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Mikaelian vs Opetaia 13 Sep 2026 Model pick: Opetaia Locked prediction 68.88% ROI: -25.83% Cruiserweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Jai Opetaia 68.88%

Mikaelian odds 7.9000

Opetaia odds 1.0769

Mikaelian implied 12.66%

Opetaia implied 92.86%

Market odds 1.0769

Implied probability 92.86%

Expected return 0.7417

ROI -25.83%

Edge -23.98%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Titles on line

Ring

Cruiserweight Championship

Locked prediction as of 2026-08-19 11:27:15 UTC

Fighter details
NM
Norair Mikaelian

Score 67.39 · 28-3-0 (12 KO)

Full name Norair Mikaelian

Age 35 · Rank #161 · Confidence Medium 0.605

Stance Orthodox · H/R 190cm / 191cm · DE

JO
Jai Opetaia

Score 79.56 · 30-0-0 (23 KO)

Full name Jai Tapu Opetaia

Age 31 · Rank #8 · Confidence Medium 0.684

Stance Southpaw · H/R 188cm / 193cm · AU

The Ring Cruiserweight

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

71.0 Mikaelian Confidence Medium 0.720

90.0 Opetaia Confidence High 0.830

Punching Accuracy

75.0 Mikaelian Confidence Medium 0.620

86.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.740

Hand Speed

68.0 Mikaelian Confidence Low 0.480

84.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.670

Pace Pressure

64.0 Mikaelian Confidence Medium 0.580

79.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.690

Defensive Skill

77.0 Mikaelian Confidence Medium 0.670

85.0 Opetaia Confidence High 0.750

Distance Footwork Control

78.0 Mikaelian Confidence Medium 0.660

88.0 Opetaia Confidence High 0.790

Ring IQ Adaptability

81.0 Mikaelian Confidence Medium 0.690

89.0 Opetaia Confidence High 0.800

Counter Punching

73.0 Mikaelian Confidence Medium 0.550

84.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.670

Chin

76.0 Mikaelian Confidence Medium 0.630

87.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.700

Cardio Engine

79.0 Mikaelian Confidence Medium 0.700

85.0 Opetaia Confidence High 0.760

Style Profile Mikaelian: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Opetaia: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Mikaelian Confidence Low 0.430

15.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.500

Out-Boxer

34.0 Mikaelian Confidence Medium 0.670

18.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.630

Power Slugger

12.0 Mikaelian Confidence Medium 0.580

22.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.720

Boxer-Puncher

38.0 Mikaelian Confidence Medium 0.730

35.0 Opetaia Confidence High 0.800

Counter-Puncher

8.0 Mikaelian Confidence Low 0.340

10.0 Opetaia Confidence Low 0.390

Stance Interaction Mikaelian vs southpaw  ·  Opetaia vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Mikaelian Confidence Medium 0.620

68.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.730

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Mikaelian Confidence Medium 0.620

32.0 Opetaia Confidence Low 0.450

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Mikaelian

100 Opetaia

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Mikaelian

66.67 Opetaia

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Mikaelian

66.67 Opetaia

Opponent Rating Last 3

84.85 Mikaelian

68.25 Opetaia

Trend Score Last 5

80 Mikaelian

100 Opetaia

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.76 Mikaelian

100 Opetaia

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

36.31 Mikaelian

72.22 Opetaia

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Mikaelian

66.67 Opetaia

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

84.85 Mikaelian

68.25 Opetaia

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Mikaelian

100 Opetaia

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Mikaelian stays in class.

Opetaia stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Mikaelian height: 190.0cm reach: 191.0cm

Opetaia height: 188.0cm reach: 193.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral 0.0cm

Stance Interaction

Mikaelian vs southpaw: 42.0

Opetaia vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Opetaia.

Advantage: Opetaia

Style Interaction

Mikaelian style: Boxer Puncher

Opetaia style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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