Chris Billam-Smith vs Ryan Rozicki

Data as of: 2026-06-03 14:34:30 UTC Current odds

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Billam-Smith vs Rozicki 06 Jun 2026 Model pick: Billam-Smith Current odds 54.50% ROI: -34.60% Cruiserweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Chris Billam-Smith 54.50%

Billam-Smith odds 1.2000

Rozicki odds 4.2500

Billam-Smith implied 83.33%

Rozicki implied 23.53%

Pick odds 1.2

Pick implied 83.33%

Expected return 0.6540

ROI -34.60%

Edge -28.83%

Lean No Value

Bout Current odds

Odds updated 2026-06-03 00:30:03 UTC

Fighter details

Chris Billam-Smith

Score 66.63 · 21-2-0 (13 KO)

Full name Chris Billam-Smith

Age 35 · Rank #170 · Confidence Medium 0.622

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 193cm · GB

Ryan Rozicki

Score 63.70 · 21-1-1 (20 KO)

Full name Ryan Joseph Rozicki

Age 31 · Rank #243 · Confidence Medium 0.575

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 196cm · CA

Chris Billam-Smith

Full name: Chris Billam-Smith
Age: 35
Fighter rank: #170
Current model score: 66.63
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.622
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 191cm / 193cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 21-2-0 (13 KO)

06 Jun 2026

Projected Win Split

Model pick

Billam-Smith

Current odds

55% Billam-Smith

45% Rozicki

Model pick: Chris Billam-Smith 54.50%
Win probability: 54.50%
Market odds: 1.2
Implied probability: 83.33%
Expected ROI (1u): -34.60%
Value edge: -28.83%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-06-03 00:30:03 UTC

Ryan Rozicki

Full name: Ryan Joseph Rozicki
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #243
Current model score: 63.70
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.575
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 188cm / 196cm
Nationality: CA
Career snapshot: 21-1-1 (20 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

76.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.720

94.0 Rozicki Confidence High 0.890

Punching Accuracy

73.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.620

76.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

64.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Low 0.480

68.0 Rozicki Confidence Low 0.420

Pace Pressure

78.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.700

84.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.700

Defensive Skill

70.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.600

60.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.500

Distance Footwork Control

72.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.580

62.0 Rozicki Confidence Low 0.450

Ring Iq Adaptability

81.0 Billam-Smith Confidence High 0.760

67.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.500

Counter Punching

67.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.500

61.0 Rozicki Confidence Low 0.370

Chin

79.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.680

78.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.600

Cardio Engine

84.0 Billam-Smith Confidence High 0.800

74.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.620

Style Profile Billam-Smith: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Rozicki: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

20.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.560

28.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.650

Out Boxer

19.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.540

4.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.560

Power Slugger

14.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.580

45.0 Rozicki Confidence High 0.870

Boxer Puncher

36.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.720

18.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Puncher

11.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Low 0.390

5.0 Rozicki Confidence Low 0.450

Stance Advantage Billam-Smith Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Rozicki Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.670

78.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.670

22.0 Rozicki Confidence Low 0.380

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Billam-Smith

66.67 Rozicki

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Billam-Smith

66.67 Rozicki

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Billam-Smith

33.33 Rozicki

Opponent Rating Last 3

81.05 Billam-Smith

52.16 Rozicki

Trend Score Last 5

80 Billam-Smith

90 Rozicki

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.83 Billam-Smith

80.83 Rozicki

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

32.5 Billam-Smith

78.33 Rozicki

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Billam-Smith

33.33 Rozicki

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

81.05 Billam-Smith

52.16 Rozicki

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Billam-Smith

90 Rozicki

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Billam-Smith stays in class.

Rozicki stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Billam-Smith height: 191.0cm reach: 193.0cm

Rozicki height: 187.9cm reach: 196.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral +0.1cm

Stance Interaction

Billam-Smith vs orthodox: 62.0

Rozicki vs orthodox: 78.0

Interaction: low advantage Rozicki.

Advantage: Rozicki

Style Interaction

Billam-Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Rozicki style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Billam-Smith.

Advantage: Billam-Smith