance Orthodox · H/R 198cm / 208cm · HR
Score 69.46 · 14-0-0 (12 KO)
Full name Moses Itauma
Age 21 · Rank #103 · Confidence Medium 0.556
Stance Southpaw · H/R 194cm / 201cm · GB
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring IQ Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out-Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer-Puncher
Counter-Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Hrgović stays in class.
Itauma stays in class.
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
Height Reach Delta
Hrgović height: 198.0cm reach: 208.0cm
Itauma height: 194.0cm reach: 201.0cm
Interaction: high advantage Hrgović.
Advantage: Hrgović +11.0cm
Stance Interaction
Hrgović vs southpaw: 32.0
Itauma vs orthodox: 68.0
Interaction: medium advantage Itauma.
Advantage: Itauma
Style Interaction
Hrgović style: Boxer Puncher
Itauma style: Power Slugger
Interaction: medium advantage Hrgović.
Advantage: Hrgović
