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Mikaeljan vs Opetaia 13 Sep 2026 Model pick: Opetaia Locked prediction 68.88% ROI: -25.83% Cruiserweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Jai Opetaia 68.88%

Mikaeljan odds 7.9000

Opetaia odds 1.0769

Mikaeljan implied 12.66%

Opetaia implied 92.86%

Market odds 1.0769

Implied probability 92.86%

Expected return 0.7417

ROI -25.83%

Edge -23.98%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Titles on line

Ring

Cruiserweight Championship

Locked prediction as of 2026-08-19 11:27:15 UTC

Fighter details
NM
Norair Mikaeljan

Score 67.32 · 28-3-0 (12 KO)

Full name Norair Mikaelian

Age 35 · Rank #174 · Confidence Medium 0.604

Stance Orthodox · H/R 190cm / 191cm · DE

JO
Jai Opetaia

Score 76.56 · 30-0-0 (23 KO)

Full name Jai Tapu Opetaia

Age 31 · Rank #22 · Confidence Medium 0.636

Stance Southpaw · H/R 188cm / 193cm · AU

The Ring Cruiserweight

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

72.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Medium 0.720

88.0 Opetaia Confidence High 0.770

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Medium 0.620

84.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.670

Hand Speed

71.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Medium 0.520

82.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

66.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Medium 0.580

78.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

76.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Medium 0.670

85.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.710

Distance Footwork Control

77.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Medium 0.680

86.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.720

Ring IQ Adaptability

79.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Medium 0.700

87.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.730

Counter Punching

73.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Medium 0.550

83.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.570

Chin

75.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Medium 0.630

84.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.550

Cardio Engine

78.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Medium 0.710

81.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.690

Style Profile Mikaeljan: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Opetaia: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Low 0.440

14.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.530

Out-Boxer

34.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Medium 0.660

18.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.610

Power Slugger

11.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Medium 0.580

24.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.720

Boxer-Puncher

36.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Medium 0.720

34.0 Opetaia Confidence High 0.790

Counter-Puncher

9.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Low 0.330

10.0 Opetaia Confidence Low 0.390

Stance Interaction Mikaeljan vs southpaw  ·  Opetaia vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Medium 0.580

78.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.740

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Mikaeljan Confidence Medium 0.580

22.0 Opetaia Confidence Low 0.410

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Mikaeljan

100 Opetaia

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Mikaeljan

66.67 Opetaia

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Mikaeljan

66.67 Opetaia

Opponent Rating Last 3

77.78 Mikaeljan

68.25 Opetaia

Trend Score Last 5

80 Mikaeljan

100 Opetaia

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.76 Mikaeljan

100 Opetaia

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

36.31 Mikaeljan

72.22 Opetaia

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Mikaeljan

66.67 Opetaia

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

77.78 Mikaeljan

68.25 Opetaia

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Mikaeljan

100 Opetaia

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Mikaeljan stays in class.

Opetaia stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Mikaeljan height: 190.0cm reach: 191.0cm

Opetaia height: 188.0cm reach: 193.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral 0.0cm

Stance Interaction

Mikaeljan vs southpaw: 58.0

Opetaia vs orthodox: 78.0

Interaction: medium advantage Opetaia.

Advantage: Opetaia

Style Interaction

Mikaeljan style: Boxer Puncher

Opetaia style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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